Well-Worn-Commercial 0xb6bed9…3cfcfe
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$49.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.70K
Hit rate
72.3%
Resolved
513
Trades
21,324
lifetime
Volume
$5.02M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$236
Open exposure
$116.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 16:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Sports
60% 77% +$16,321
Other
27% 87% +$37,875
Politics
12% 41% -$4,939
Crypto
1% 100% +$569
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 223 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -58,519 -$61,785 100¢ $-58373 +$3,412 10-26 02:35
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +51,191 $14,981 32¢ $16.1K +$1,145 10-26 00:03
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -55,887 -$7,204 15¢ $-8187 -$984 10-21 22:13
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -110,364 -$7,973 6¢ $-6787 +$1,186 10-21 22:00
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,758 $6,030 30¢ $6.3K +$302 10-26 14:58
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -2,724 -$2,028 100¢ $-2711 -$683 05-09 14:00
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,061 $2,471 36¢ $2.6K +$106 10-21 19:55
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +6,234 $2,182 37¢ $2.3K +$125 10-21 19:36
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +2,222 $2,184 100¢ $2.2K +$36 05-08 11:50
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -35,945 -$1,867 5¢ $-1887 -$20 10-21 17:40
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +4,545 $1,554 34¢ $1.6K +$14 10-22 20:43
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -34,003 -$1,258 4¢ $-1377 -$119 09-11 05:04
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +1,211 $1,139 99¢ $1.2K +$66 06-03 23:55
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +3,118 $998 30¢ $920 -$78 10-26 13:07
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -23,931 -$646 4¢ $-838 -$191 09-01 15:35
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -28,392 -$854 2¢ $-625 +$229 08-24 15:16
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? No +10,000 $320 4¢ $415 +$95 10-27 16:40
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? Yes +10,000 $340 4¢ $400 +$60 10-27 16:39
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -23,335 -$443 2¢ $-350 +$93 05-04 19:09
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -15,173 -$298 2¢ $-341 -$43 05-27 00:17
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -20,000 -$260 1¢ $-150 +$110 05-31 02:55
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -10,003 -$200 1¢ $-135 +$65 05-03 04:01
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +435 $300 15¢ $63 -$237 10-26 22:12
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -40,000 -$40 0¢ $-60 -$20 08-24 15:17
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -40,000 -$80 0¢ $-60 +$20 10-23 05:50
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -40,000 -$40 0¢ $-60 -$20 08-24 15:16
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -40,000 -$80 0¢ $-60 +$20 08-24 15:16
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -40,000 -$40 0¢ $-60 -$20 10-21 17:40
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -40,000 -$40 0¢ $-60 -$20 10-21 17:40
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? Yes -1,111 -$100 4¢ $-50 +$50 05-08 01:09