Novel-Jasmine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.18K

Unrealized P&L

+$21

Hit rate

45.8%

Resolved

238

Trades

2,427

lifetime

Volume

$173.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$71

Open exposure

$461

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-05 18:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Other

59% 40% -$4,629

Sports

32% 54% -$2,860

Politics

6% 33% -$441

Crypto

3% 67% +$747

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+450	$338	90¢	$403	+$65	08-28 19:25
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+101	$57	30¢	$31	-$26	08-18 15:44
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+879	$55	3¢	$26	-$29	08-27 12:05
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	-300	-$11	0¢	$-1	+$10	05-20 16:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	73	$17.8K	27,960	22,239	+5,721	No	-$2,465	09-16 05:08
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	25	$5.1K	9,577	0	+9,577	Yes	-$5,100	10-16 15:11
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	46	$4.8K	5,356	5,268	+88	Yes	-$128	01-30 18:15
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	44	$4.6K	4,411	1,700	+2,711	No	+$919	06-24 04:55
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$4.4K	9,393	1,316	+8,077	No	-$3,341	07-19 10:45
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	61	$4.1K	5,758	5,758	+0	No	+$212	07-14 08:30
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	38	$3.6K	4,950	4,018	+933	Yes	+$856	09-19 14:12
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	51	$3.5K	7,568	0	+7,568	No	+$4,087	07-19 09:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	29	$3.4K	4,251	3,932	+319	Yes	+$139	02-20 22:40
will switzerland reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134472	19	$2.9K	4,785	0	+4,785	Yes	-$2,871	07-07 17:43
will norway reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134501	2	$2.8K	4,040	0	+4,040	Yes	-$2,773	07-05 07:21
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	80	$2.7K	15,252	10,500	+4,752	No	+$444	10-26 17:43
fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 btts	89	$2.7K	2,467	2,467	+0	No	+$25	06-20 17:15
will spain reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134495	24	$2.6K	4,001	0	+4,001	Yes	+$1,360	07-06 16:46
will mexico reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134467	28	$2.6K	4,337	575	+3,761	No	+$1,763	07-05 19:47
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	50	$2.6K	1,724	1,730	-6	No	-$13	01-29 10:27
ucl hmi stu1 2026 07 28 team to advance	4	$2.6K	2,431	464	+1,967	SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz	+$214	07-28 07:22
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 team total away 0pt5	2	$2.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	Under	-$40	06-21 08:27
Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?	3	$2.6K	3,715	0	+3,715	No	-$2,543	09-27 18:44
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?	33	$2.5K	5,500	0	+5,500	No	+$2,970	07-19 04:20
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	50	$2.3K	2,823	509	+2,314	Yes	-$1,623	06-09 15:39
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$54	04-30 09:19
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	15	$2.2K	5,500	0	+5,500	Yes	-$2,170	07-05 07:58
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	67	$2.1K	2,700	2,700	+0	No	+$27	07-12 14:59
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	125	$2.1K	9,160	0	+9,160	Yes	-$2,120	06-24 16:26
Will France win on 2026-09-28?	25	$2.0K	2,700	1,380	+1,320	Yes	+$564	09-28 18:21
fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	15	$2.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$2,040	06-18 16:31
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	11	$1.8K	3,000	0	+3,000	Switzerland	-$1,800	07-07 18:48
will algeria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120773	26	$1.8K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	-$53	06-30 09:02
Germany to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?	70	$1.6K	5,500	0	+5,500	No	+$3,850	06-20 12:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 18:49:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	15¢	$60	0x635399…
11-04 01:15:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	16¢	$64	0x154578…
11-03 17:50:55	Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xddf735…
11-03 17:40:27	Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5e724d…
11-01 16:21:31	Will FK Spartak Moskva win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x9f3529…
10-31 16:04:10	1win FDV above $45M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	171	70¢	$120	0x967291…
10-31 07:57:04	1win FDV above $45M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	28	75¢	$21	0x8ee62a…
10-30 18:13:22	1win FDV above $45M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	49	54¢	$27	0x4e16ea…
10-30 16:49:04	1win FDV above $45M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	144	65¢	$94	0xe051be…
10-30 16:31:33	1win FDV above $45M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xfc0329…
10-26 17:43:39	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x155d9f…
10-26 17:41:36	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	500	26¢	$131	0xe041bb…
10-25 11:22:14	Will FK Rostov win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x4804d4…
10-24 12:18:23	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	332	82¢	$272	0x6350ae…
10-24 12:16:41	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	62	82¢	$51	0x46781c…
10-24 12:16:41	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x2b5cd0…
10-24 12:15:18	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x5989d8…
10-24 12:14:59	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	275	82¢	$225	0xd0e027…
10-24 12:14:36	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	31	82¢	$26	0xe291ab…
10-24 12:14:36	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x6f9a2f…
10-24 12:13:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	115	82¢	$94	0xf6a93f…
10-24 12:07:54	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xa80520…
10-24 12:07:45	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x39a445…
10-24 12:07:26	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x61167e…
10-24 12:07:17	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x113496…
10-24 12:07:06	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xc7b1ed…
10-24 12:05:18	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	625	82¢	$513	0xd0f7bd…
10-22 16:40:18	OFI vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Bayer 04 Leverkusen O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x756121…
10-21 18:23:20	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: Aston Villa FC O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x3a1c3f…
10-21 18:22:23	Club Brugge KV vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x9fbebd…
10-21 18:19:03	Sporting CP vs. LASK Linz: Sporting CP O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0xfde195…
10-21 18:19:03	Sporting CP vs. LASK Linz: Sporting CP O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x504554…
10-21 16:20:11	Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK: Galatasaray SK O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0xc7ecd4…
10-21 05:23:38	Warriors vs. Lakers	Warriors	BUY	132	34¢	$45	0x4c4449…
10-20 18:14:50	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xcbb6ad…
10-20 14:30:50	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	150	61¢	$91	0x741f0d…
10-20 13:22:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$34	0xc7b945…
10-19 17:58:38	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	163	59¢	$96	0x8cc525…
10-19 17:54:47	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x523979…
10-19 17:54:29	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	320	59¢	$189	0x079b2e…
10-19 17:53:05	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0xb5be57…
10-19 17:50:32	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	502	59¢	$296	0x86c843…
10-19 13:28:24	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	86	4¢	$3	0x0ac6cc…
10-19 13:05:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	914	3¢	$32	0x5cdcae…
10-18 15:21:17	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	2,500	3¢	$68	0x644d5b…
10-16 15:11:31	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	747	36¢	$266	0x7e54dd…
10-16 11:30:36	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	806	29¢	$234	0xd9e68b…
10-15 05:06:16	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	110	30¢	$33	0x199414…
10-14 18:41:19	ucl sba stu 2026 10 14 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xb3ad4e…
10-14 18:40:55	ucl sba stu 2026 10 14 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x5ec740…
10-14 18:37:28	ucl rom rma 2026 10 14 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0xaac092…
10-14 18:36:07	ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x9446b1…
10-13 19:53:16	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x6fddc1…
10-13 17:56:21	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x2b392f…
10-13 12:47:29	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	160	31¢	$50	0xdc7a05…
10-13 12:47:29	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x3a649a…
10-13 12:47:29	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0x302d77…
10-13 12:47:28	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	221	31¢	$68	0x9db96d…
10-13 11:53:05	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	413	31¢	$129	0x04cd23…
10-13 11:46:23	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x3734ff…
10-13 11:40:34	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	84	31¢	$26	0x9fd722…
10-13 09:51:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,980	4¢	$75	0xeb541e…
10-13 09:36:02	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x42e0ae…
10-12 19:19:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	2,000	3¢	$60	0xe7d201…
10-12 19:11:33	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	2,000	2¢	$50	0x7bde8c…
10-11 06:18:02	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	603	34¢	$203	0xeed7a1…
10-09 18:12:56	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	35	33¢	$11	0xf7a6a8…
10-09 13:07:55	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	695	38¢	$265	0xa7ebd9…
10-09 13:00:15	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xeba1f3…
10-09 12:43:15	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	38¢	$4	0x054676…
10-09 12:42:09	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x4ae0fd…
10-09 12:42:09	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	80	38¢	$31	0x14b18c…
10-09 12:25:15	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	38¢	$4	0x4e2d8a…
10-09 12:05:10	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x207964…
10-09 06:42:31	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	570	13¢	$74	0x4bd726…
10-06 23:49:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x0594d8…
10-06 23:02:11	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	225	2¢	$5	0x1ac7e8…
10-06 22:59:21	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x35ac4e…
10-06 22:59:17	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	666	2¢	$15	0x6798a0…
10-06 16:49:36	Will Russia win on 2026-10-06?	No	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0xbd7894…
10-06 15:57:09	Russia vs. Nigeria: Nigeria O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xb3875d…
10-06 15:27:05	Russia vs. Nigeria: Nigeria O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0xe14702…
10-06 15:27:05	Russia vs. Nigeria: Nigeria O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x268485…
10-06 15:23:42	Will Russia win on 2026-10-06?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xadbeb0…
10-06 14:44:41	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x91ec96…
10-06 12:46:55	Russia vs. Nigeria: Nigeria O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x0cbd1b…
10-06 11:48:06	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x94cafc…
10-06 11:46:40	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	349	2¢	$8	0xe0ccfa…
10-06 11:46:40	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0xd86c2e…
10-06 11:19:19	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	88	2¢	$2	0xbf5e53…
10-06 11:19:19	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x287a10…
10-06 11:16:55	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x44f4f6…
10-06 11:06:37	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	429	2¢	$9	0x200fcc…
10-05 13:26:31	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	166	2¢	$4	0xea8088…
10-05 13:26:31	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	834	2¢	$20	0x7a1917…
10-05 07:29:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x1e6d69…
10-05 07:00:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	49	52¢	$26	0x532663…
10-05 06:40:58	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0xd0b96b…
10-05 06:04:11	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x7f4524…
10-05 06:02:40	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x60788a…