Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.50K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.7%

Resolved

Trades

296

lifetime

Volume

$79.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$269

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 07-01 19:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

49% 87% +$1,222

Politics

49% 91% +$266

Crypto

2% 100% +$12

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	9	$6.1K	3,691	2,495	+1,195	Yes	+$48	03-16 17:27
netanyahu out by march 31 854	11	$4.4K	2,250	2,250	+0	No	+$61	04-01 12:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$4.3K	2,400	2,400	+0	No	-$204	05-06 11:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	31	$4.2K	4,027	500	+3,527	No	+$187	04-07 21:31
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	14	$4.1K	2,361	2,361	+0	Yes	+$14	04-07 21:38
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$4.0K	2,467	2,467	+0	No	+$163	03-05 11:48
trump out as president by march 31	2	$3.9K	2,011	2,011	+0	No	-$21	03-02 13:03
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	9	$3.1K	2,024	1,424	+600	No	+$4	03-27 13:07
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	7	$2.9K	1,700	1,700	+0	No	-$228	04-07 21:07
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	10	$2.3K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$733	05-11 20:25
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	6	$2.2K	1,094	1,094	+0	No	+$16	03-24 21:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$2.0K	2,100	0	+2,100	No	+$76	05-01 12:48
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	21	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-29 16:02
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	14	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$58	05-13 11:19
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	5	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$86	03-23 00:45
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	24	$1.7K	878	878	+0	No	+$37	03-09 01:04
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	12	$1.7K	843	843	+0	open	—	07-01 19:49
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$1.6K	900	900	+0	Yes	-$83	04-06 10:43
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$12	04-07 21:04
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	2	$1.5K	802	802	+0	Yes	+$63	03-04 09:42
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	2	$1.5K	772	772	+0	No	+$12	01-31 15:39
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	2	$1.5K	754	754	+0	No	+$18	03-03 23:08
Netanyahu out by April 30?	5	$1.5K	999	500	+500	No	+$38	04-05 17:19
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	5	$1.4K	721	721	+0	No	+$12	03-11 13:45
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	5	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$20	04-09 13:47
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	3	$1.0K	520	520	-0	No	+$14	03-31 17:30
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	3	$987	500	500	+0	No	+$2	05-14 06:46
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$950	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$50	01-13 13:46
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	3	$867	907	0	+907	No	+$40	04-07 23:07
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	3	$739	413	413	+0	No	-$21	03-26 19:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 19:49:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	400	93¢	$372	0xa08b07…
07-01 19:49:26	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	843	100¢	$841	0xbbf717…
05-29 16:02:35	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	772	100¢	$771	0x010d5e…
05-29 15:40:04	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd3e56e…
05-29 15:16:14	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x834673…
05-29 14:50:37	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xce9f9d…
05-29 14:46:55	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x296e16…
05-29 14:28:50	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x56eb52…
05-29 14:28:50	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0ea001…
05-29 14:22:53	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xaa9ddb…
05-29 13:59:37	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x6e48d8…
05-29 13:59:35	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6558f2…
05-29 13:50:43	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xad60f8…
05-29 13:45:19	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x335a52…
05-29 13:45:07	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x310830…
05-29 13:44:48	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x5f7a63…
05-29 13:31:31	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb2c98c…
05-14 06:46:13	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	387	99¢	$382	0x1ef8e8…
05-14 06:35:50	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	113	99¢	$112	0xb1244d…
05-13 22:33:50	Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xddb509…
05-13 21:40:31	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x7f6299…
05-13 19:40:14	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x98495b…
05-13 19:40:12	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xd5f0b9…
05-13 19:40:00	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x8df4ed…
05-13 19:39:35	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x5f66e7…
05-13 19:39:35	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$6	0x35fae3…
05-13 17:40:02	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x09adc1…
05-13 17:39:20	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x2aaf68…
05-13 11:19:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0xfe1715…
05-12 23:56:46	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$493	0x72722b…
05-11 20:25:31	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x61b825…
05-11 20:25:23	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xffe09c…
05-11 20:25:10	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	193	50¢	$97	0x46ebc5…
05-11 20:25:07	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	970	50¢	$485	0xfe325b…
05-11 16:58:32	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	400	92¢	$368	0xb574ec…
05-11 11:19:24	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x4eb2ed…
05-11 11:08:16	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	367	92¢	$337	0x76cb26…
05-08 18:50:44	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	73	98¢	$71	0xa40ed9…
05-08 18:35:45	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0x1a58e1…
05-08 18:34:49	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x204971…
05-08 18:26:30	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0xa763f9…
05-08 17:31:09	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$290	0x4965b2…
05-07 13:14:04	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x0f7dd7…
05-06 11:13:10	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$185	0x6c8269…
05-06 11:12:54	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xbb9e2f…
05-06 11:11:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	2,400	85¢	$2,030	0x909d17…
05-06 11:04:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	600	85¢	$512	0xef55f3…
05-06 09:53:38	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xe0fe59…
05-06 09:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	137	94¢	$129	0xb0f6a9…
05-06 09:50:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	663	94¢	$623	0xdcb62e…
05-05 11:53:20	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$289	0x4b55c0…
05-04 21:02:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$970	0x7ca9aa…
05-03 21:10:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	400	82¢	$328	0xfbae33…
05-03 19:24:34	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x2dad25…
05-03 19:09:34	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0xeadffa…
05-03 18:54:34	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0xab2a6e…
05-03 18:39:34	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0xf39b9a…
05-03 18:24:34	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x74a692…
05-03 15:54:34	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x6b87ee…
05-03 15:51:54	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0xa759b9…
05-01 19:15:22	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	500	91¢	$456	0x665987…
05-01 17:04:02	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0xb00eff…
05-01 13:02:54	Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xad4545…
05-01 12:48:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1,100	97¢	$1,066	0x43f783…
05-01 12:27:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	400	97¢	$388	0x49c102…
04-18 01:09:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x64d7a7…
04-17 19:19:02	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	165	99¢	$163	0x714bf4…
04-17 19:17:36	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	229	93¢	$214	0x299071…
04-11 20:15:11	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	286	98¢	$280	0x326b4e…
04-11 12:47:55	us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	Yes	BUY	190	98¢	$186	0x114491…
04-11 12:47:43	us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	Yes	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0xf621be…
04-09 13:47:59	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x0c9d8f…
04-09 02:33:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x536e3e…
04-08 22:43:01	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 8 2026	No	BUY	125	96¢	$120	0x371965…
04-08 11:56:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	321	98¢	$313	0x32bf90…
04-08 11:54:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	79	98¢	$77	0x1cc0ae…
04-07 23:07:07	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	600	95¢	$570	0x0e2b7c…
04-07 23:05:57	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	222	97¢	$215	0x89c9eb…
04-07 23:05:51	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	85	97¢	$82	0xd193b0…
04-07 21:38:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1,259	78¢	$988	0x6ad91a…
04-07 21:31:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1,210	96¢	$1,161	0xbe630e…
04-07 21:09:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	117	78¢	$91	0xfcec82…
04-07 21:09:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xee2c8d…
04-07 21:09:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	25	78¢	$19	0x8092d4…
04-07 21:09:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	118	78¢	$92	0x2bdf18…
04-07 21:09:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x51b1bc…
04-07 21:09:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x25e451…
04-07 21:09:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	297	78¢	$231	0x6b8f7b…
04-07 21:09:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	351	78¢	$274	0x3bbff4…
04-07 21:09:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0xdbf904…
04-07 21:09:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	256	78¢	$199	0x8026c1…
04-07 21:07:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	1,700	80¢	$1,360	0x964622…
04-07 21:04:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	800	98¢	$781	0x6d3cae…
04-07 18:34:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	717	95¢	$681	0x263d64…
04-07 11:26:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x0d0a15…
04-06 17:01:31	will clayton fuller win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xfcbd1b…
04-06 17:01:21	will clayton fuller win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	162	97¢	$157	0x7aeecb…
04-06 11:43:23	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	325	96¢	$310	0x780e7d…
04-06 11:33:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	175	96¢	$168	0x4c7ac1…
04-06 10:44:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1,102	96¢	$1,056	0x34b27e…