Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
52
lifetime
Volume
$208
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$11
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 06-05 17:20
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
84%
Politics
15%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +151 $4 $2 $-2 06-03 23:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +8 $2 16¢ $1 $-1 06-03 23:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +36 $1 $1 +$0 06-03 20:07
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +2 $1 55¢ $1 +$0 06-03 17:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-05 17:20
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-02 11:01
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-02 11:01
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +1 $1 58¢ $1 $-0 06-03 17:55
Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +3 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-03 17:58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +2 $1 38¢ $1 $-0 06-02 11:06