Far-Flung-Enclosure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$258

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-17 09:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

67% 43% $0

Crypto

24% 24% -$21

Pop-Culture

6% 50% +$4

Politics

2% 100% +$3

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+10	$3	2¢	$0	-$3	06-25 07:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	2	$28	20	20	+0	No	+$8	07-11 22:56
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 14?	2	$16	10	10	+0	No	+$2	05-14 12:47
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	3	$13	71	71	+0	No	+$7	05-18 07:04
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	03-27 22:07
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	2	$10	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 14:50
Will Morocco win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group A?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	09-24 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$10	37	0	+37	Down	-$10	05-21 08:31
Will Nous Research launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	09-29 16:26
over 1m committed to the jumper public sale	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-26 08:54
will lamine yamal attend the 2026 ballon d or ceremony 20261016121846566	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$1	10-17 09:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 10:15 UTC	3	$9	10	5	+5	Up	+$0	03-25 10:20
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	2	$8	11	11	+0	No	+$2	06-20 21:32
over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	3	$6	17	0	+17	No	-$6	01-06 18:55
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$6	7	7	+0	No	$0	03-27 22:07
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$5	7	7	+0	No	-$1	03-27 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Up	+$11	05-21 08:25
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 19?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	05-19 07:09
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	1	$4	9	0	+9	No	+$5	07-04 09:54
Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$1	03-25 08:22
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 18?	2	$3	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	05-18 13:18
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	2	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	-$3	05-18 07:45
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Science Summit remarks?	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	10-08 15:20
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 3+ times during his Science Summit remarks?	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	10-08 15:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	06-25 07:37
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$1	07-05 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$3	8	0	+8	Down	-$3	05-21 08:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	Down	-$3	05-21 08:17
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	1	$3	6	0	+6	No	-$3	07-16 16:48
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	-$3	07-07 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	Down	-$3	05-17 10:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 09:03:03	will lamine yamal attend the 2026 ballon d or ceremony 20261016121846566	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf2e225…
10-08 15:20:24	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 3+ times during his Science Summit remarks?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xba79e0…
10-08 15:20:14	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Science Summit remarks?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xa24c65…
09-29 16:26:30	Will Nous Research launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x18d10d…
09-26 08:54:30	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $60M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3e0e72…
09-26 08:54:08	over 1m committed to the jumper public sale	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f92b5…
09-24 14:17:43	Will Morocco win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group A?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x28109a…
07-16 16:48:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd71ee5…
07-16 16:46:02	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	71	3¢	$2	0x7b4a4f…
07-11 22:56:53	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$18	0xa07421…
07-07 16:49:16	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xcb221e…
07-07 16:47:52	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9fc59d…
07-05 22:06:22	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x748308…
07-05 21:43:49	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x980e55…
07-04 09:54:52	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xaca27f…
06-25 07:37:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x262cb8…
06-22 11:18:49	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0xbb5de8…
06-22 11:18:37	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x8b71f2…
06-20 21:32:14	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0xdfa44b…
06-20 20:31:19	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x40760f…
05-28 14:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xc05799…
05-28 14:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x62f6f8…
05-28 14:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x448696…
05-26 15:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x79447a…
05-26 13:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x06a27a…
05-26 13:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x05843f…
05-21 09:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x36548d…
05-21 09:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6e2895…
05-21 08:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x93e8b6…
05-21 08:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9606ca…
05-21 08:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xf3c4e4…
05-21 08:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xdcce2e…
05-21 08:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x3ffef0…
05-21 08:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xc0fbfb…
05-21 08:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x026a3d…
05-21 08:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x20ebd2…
05-21 07:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x19dcd9…
05-21 07:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x78be4c…
05-21 07:35:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x68e1c6…
05-20 09:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xba1cca…
05-20 08:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9b890a…
05-20 08:39:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x1a9cdf…
05-20 06:56:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0c7156…
05-20 06:56:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x22f68b…
05-19 07:16:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xacdc7b…
05-19 07:09:56	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 19?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x306625…
05-19 07:07:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb527d3…
05-19 07:07:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x46cbfe…
05-18 13:48:16	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe66500…
05-18 13:18:49	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 18?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xd89e4a…
05-18 10:51:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 18?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x37196b…
05-18 07:45:00	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	No	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x193c64…
05-18 07:44:55	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xab4f5b…
05-18 07:23:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xdc0fc5…
05-18 07:20:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xe2f9c1…
05-18 07:04:43	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	Yes	SELL	71	14¢	$10	0x6b3fce…
05-17 15:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x000dec…
05-17 15:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x6c1b01…
05-17 13:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xd85773…
05-17 11:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa58491…
05-17 11:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x677a73…
05-17 11:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0xc3d395…
05-17 11:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x77f2a8…
05-17 10:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xebfb4a…
05-17 10:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x83e1e5…
05-17 10:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x783e70…
05-17 10:29:43	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xd8bba0…
05-17 10:27:49	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x145e73…
05-14 14:50:53	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x91cdb2…
05-14 12:47:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 14?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x8b6e9d…
05-14 10:00:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbe6d68…
05-14 09:16:42	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 14?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x2caddc…
03-27 22:07:49	Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	7	35¢	$3	0x768b5b…
03-27 22:07:29	Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x9f95b9…
03-27 22:07:17	Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0x639e35…
03-25 10:20:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa61812…
03-25 10:16:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x944bbd…
03-25 10:16:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8008b0…
03-25 08:47:11	highest temperature in madrid on march 26 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x1cddf4…
03-25 08:30:21	highest temperature in madrid on march 26 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7cf414…
03-25 08:29:59	highest temperature in madrid on march 26 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7bf260…
03-25 08:29:49	highest temperature in madrid on march 26 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb1aab6…
03-25 08:25:55	highest temperature in madrid on march 26 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x02adc8…
03-25 08:22:03	Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x301389…
03-25 08:21:51	Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xc99931…
03-25 08:21:41	Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x399407…
03-25 08:20:05	Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x2925d0…
01-06 18:55:09	over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x1cecca…
01-06 18:54:21	over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x0294f0…
01-06 18:54:13	over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x00de6d…