Hard-Picturesque — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.6%

Resolved

Trades

123

lifetime

Volume

$25.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$208

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-04 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 100% +$0

Other

38% 0% $-2

Sports

10% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 0% $-16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	12	$3.7K	1,881	1,881	-0	open	—	05-26 11:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	9	$2.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	05-28 21:54
bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	5	$2.4K	1,600	800	+800	open	—	06-04 14:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	5	$1.8K	900	900	+0	open	—	05-18 12:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	2	$1.6K	800	800	+0	open	—	05-19 19:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	4	$1.6K	800	800	+0	open	—	05-15 02:18
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	3	$1.4K	1,050	1,050	+0	open	—	05-20 00:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	2	$998	500	500	+0	open	—	05-15 09:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	2	$997	500	500	+0	open	—	06-02 09:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$993	500	500	+0	open	—	04-21 10:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?	1	$599	600	0	+600	open	—	05-15 09:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	2	$599	300	300	+0	open	—	06-03 08:10
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?	2	$598	300	300	+0	open	—	05-17 16:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 2?	3	$598	300	300	+0	open	—	06-01 13:05
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	4	$526	400	200	+200	open	—	04-29 23:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?	2	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	04-30 02:15
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	3	$397	200	200	+0	open	—	05-09 05:46
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$388	200	200	+0	open	—	04-22 07:18
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	4	$337	201	201	+0	open	—	04-29 18:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$328	200	200	+0	No	$-16	05-05 08:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	1	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	06-01 14:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 21?	1	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	05-20 10:26
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	2	$300	150	150	+0	open	—	04-30 14:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	1	$250	250	0	+250	open	—	05-22 09:44
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 3?	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	05-03 09:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	05-07 12:11
Knicks vs. Hawks	1	$100	213	0	+213	open	—	04-25 16:45
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	1	$100	196	0	+196	open	—	04-25 16:45
nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	2	$94	134	0	+134	open	—	04-18 02:57
nba orl det 2026 04 19	1	$79	100	0	+100	open	—	04-19 13:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 14:24:03	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	800	100¢	$799	0xa8835c…
06-04 05:56:18	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	596	99¢	$591	0x84ef0f…
06-04 05:54:36	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	151	99¢	$150	0x994013…
06-04 05:52:19	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x3db549…
06-04 02:34:10	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	800	99¢	$792	0xb6589a…
06-03 08:10:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x82bd3b…
06-03 02:34:36	Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x6e06de…
06-03 02:15:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x92a289…
06-03 01:17:52	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x60d3a1…
06-02 20:45:51	Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbca5fd…
06-02 14:02:44	Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x18cc41…
06-02 10:55:10	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x3be44e…
06-02 10:47:49	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0xa5eae0…
06-02 09:22:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x7447a6…
06-02 08:21:40	Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x559ccc…
06-02 06:33:06	Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8e57b8…
06-02 06:01:50	Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x9ece4a…
06-02 04:44:08	Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x072e98…
06-02 04:28:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xf1ed78…
06-02 03:46:06	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x4a7e8a…
06-02 03:36:09	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xa0b5eb…
06-02 03:25:55	Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x13852c…
06-01 14:28:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xccb18f…
06-01 13:05:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	228	100¢	$227	0x4e000d…
06-01 13:02:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x324932…
06-01 10:20:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x2f5529…
05-28 21:54:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	700	100¢	$699	0xfac4ba…
05-28 09:09:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	700	100¢	$698	0x094e0d…
05-27 11:56:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	700	100¢	$697	0x8e1492…
05-27 07:17:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xf9a264…
05-27 06:57:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0x6ba831…
05-27 06:43:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xef8606…
05-27 06:39:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xeb7813…
05-27 06:34:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x6b3465…
05-27 06:26:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	376	100¢	$374	0x732f4c…
05-26 11:51:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	279	100¢	$278	0xbce296…
05-26 11:50:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	421	100¢	$420	0x5c87cd…
05-26 09:13:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	700	100¢	$697	0x647398…
05-22 09:44:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x86118e…
05-22 05:35:34	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xcf00be…
05-22 03:09:21	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x3dafeb…
05-21 01:23:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	450	98¢	$443	0xd81b3d…
05-20 18:12:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	345	98¢	$339	0xd897b2…
05-20 17:56:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x309ccf…
05-20 15:37:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x61046a…
05-20 15:34:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	78	98¢	$76	0xc8801f…
05-20 14:59:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd72814…
05-20 10:26:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x1934c7…
05-20 10:25:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	731	98¢	$719	0x69c9ba…
05-20 08:57:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	631	98¢	$618	0x13730f…
05-20 08:51:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x55bd2c…
05-20 00:34:57	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	1,050	70¢	$735	0x3bd36f…
05-20 00:14:39	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	1,000	66¢	$660	0x076588…
05-20 00:04:44	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xc4474e…
05-19 19:09:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	800	100¢	$799	0x7e3ec1…
05-19 06:11:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	800	100¢	$798	0x943801…
05-18 12:45:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	900	100¢	$896	0x9aa15b…
05-18 09:38:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	690	99¢	$686	0x40acda…
05-18 09:29:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0x62c722…
05-18 09:21:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$91	0xc186d7…
05-18 09:16:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd8a570…
05-17 16:15:17	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0xf49077…
05-15 09:26:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0xdc962c…
05-15 09:01:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x908d8b…
05-15 08:19:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x565429…
05-15 02:18:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x6e3308…
05-11 03:22:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xa306f9…
05-10 14:04:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0x47b9b2…
05-09 06:28:21	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x6d4707…
05-09 06:27:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xd1ec9f…
05-09 05:46:21	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	141	99¢	$140	0xd17024…
05-09 05:43:10	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	59	99¢	$59	0x168800…
05-07 12:11:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x9c8984…
05-07 12:08:54	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xb43ca1…
05-05 16:31:42	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0xfa0c8d…
05-05 14:50:32	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0xd531b1…
05-05 08:15:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0xfda229…
05-04 10:02:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x4a37f6…
05-03 09:09:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 3?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x589f15…
04-30 14:30:22	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x9d892b…
04-30 02:15:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0xc07444…
04-30 02:01:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x3cd3af…
04-29 23:58:00	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0xba0c80…
04-29 18:02:30	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	201	85¢	$171	0xb3e195…
04-29 15:53:16	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x89cdcd…
04-29 15:20:40	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x6f1004…
04-29 14:26:32	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	68	83¢	$56	0xa44184…
04-29 05:00:20	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xa219d1…
04-27 18:38:22	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	190	89¢	$169	0xca240a…
04-27 18:37:06	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xf6cbf5…
04-27 02:00:36	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x3254d1…
04-25 20:34:04	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x65a3f7…
04-25 16:45:14	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x873418…
04-25 16:45:06	Knicks vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xc2fad8…
04-24 21:02:02	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x074b67…
04-24 13:44:42	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x78e256…
04-24 13:44:24	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0xa17dde…
04-24 13:44:04	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xd5015c…
04-23 12:57:04	nba den min 2026 04 23	Nuggets	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xad280d…
04-23 12:56:38	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	Knicks	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x9a9a39…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Knowledgeable-Newsprint 0x72c3…62e4	39	$17.3K	71	06-04 14:25
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	35	$42.8K	605	06-08 23:59
Brilliant-Lookout 0xca24…686b	34	$17.5K	87	06-04 14:22
Usable-Footprint 0xc86e…5632	33	$14.6K	113	06-04 14:22
Distorted-Experiment 0x6d74…fb6c	33	$13.7K	60	06-04 14:23
Remorseful-Feel 0x0de6…9933	31	$14.1K	94	06-04 14:23
Mealy-East 0x2594…bacd	28	$15.6K	53	06-04 14:30
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	27	$84.9K	1,313	06-09 11:37