Hard-Picturesque — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.97K

Unrealized P&L

-$41

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved

408

Trades

1,047

lifetime

Volume

$165.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$158

Open exposure

$109

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 10-29 11:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Other

79% 54% -$1,632

Crypto

18% 91% +$86

Sports

2% 43% -$406

Politics

1% 18% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+200	$80	36¢	$71	-$9	10-24 15:19
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+500	$40	5¢	$25	-$15	10-28 22:57
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+200	$30	6¢	$13	-$17	10-07 09:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	12	$3.9K	1,948	1,948	+0	No	+$9	06-16 03:04
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	7	$3.8K	1,918	1,918	+0	No	+$6	06-19 18:52
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	3	$3.8K	1,900	1,900	+0	No	+$4	06-16 13:56
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	3	$3.8K	1,900	1,900	+0	No	+$3	06-13 05:03
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	15	$3.8K	1,900	1,900	+0	No	+$8	06-14 08:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	12	$3.7K	1,881	1,881	-0	No	+$5	05-26 11:51
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	4	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$6	06-11 16:51
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	6	$2.9K	1,436	1,436	+0	No	+$8	06-21 14:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	9	$2.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$1	05-28 21:54
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	4	$2.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$14	06-19 07:05
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	5	$2.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$2	06-08 15:30
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	7	$2.7K	1,400	1,400	-0	No	-$90	06-26 06:41
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	11	$2.6K	1,317	1,317	+0	No	+$11	06-18 14:20
bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	5	$2.4K	1,600	800	+800	No	+$2	06-04 14:24
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	12	$2.2K	1,088	1,088	-0	No	+$3	06-28 18:09
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	5	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$16	06-21 14:58
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$2	06-14 22:04
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	12	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$1	06-05 16:36
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	2	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$4	06-14 22:05
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	11	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$1	06-08 12:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	5	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$1	05-18 12:45
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	4	$1.8K	899	899	+0	No	+$6	06-20 20:43
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	3	$1.6K	833	833	+0	No	+$2	06-11 08:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	2	$1.6K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$1	05-19 19:09
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	2	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$2	07-12 17:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	4	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$0	05-15 02:18
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	4	$1.6K	1,253	353	+900	No	+$17	07-06 04:36
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	4	$1.4K	736	736	+0	No	+$27	08-04 13:52
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	3	$1.4K	1,050	1,050	+0	Knicks	+$41	05-20 00:34
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	4	$1.4K	714	714	+0	No	+$14	07-08 19:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 11:35:50	Gangwon FC vs. Kuching City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	59	9¢	$5	0xabe80d…
10-29 11:34:32	Gangwon FC vs. Kuching City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	132	9¢	$12	0xce7199…
10-29 11:33:16	Gangwon FC vs. Kuching City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x6c2546…
10-29 11:24:44	Gangwon FC vs. Kuching City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x3015b6…
10-29 04:34:29	CF América vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x7a94ed…
10-29 04:02:47	Seattle Sounders FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x21ad82…
10-29 03:57:52	Seattle Sounders FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xe965a8…
10-29 01:56:19	Atletico Tucuman vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x04aace…
10-29 01:30:20	Toronto FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x9e0522…
10-29 01:30:19	Toronto FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x69d601…
10-29 01:30:17	Toronto FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0xb82cd0…
10-29 01:30:17	Toronto FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x98bb69…
10-29 01:30:16	Toronto FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0x13346b…
10-28 22:57:17	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xa01754…
10-25 15:43:59	Hull City AFC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xcbb9ec…
10-25 15:43:09	Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x8aa298…
10-25 09:12:32	Paju Frontier FC vs. Hwaseong FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x728d54…
10-25 08:54:29	Kawasaki Frontale vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xc64613…
10-25 08:49:29	Kawasaki Frontale vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xc8a3b3…
10-25 07:51:23	Iwaki FC vs. Júbilo Iwata: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x149244…
10-25 05:49:42	Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x4d0f77…
10-25 05:46:29	Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x39f302…
10-25 05:04:30	Pumas de la UNAM vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x37a429…
10-25 03:23:33	Real Salt Lake vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x45cbb0…
10-25 01:40:39	Orlando City SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xb96f44…
10-24 18:47:27	CF Montréal vs. Nashville SC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x36422a…
10-24 17:46:15	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc64176…
10-24 17:46:14	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xb75a94…
10-24 17:41:03	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x8e2a05…
10-24 15:45:42	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x8abbfc…
10-24 15:19:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0xd0080a…
10-24 15:05:17	RB Leipzig vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x91908e…
10-24 14:49:02	IK Sirius vs. AIK: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xf2eefd…
10-24 13:50:42	Córdoba CF vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x7bcc83…
10-24 13:13:56	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0xce3b5e…
10-24 10:28:23	Melbourne Victory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xf93167…
10-24 09:20:51	Gimpo FC vs. Gimhae FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x088c0d…
10-24 08:50:56	Gamba Ōsaka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x4cbf26…
10-24 07:47:30	Kashima Antlers vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x57dca1…
10-24 05:11:14	Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x605c9a…
10-23 02:41:23	Atlético Nacional vs. AD Pasto: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0xeabd27…
10-23 02:08:56	Atlético Nacional vs. AD Pasto: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	57	15¢	$9	0x0407ad…
10-23 02:08:14	Atlético Nacional vs. AD Pasto: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	243	15¢	$36	0xf64881…
10-22 16:45:02	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?	Yes	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0x369df8…
10-22 10:17:50	Persik Kediri vs. PSS Sleman: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x370905…
10-22 08:20:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	47	60¢	$28	0xc22610…
10-22 08:20:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	84	60¢	$50	0x9b2532…
10-22 08:19:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	69	60¢	$41	0xee2ddc…
10-22 02:52:51	Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x2656dc…
10-22 02:52:50	Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xdac320…
10-22 02:52:48	Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xafa5e0…
10-22 02:52:48	Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x20dbe4…
10-22 02:52:48	Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x1a937b…
10-22 02:52:47	Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	63	35¢	$22	0x4ccfed…
10-22 02:49:57	Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xbb3aad…
10-22 02:49:42	Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	176	45¢	$79	0x1323de…
10-21 16:39:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	Yes	SELL	200	70¢	$140	0xb0c35d…
10-21 13:04:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x0ed73b…
10-21 01:32:23	CD Guadalajara vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x24de6e…
10-21 01:14:36	Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Atlético Nacional: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0xcec5ca…
10-21 01:14:35	Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Atlético Nacional: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x577f44…
10-21 01:14:33	Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Atlético Nacional: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0xa80c4e…
10-21 01:14:30	Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Atlético Nacional: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	47	5¢	$2	0xf42c20…
10-21 01:14:30	Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Atlético Nacional: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	184	5¢	$9	0x453f7d…
10-21 01:13:39	Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Atlético Nacional: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x3b67bc…
10-20 00:49:02	SC Corinthians Paulista vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	97	30¢	$29	0xea61f5…
10-20 00:48:56	SC Corinthians Paulista vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x788f72…
10-19 03:00:26	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	94	10¢	$9	0x1a49b9…
10-19 03:00:24	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	111	10¢	$11	0xff656b…
10-19 03:00:24	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xeb6fc6…
10-19 03:00:24	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xc49801…
10-19 03:00:24	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xc36ac7…
10-19 03:00:24	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xc289ef…
10-19 03:00:24	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xba8de0…
10-19 03:00:24	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x6ca4f4…
10-19 03:00:24	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x668236…
10-19 03:00:24	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x406d31…
10-19 03:00:24	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x3759bf…
10-19 03:00:24	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x28673a…
10-19 03:00:23	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xffe58f…
10-19 03:00:23	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xde1dfb…
10-19 03:00:23	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xbe2400…
10-19 03:00:23	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x9ce714…
10-19 03:00:23	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x92ecdd…
10-19 03:00:23	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x86f50e…
10-19 03:00:23	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x70a0c5…
10-19 03:00:21	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xda0c61…
10-19 02:34:24	AD Cali vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x5a42bf…
10-19 02:31:23	AD Cali vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	300	15¢	$45	0xbbffa5…
10-19 01:48:32	CSD Municipal vs. CD Guastatoya: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x5bcf10…
10-18 17:14:47	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xd0c63b…
10-18 17:10:56	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x4a7064…
10-18 16:41:36	Vålerenga Fotball vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x522045…
10-18 16:39:56	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x0c664d…
10-18 15:46:33	Odense BK vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xc89ca1…
10-18 15:44:14	Odense BK vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xe673f2…
10-18 15:44:14	Odense BK vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	99	35¢	$35	0x0dafaa…
10-18 15:22:47	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	16¢	$31	0x3e4eb0…
10-18 14:23:45	SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. AZ: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x80285c…
10-18 14:23:39	SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. AZ: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xf5b191…