Clear-Cut-Math — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$314

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

317

Trades

593

lifetime

Volume

$4.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 09-13 12:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 60% -$90

Other

42% 21% -$169

Politics

3% 10% -$38

Tech

1% 20% -$4

Sports

1% 33% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	6	$256	247	247	+0	Up	-$4	05-06 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	6	$166	290	94	+196	Down	-$134	05-06 08:39
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 26	6	$159	189	186	+3	No	-$13	03-26 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	6	$154	230	230	+0	Down	-$6	05-05 15:59
Portugal leading at halftime?	3	$129	77	77	+0	Yes	+$24	06-23 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	7	$126	406	406	+0	Down	+$26	05-05 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	6	$113	322	322	+0	Up	+$19	05-06 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	6	$112	164	164	+0	Up	+$12	05-06 07:48
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	3	$111	769	769	+0	No	+$61	05-15 09:23
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	2	$95	109	109	+0	Yes	+$75	05-05 17:26
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 26	2	$92	56	55	+1	No	+$11	03-26 07:37
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$88	587	87	+500	No	+$82	05-06 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$77	83	83	+0	Up	+$17	05-06 07:57
Mexico leading at halftime?	2	$74	64	64	+0	Yes	+$34	07-01 02:25
Argentina leading at halftime?	3	$65	48	48	+0	Yes	+$27	07-12 01:52
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 25	2	$64	36	36	+0	Yes	+$6	03-25 15:41
Jordan leading at halftime?	4	$63	58	58	+0	Yes	+$46	06-23 03:47
England leading at halftime?	1	$61	95	0	+95	No	-$61	06-23 18:11
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	3	$60	1,072	72	+1,000	Yes	+$30	05-06 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	6	$58	59	59	+0	Up	+$3	05-22 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	3	$56	55	55	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 07:36
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 25	2	$52	38	38	+1	Yes	+$7	03-25 14:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 17:35 UTC	5	$51	1,398	33	+1,365	Down	-$5	02-19 17:40
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador?	2	$50	29	29	+0	Yes	+$8	07-01 04:08
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	2	$49	44	44	+0	Under	-$17	07-01 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	4	$46	52	52	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$44	243	243	+0	Down	+$4	05-06 05:37
bitcoin up or down on march 25 2026	2	$43	24	24	+0	Up	+$2	03-25 11:39
England leading at halftime?	3	$43	54	54	+0	No	-$16	07-01 16:08
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	5	$42	66	66	+0	Yes	+$14	09-12 07:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 12:53:51	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x08386e…
09-13 12:40:19	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xa1fcdb…
09-13 07:13:45	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 13?	No	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0xf50433…
09-13 07:04:34	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12.5 and 15 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	72	0¢	$0	0xa99126…
09-13 06:55:22	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12.5 and 15 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa6b343…
09-13 06:53:45	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12.5 and 15 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xf76520…
09-13 06:53:45	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12.5 and 15 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x932d83…
09-13 06:53:45	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12.5 and 15 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x897cde…
09-13 06:53:45	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12.5 and 15 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x33fe50…
09-13 06:49:15	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12.5 and 15 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x58058f…
09-13 06:43:21	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12.5 and 15 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xddf49d…
09-13 06:38:46	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12.5 and 15 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe26e0a…
09-13 06:00:46	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12.5 and 15 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	68	0¢	$0	0x47c6b7…
09-13 05:30:51	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12.5 and 15 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0x87b552…
09-12 18:21:07	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 12?	No	BUY	39	10¢	$4	0x1977de…
09-12 16:49:22	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 12?	No	BUY	39	10¢	$4	0xc40a07…
09-12 16:41:25	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 12?	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xcfa9bd…
09-12 16:03:36	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	1,750	0¢	$4	0xdec6ae…
09-12 16:02:00	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xafba1f…
09-12 16:01:58	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdc22f8…
09-12 16:01:58	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7e8b02…
09-12 16:01:58	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7a51e3…
09-12 16:01:58	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x159c70…
09-12 16:01:48	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x69f536…
09-12 16:01:46	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4c849f…
09-12 16:01:43	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xee67c4…
09-12 16:01:42	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd9c5b8…
09-12 16:01:04	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf5abd9…
09-12 16:01:01	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xee8f6a…
09-12 16:01:01	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6e22cc…
09-12 16:01:01	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x35a122…
09-12 07:13:39	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	51	39¢	$20	0x76683a…
09-12 06:44:57	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	449	0¢	$1	0xca3b21…
09-12 06:16:10	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	78	0¢	$0	0x39db9b…
09-12 04:53:00	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	72	0¢	$0	0xecfa32…
09-12 04:30:31	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xc72325…
09-12 02:16:00	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	310	1¢	$3	0xc57688…
09-12 01:33:25	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	6	57¢	$4	0xd49f2f…
09-11 23:45:01	Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	186	1¢	$3	0xbd9c52…
09-11 23:44:40	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0xc7a01e…
09-10 19:06:48	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	66	22¢	$14	0x540647…
07-19 14:55:43	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	164	8¢	$13	0xadb3f5…
07-12 03:28:31	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	58	33¢	$19	0x2a57e3…
07-12 03:01:04	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x87a76f…
07-12 02:47:56	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$12	0x8014d6…
07-12 02:46:46	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	37	35¢	$13	0x880455…
07-12 01:56:13	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	37	78¢	$29	0x41ab94…
07-12 01:54:53	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0xad888e…
07-12 01:53:25	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	No	BUY	118	8¢	$10	0x1ee2d4…
07-12 01:52:59	Argentina leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x866596…
07-11 04:24:35	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	No	BUY	1,300	0¢	$1	0x93970c…
07-11 04:23:31	Argentina leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x960fca…
07-11 01:37:52	Argentina leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	48	39¢	$19	0x31699d…
07-01 16:41:14	DR Congo to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	82	11¢	$9	0x0d9c56…
07-01 16:40:10	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	38	25¢	$9	0x6c4a88…
07-01 16:38:53	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	38	23¢	$9	0x1ce610…
07-01 16:38:28	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total away 1pt5	Over	SELL	34	27¢	$9	0x399c69…
07-01 16:13:41	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	34	27¢	$9	0x67c2ed…
07-01 16:08:59	England leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	45	21¢	$10	0x11d17f…
07-01 10:57:47	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	74	6¢	$4	0x34727b…
07-01 10:56:56	England leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0xfd1657…
07-01 05:44:26	England leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	54	55¢	$29	0xe83149…
07-01 04:08:01	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x20168b…
07-01 03:48:34	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador?	Yes	BUY	29	72¢	$21	0x6d2dd4…
07-01 03:45:46	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team total home 2pt5	Over	SELL	32	19¢	$6	0xab77e1…
07-01 03:45:37	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	44	37¢	$16	0x89d8a0…
07-01 03:13:11	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	44	75¢	$33	0xe866ba…
07-01 02:38:26	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x66d2a8…
07-01 02:25:05	Mexico leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	64	84¢	$54	0xea701b…
06-30 22:53:55	Mexico leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0x8f7605…
06-30 13:46:11	Norway leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x682850…
06-30 01:51:16	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	32	24¢	$8	0x8f7ead…
06-30 01:50:31	Netherlands vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x607264…
06-30 01:38:05	Netherlands vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xb1d920…
06-30 01:37:32	Netherlands leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	46	14¢	$6	0xd8f271…
06-30 01:03:50	Netherlands leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	46	30¢	$14	0x7c64fd…
06-29 17:44:01	Germany leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x7c3242…
06-29 05:36:53	Brazil leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0xf3ded7…
06-28 00:30:59	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	53	45¢	$24	0x6f7768…
06-28 00:25:05	Colombia vs. Portugal: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x26d430…
06-27 14:18:13	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	84	38¢	$32	0x256cd5…
06-27 14:17:46	Colombia vs. Portugal: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x835669…
06-25 11:40:50	Germany leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	13	49¢	$7	0x05d198…
06-24 01:07:55	Colombia leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	14	47¢	$6	0xf0590c…
06-24 01:05:08	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x58f8a7…
06-24 00:25:50	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x762dc9…
06-24 00:25:11	Croatia to win the second half?	Yes	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x633572…
06-23 23:47:50	Croatia to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	7	52¢	$3	0x7419b3…
06-23 23:46:35	Croatia leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	60	6¢	$4	0xb6ed7f…
06-23 22:09:13	Croatia leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0xc9e507…
06-23 22:06:32	England vs. Ghana: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x6a5f86…
06-23 18:11:41	England vs. Ghana: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x22521d…
06-23 18:11:26	England leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	95	64¢	$61	0x5bf85a…
06-23 18:10:59	Ghana leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0xc6e646…
06-23 17:43:49	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	SELL	67	5¢	$3	0x09b105…
06-23 17:43:34	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	67	6¢	$4	0xf0e8dc…
06-23 17:20:22	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	77	99¢	$77	0xf97269…
06-23 08:39:10	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	62	68¢	$42	0x6b16fc…
06-23 08:38:22	Uzbekistan leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x41df90…
06-23 06:00:49	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xa9ac6a…