Realized P&L
+$677
Unrealized P&L
-$362
Hit rate
73.2%
Resolved
33
Trades
131
lifetime
Volume
$38.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$295
Open exposure
$1.73K
13 positions
First seen
2026-07-08
last 10-26 12:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
93% 70% +$562
Politics
7% 50% +$280
Crypto
0% 0% -$165
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +17,143 $300 2¢ $334 +$34 10-15 13:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? No +363 $250 88¢ $322 +$72 10-26 12:51
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +299 $210 70¢ $208 -$2 10-26 12:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? No +203 $134 98¢ $198 +$64 10-21 06:04
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026 Yes +5,776 $445 3¢ $147 -$298 08-21 01:39
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +166 $100 64¢ $105 +$5 10-26 12:45
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +147 $100 66¢ $98 -$2 10-24 16:43
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +159 $100 60¢ $96 -$4 10-26 12:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? Yes +155 $100 38¢ $60 -$40 10-23 13:37
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +2,500 $100 2¢ $51 -$49 08-03 11:44
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +385 $50 12¢ $44 -$6 10-05 14:10
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +12,500 $100 0¢ $44 -$56 10-16 15:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,267 $105 2¢ $25 -$80 10-07 06:40