Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$81

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

252

lifetime

Volume

$73.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$293

Open exposure

$378

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 07-01 19:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% 100% +$71

Politics

47% 100% +$10

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-400	$-372	94¢	$-378	$-6	07-01 19:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	9	$6.1K	3,691	2,495	+1,195	open	—	03-16 17:27
netanyahu out by march 31 854	11	$4.4K	2,250	2,250	+0	open	—	04-01 12:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$4.3K	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	05-06 11:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	31	$4.2K	4,027	500	+3,527	open	—	04-07 21:31
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	14	$4.1K	2,361	2,361	+0	open	—	04-07 21:38
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$4.0K	2,467	2,467	+0	open	—	03-05 11:48
trump out as president by march 31	2	$3.9K	2,011	2,011	+0	open	—	03-02 13:03
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	9	$3.1K	2,024	1,424	+600	open	—	03-27 13:07
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	7	$2.9K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	04-07 21:07
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	10	$2.3K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	05-11 20:25
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	6	$2.2K	1,094	1,094	+0	open	—	03-24 21:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$2.0K	2,100	0	+2,100	open	—	05-01 12:48
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	5	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-23 00:45
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	24	$1.7K	878	878	+0	open	—	03-09 01:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$1.6K	900	900	+0	open	—	04-06 10:43
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$12	04-07 21:04
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	2	$1.5K	802	802	+0	open	—	03-04 09:42
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	2	$1.5K	772	772	+0	open	—	01-31 15:39
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	2	$1.5K	754	754	+0	open	—	03-03 23:08
Netanyahu out by April 30?	5	$1.5K	999	500	+500	open	—	04-05 17:19
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	5	$1.4K	721	721	+0	open	—	03-11 13:45
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	5	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	04-09 13:47
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	3	$1.0K	520	520	-0	open	—	03-31 17:30
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	3	$987	500	500	+0	open	—	05-14 06:46
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$950	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-13 13:46
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	13	$941	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$59	03-06 23:57
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	3	$867	907	0	+907	open	—	04-07 23:07
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	3	$739	413	413	+0	open	—	03-26 19:40
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$705	729	0	+729	open	—	04-17 19:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$700	400	400	+0	open	—	01-23 22:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 19:49:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	400	93¢	$372	0xa08b07…
05-14 06:46:13	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	387	99¢	$382	0x1ef8e8…
05-14 06:35:50	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	113	99¢	$112	0xb1244d…
05-12 23:56:46	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$493	0x72722b…
05-11 20:25:31	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x61b825…
05-11 20:25:23	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xffe09c…
05-11 20:25:10	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	193	50¢	$97	0x46ebc5…
05-11 20:25:07	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	970	50¢	$485	0xfe325b…
05-11 16:58:32	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	400	92¢	$368	0xb574ec…
05-11 11:19:24	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x4eb2ed…
05-11 11:08:16	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	367	92¢	$337	0x76cb26…
05-08 17:31:09	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$290	0x4965b2…
05-06 11:13:10	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$185	0x6c8269…
05-06 11:11:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	2,400	85¢	$2,030	0x909d17…
05-06 11:04:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	600	85¢	$512	0xef55f3…
05-06 09:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	137	94¢	$129	0xb0f6a9…
05-06 09:50:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	663	94¢	$623	0xdcb62e…
05-04 21:02:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$970	0x7ca9aa…
05-01 19:15:22	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	500	91¢	$456	0x665987…
05-01 12:48:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1,100	97¢	$1,066	0x43f783…
05-01 12:27:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	400	97¢	$388	0x49c102…
04-18 01:09:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x64d7a7…
04-17 19:19:02	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	165	99¢	$163	0x714bf4…
04-17 19:17:36	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	229	93¢	$214	0x299071…
04-11 20:15:11	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	286	98¢	$280	0x326b4e…
04-11 12:47:55	us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	Yes	BUY	190	98¢	$186	0x114491…
04-11 12:47:43	us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	Yes	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0xf621be…
04-09 13:47:59	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x0c9d8f…
04-09 02:33:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x536e3e…
04-08 22:43:01	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 8 2026	No	BUY	125	96¢	$120	0x371965…
04-08 11:56:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	321	98¢	$313	0x32bf90…
04-08 11:54:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	79	98¢	$77	0x1cc0ae…
04-07 23:07:07	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	600	95¢	$570	0x0e2b7c…
04-07 23:05:57	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	222	97¢	$215	0x89c9eb…
04-07 23:05:51	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	85	97¢	$82	0xd193b0…
04-07 21:38:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1,259	78¢	$988	0x6ad91a…
04-07 21:31:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1,210	96¢	$1,161	0xbe630e…
04-07 21:09:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	117	78¢	$91	0xfcec82…
04-07 21:09:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xee2c8d…
04-07 21:09:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	25	78¢	$19	0x8092d4…
04-07 21:09:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	118	78¢	$92	0x2bdf18…
04-07 21:09:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x51b1bc…
04-07 21:09:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x25e451…
04-07 21:09:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	297	78¢	$231	0x6b8f7b…
04-07 21:09:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	351	78¢	$274	0x3bbff4…
04-07 21:09:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0xdbf904…
04-07 21:09:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	256	78¢	$199	0x8026c1…
04-07 21:07:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	1,700	80¢	$1,360	0x964622…
04-07 21:04:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	800	98¢	$781	0x6d3cae…
04-07 18:34:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	717	95¢	$681	0x263d64…
04-07 11:26:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x0d0a15…
04-06 17:01:31	will clayton fuller win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xfcbd1b…
04-06 17:01:21	will clayton fuller win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	162	97¢	$157	0x7aeecb…
04-06 11:43:23	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	325	96¢	$310	0x780e7d…
04-06 11:33:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	175	96¢	$168	0x4c7ac1…
04-06 10:44:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1,102	96¢	$1,056	0x34b27e…
04-06 10:43:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	900	83¢	$747	0x32a8e7…
04-05 17:29:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	602	98¢	$589	0x74c951…
04-05 17:19:05	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$495	0x0ac543…
04-05 16:02:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	400	90¢	$360	0x7902f2…
04-05 05:41:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	400	95¢	$380	0x2daac3…
04-04 22:10:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$57	0x7c9150…
04-04 22:09:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xbbaeef…
04-04 21:55:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x39efe7…
04-04 21:52:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$34	0x537de9…
04-04 21:52:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x23f3a2…
04-04 21:52:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x053094…
04-04 12:58:39	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xb70421…
04-04 10:47:59	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x7170d8…
04-04 04:51:01	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x43a121…
04-04 03:30:05	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	143	98¢	$140	0xecbb31…
04-03 18:36:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x421714…
04-02 17:22:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0x16635e…
04-02 17:05:49	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$492	0x9075a4…
04-02 01:36:21	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	243	99¢	$241	0x3ff323…
04-02 01:35:55	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x84302b…
04-02 01:32:05	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x29516e…
04-02 01:31:33	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	753	99¢	$744	0x4da943…
04-02 01:05:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0x74a86b…
04-01 19:14:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0xe9d741…
04-01 19:11:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x3988fc…
04-01 19:09:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	147	97¢	$142	0x0c8621…
04-01 19:09:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xab901a…
04-01 19:09:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x64c299…
04-01 19:04:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xc8886a…
04-01 19:04:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x770c7a…
04-01 18:56:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x21256b…
04-01 18:56:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x99e42c…
04-01 18:56:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x2264f3…
04-01 18:54:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x3f3f9f…
04-01 18:54:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0xcefef1…
04-01 18:52:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xf4cdb9…
04-01 18:44:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	294	97¢	$284	0xdb0494…
04-01 18:42:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xcbade2…
04-01 18:42:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xa7d039…
04-01 18:42:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x2d3d28…
04-01 18:42:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x18a5b3…
04-01 18:41:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xe3eb32…
04-01 18:39:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x4abe70…
04-01 18:18:23	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xdae5c8…