Realized P&L
-$72
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
42.7%
Resolved
211
Trades
299
lifetime
Volume
$624
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$20
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 08-26 18:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Other
59% 40% -$51
Politics
17% 26% -$28
Crypto
10% 41% -$3
Sports
10% 33% +$21
Tech
3% 33% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +25 $5 44¢ $11 +$6 07-22 21:16
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +125 $10 5¢ $6 -$4 07-20 17:50
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3 $1 41¢ $1 +$0 07-20 17:46
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +20 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 07-12 20:34
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +17 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-10 13:26
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +14 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-10 13:27