Clear-Cut-Math — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$64

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved

Trades

317

lifetime

Volume

$3.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-17

last 07-12 03:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 76% $-28

Other

14% 0% $-30

Politics

3% 0% $-6

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No		+51	$5	4¢	$2	$-3	07-12 01:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	6	$256	247	247	+0	Up	$-4	05-06 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	6	$166	290	94	+196	Down	$-134	05-06 08:39
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 26	6	$159	189	186	+3	open	—	03-26 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	6	$154	230	230	+0	Down	$-6	05-05 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	7	$126	406	406	+0	Down	+$26	05-05 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	6	$113	322	322	+0	Up	+$19	05-06 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	6	$112	164	164	+0	Up	+$12	05-06 07:48
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 26	2	$92	56	55	+1	open	—	03-26 07:37
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$88	587	87	+500	open	—	05-06 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$77	83	83	+0	Up	+$17	05-06 07:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 25	2	$64	36	36	+0	open	—	03-25 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	6	$58	59	59	+0	open	—	05-22 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	3	$56	55	55	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 07:36
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 25	2	$52	38	38	+1	open	—	03-25 14:22
btc updown 5m 1771522500	5	$51	1,398	33	+1,365	open	—	02-19 17:40
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	2	$49	44	44	+0	open	—	07-01 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	4	$46	52	52	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$44	243	243	+0	Down	+$4	05-06 05:37
bitcoin up or down on march 25 2026	2	$43	24	24	+0	open	—	03-25 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$42	48	48	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 15:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$41	36	36	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 16:01
bitcoin above 70k on march 25	2	$38	25	25	+0	open	—	03-25 05:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$34	1,404	904	+500	open	—	05-15 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$33	29	29	+0	Down	+$13	05-06 05:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	05-22 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-22 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	3	$31	177	177	+0	Down	$-9	05-06 07:54
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	2	$29	21	21	+0	open	—	03-25 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$28	22	22	+0	Up	+$8	05-06 06:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	5	$28	26	26	+0	open	—	05-22 07:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 03:28:31	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	58	33¢	$19	0x2a57e3…
07-12 01:54:53	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0xad888e…
07-12 01:53:25	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	No	BUY	118	8¢	$10	0x1ee2d4…
07-11 04:24:35	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	No	BUY	1,300	0¢	$1	0x93970c…
07-01 16:38:28	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total away 1pt5	Over	SELL	34	27¢	$9	0x399c69…
07-01 16:13:41	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	34	27¢	$9	0x67c2ed…
07-01 10:57:47	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	74	6¢	$4	0x34727b…
07-01 03:45:46	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team total home 2pt5	Over	SELL	32	19¢	$6	0xab77e1…
07-01 03:45:37	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	44	37¢	$16	0x89d8a0…
07-01 03:13:11	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	44	75¢	$33	0xe866ba…
07-01 02:38:26	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x66d2a8…
06-22 14:44:49	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	No	BUY	39	4¢	$2	0x581121…
06-17 05:34:38	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0xd5ce5b…
06-14 14:53:48	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x31e62a…
06-14 14:42:40	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x65f88d…
06-14 14:33:24	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	320	0¢	$1	0xe8a4f3…
06-14 14:16:40	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x49c1aa…
06-13 13:04:10	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	SELL	24	13¢	$3	0x9ff325…
06-13 11:45:16	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xb13845…
06-13 10:56:19	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x2696f3…
06-13 10:26:49	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x5e6f6d…
06-13 00:20:37	Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x159b41…
06-12 22:39:01	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1fcdd9…
06-12 14:35:39	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xd87cf6…
06-12 14:11:10	will gwynne shotwell be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212482	No	BUY	188	1¢	$2	0xae66d2…
06-12 11:21:27	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xf11461…
06-12 11:20:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	SELL	71	10¢	$7	0xf562f8…
06-12 09:07:31	btc updown 5m 1781255100	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc0bb29…
06-12 08:35:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x555643…
06-12 04:12:18	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0cb8f2…
06-11 10:24:01	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0xec6222…
06-11 04:53:30	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x98f378…
06-11 02:34:34	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt75t by june 30	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x63340f…
06-11 00:21:52	will ethereum dip to 1600 on june 10	No	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x2b18f0…
06-10 23:29:49	will ethereum dip to 1600 on june 10	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x738b0d…
06-10 17:36:03	atp torres zarate 2026 06 08	Carlos Maria Zarate	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xeeca57…
06-10 17:34:28	atp zapico coria 2026 06 08	Segundo Goity Zapico	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xfadcfc…
06-10 14:31:42	lol sgw dino 2026 06 10	Saigon Dino	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x0c5058…
06-10 14:29:04	atp doubles arrioli borgpol 2026 06 08	Borges/Polmans	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x932da4…
06-10 14:28:25	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 200 high 20260608191407796	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x5ee1b8…
06-10 13:39:57	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 300 high 20260608191407794	Yes	SELL	57	2¢	$1	0x074164…
06-10 12:29:25	lol sgw dino 2026 06 10	Saigon Dino	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x34fc54…
06-10 10:42:22	itf zantede troiano 2026 06 10	Carolina Troiano	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4c9a9a…
06-10 10:41:18	atp zapico coria 2026 06 08	Segundo Goity Zapico	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4b4f20…
06-10 10:38:43	cs2 aaa rust 2026 06 10	against All authority	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0xd4fe5b…
06-10 09:40:15	lol we blg 2026 06 13	Team WE	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xcf76a5…
06-10 09:36:54	cs2 aaa rust 2026 06 10	against All authority	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x96f6a6…
06-10 09:25:25	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 300 high 20260608191407794	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x8ba9a8…
06-10 09:24:49	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 200 high 20260608191407796	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9ae6db…
06-06 09:18:21	btc updown 5m 1780737300	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x7ad9d2…
06-06 09:14:21	bitcoin above 60k on june 6 2026 252	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x97d6fe…
06-06 07:45:33	bitcoin above 60k on june 6 2026 252	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x24a719…
06-04 11:31:13	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	No	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x155d87…
06-04 11:29:55	cs2 nemi1 bw 2026 06 04	Bushido Wildcats	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe79f57…
06-04 02:37:33	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	No	BUY	41	33¢	$14	0xf8d3ad…
06-04 02:26:10	mlb tex stl 2026 06 03	Texas Rangers	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6cc92e…
06-04 02:15:21	cs2 nemi1 bw 2026 06 04	Bushido Wildcats	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2f61c1…
06-04 02:02:37	dota2 eb nem 2026 06 03	Estar Backs	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x717046…
06-04 01:43:45	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xe8303b…
06-03 14:57:52	Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x7c70de…
06-03 13:19:55	Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Sharks	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x2afa10…
06-03 13:18:36	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Arends/Pel vs Halys/Herbert	Arends/Pel	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x9d5d0f…
06-03 13:14:38	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Arends/Pel vs Halys/Herbert	Arends/Pel	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9ab676…
06-03 13:03:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x4b5ce4…
06-03 09:56:00	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	EDward Gaming	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x8540c3…
06-03 09:55:55	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	EDward Gaming	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x52511d…
05-22 15:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x5b911d…
05-22 15:55:16	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x84da4b…
05-22 15:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	17	67¢	$11	0x3ee39d…
05-22 15:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x5bb947…
05-22 15:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	47¢	$10	0xf553fa…
05-22 15:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x5a69f6…
05-22 15:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	22	44¢	$10	0xdee460…
05-22 15:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xe2cc4d…
05-22 15:42:33	Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2	Eternal Fire	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0xc3bb95…
05-22 15:35:26	Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2	Eternal Fire	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0xa73b72…
05-22 10:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	48	8¢	$4	0x56b5d2…
05-22 10:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x90ac33…
05-22 09:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	42	47¢	$20	0x0e4018…
05-22 09:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x1955e4…
05-22 09:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x05898c…
05-22 08:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	20	83¢	$16	0xac42b0…
05-22 08:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x3b8902…
05-22 08:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0x501e79…
05-22 08:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0x6fb2cb…
05-22 07:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	14	81¢	$11	0x08b69d…
05-22 07:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xf9ebee…
05-22 07:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x7fc465…
05-22 07:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0x0ca438…
05-22 07:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0xd49b04…
05-22 07:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xf2d8c3…
05-22 07:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	73¢	$8	0x46f638…
05-22 07:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x987e84…
05-22 07:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x9ba312…
05-22 07:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xad6782…
05-22 06:57:05	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	No	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x431c9e…
05-20 15:31:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x8887d6…
05-20 15:30:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x0ee211…
05-20 15:30:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xd1b5b9…
05-20 15:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2bbe45…