Noted-Wildlife — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$263

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$556

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 05-20 18:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 10% -$134

Politics

14% 0% -$77

Other

12% 0% -$52

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 09:40 UTC	4	$117	71	67	+4	Up	+$8	02-12 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 09:45 UTC	2	$75	109	54	+55	Down	-$50	02-12 09:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	2	$66	104	104	+0	Yes	+$56	05-16 13:23
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?	1	$50	250	0	+250	No	-$50	05-16 13:27
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$30	206	0	+206	No	-$30	05-12 21:15
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$21	336	0	+336	Yes	-$21	05-11 10:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	3	$21	1,267	0	+1,267	No	-$21	05-16 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$18	127	0	+127	Down	-$18	05-11 10:36
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$17	115	115	+0	open	—	05-18 12:39
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$17	234	0	+234	No	-$17	05-12 21:15
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	3	$12	2,506	0	+2,506	Yes	-$12	05-18 12:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	1	$10	359	0	+359	No	-$10	05-11 09:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	1	$10	263	0	+263	Yes	-$10	05-11 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$10	46	0	+46	Up	-$10	05-11 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$10	21	0	+21	Up	-$10	05-16 10:46
Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?	3	$8	723	0	+723	Down	-$8	05-16 13:36
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	1	$8	135	0	+135	Yes	-$8	05-12 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$5	31	0	+31	Up	-$5	05-11 10:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$5	17	0	+17	Down	-$5	05-11 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$5	300	0	+300	Down	-$5	05-11 10:34
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	-$5	05-16 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	05-16 12:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	1	$4	667	0	+667	No	-$4	05-16 03:14
Ethereum Up or Down on May 18?	1	$3	143	0	+143	Down	-$3	05-18 14:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	1	$2	250	0	+250	No	-$2	05-11 09:55
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	1	$2	143	0	+143	No	-$2	05-16 12:50
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	2	$1	74	74	+0	No	-$1	05-18 18:29
Will Trump say "Skirmish" during Coast Guard event?	1	$1	143	0	+143	No	-$1	05-20 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Up	-$1	05-18 18:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	05-16 03:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 18:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa7c724…
05-20 18:45:26	Will Trump say "Winner" or "Loser" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xace3b1…
05-20 18:45:17	Will Trump say "Skirmish" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x7ff932…
05-20 18:44:33	Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1623a1…
05-20 18:44:26	Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x10a515…
05-18 18:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x941886…
05-18 18:29:33	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	Yes	SELL	74	0¢	$0	0x9a86a6…
05-18 14:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7ff734…
05-18 14:17:44	Ethereum Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	143	2¢	$3	0xec7637…
05-18 14:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4f30a0…
05-18 12:51:05	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc99b95…
05-18 12:40:29	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x21f228…
05-18 12:39:42	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	7¢	$8	0xdde53f…
05-16 13:36:08	Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?	Up	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x48c47f…
05-16 13:35:31	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xaca654…
05-16 13:29:13	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x2a77ea…
05-16 13:27:06	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x5ce990…
05-16 13:23:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	104	58¢	$61	0xe8a7aa…
05-16 12:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf7747a…
05-16 12:50:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0x4b3429…
05-16 11:09:38	Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0x6e65f8…
05-16 11:06:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	155	1¢	$1	0xff6b8d…
05-16 11:02:57	Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?	Up	BUY	96	2¢	$2	0x1d21c3…
05-16 10:59:27	Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?	Up	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0x21fa2e…
05-16 10:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa2234a…
05-16 10:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8ffdbb…
05-16 10:25:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x2c6060…
05-16 03:22:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xb50565…
05-16 03:16:17	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x2c8dd5…
05-16 03:14:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0x306ca5…
05-16 03:14:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6018f8…
05-16 03:14:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$4	0x4282e3…
05-16 03:14:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x3cbcfa…
05-12 21:37:09	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	135	6¢	$8	0xea30fd…
05-12 21:24:48	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	506	2¢	$10	0x0e485f…
05-12 21:15:23	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	15¢	$30	0x34bc8f…
05-12 21:15:11	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	234	7¢	$17	0x7874a6…
05-12 21:14:38	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x7d480e…
05-12 21:14:24	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xa3e4e4…
05-11 10:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	127	14¢	$18	0xf01265…
05-11 10:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7ec7df…
05-11 10:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x206829…
05-11 10:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0c0e2f…
05-11 10:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	17¢	$5	0x8196f6…
05-11 10:24:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x553a31…
05-11 10:22:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x0be037…
05-11 10:10:59	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x39332f…
05-11 10:04:46	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xb49429…
05-11 10:04:29	Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xf8e729…
05-11 10:04:22	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	Yes	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0x08685e…
05-11 10:02:17	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	8¢	$9	0xaf159b…
05-11 09:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x26ffa9…
05-11 09:55:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xbd3600…
05-11 09:55:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x230aba…
05-11 09:54:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	263	4¢	$10	0xef0ef7…
05-11 09:54:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	359	3¢	$10	0x4e3c5f…
05-11 00:13:56	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	224	9¢	$20	0x7d023f…
02-12 09:47:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 09:45 UTC	Up	SELL	54	23¢	$12	0xb6c587…
02-12 09:46:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	109	57¢	$62	0x4c74b0…
02-12 09:44:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 09:40 UTC	Up	SELL	67	93¢	$62	0x3b6492…
02-12 09:43:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	64	80¢	$51	0x8a1129…
02-12 09:42:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x582f44…
02-12 09:41:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x1374b8…