Right-Neonate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved

Trades

124

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

$466

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 10-21 10:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

80% 100% +$113

Politics

13% 91% -$97

Crypto

7% 100% +$2

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	+190	$179	96¢	$182	+$3	09-28 03:19
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+109	$105	98¢	$107	+$2	09-28 03:23
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+100	$96	97¢	$97	+$1	10-09 06:58
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	+83	$79	97¢	$80	+$1	10-21 10:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	5	$663	395	395	+0	Yes	+$40	03-12 03:24
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 26?	1	$532	533	0	+533	No	+$1	05-26 03:06
will silver si hit high 160 by end of february 597 366 984 937	2	$439	220	220	+0	No	+$1	02-25 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 29?	5	$429	245	245	+0	No	+$6	05-29 02:41
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on May 25?	1	$393	393	0	+393	No	+$0	05-25 13:20
will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	4	$386	287	101	+186	No	+$2	03-08 09:25
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	1	$373	374	0	+374	No	+$1	06-25 09:33
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C or higher on May 12?	1	$336	337	0	+337	No	+$1	05-11 07:59
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 18?	2	$324	325	0	+325	No	+$1	05-17 00:49
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 16?	1	$322	323	0	+323	Yes	+$1	05-16 08:17
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 15?	1	$322	322	0	+322	No	+$0	05-15 03:18
solana above 30 on february 18	1	$301	302	0	+302	Yes	+$1	02-16 11:50
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$289	153	153	+0	No	+$6	04-13 10:44
us x iran meeting by march 15 2026	3	$288	292	0	+292	No	+$4	03-16 01:19
will silver si hit low 25 by end of february 859 949 933 273 811 757 923 129	1	$272	273	0	+273	No	+$1	02-25 09:00
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in April 2026?	4	$229	231	0	+231	No	+$2	04-17 06:50
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or below on July 21?	1	$219	220	0	+220	No	+$1	07-20 12:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or below on May 16?	1	$204	206	0	+206	No	+$2	05-15 03:17
will any european country expel a us ambassador by march 31	2	$202	103	103	+0	No	+$0	03-15 16:48
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$201	101	101	+0	Yes	+$1	03-23 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C or below on July 23?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	07-23 02:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September?	2	$198	200	0	+200	No	+$2	09-10 03:24
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 22?	1	$186	187	0	+187	No	+$0	05-22 03:28
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	1	$179	190	0	+190	open	—	09-28 03:19
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 10?	1	$176	176	0	+176	No	+$0	05-09 07:52
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	2	$156	159	0	+159	No	+$3	06-10 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 31?	1	$153	156	0	+156	No	+$3	05-31 09:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 25?	1	$139	139	0	+139	No	+$0	05-25 13:19
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 20°C on May 9?	1	$137	137	0	+137	No	+$0	05-08 13:46
will silver si hit high 185 by end of february 694 754	1	$130	131	0	+131	No	+$2	02-03 10:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 10:50:29	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	83	95¢	$79	0x6ee520…
10-16 01:03:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xa8a7c2…
10-09 06:58:55	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xa33fcd…
10-09 06:46:36	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on October 9?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6fc995…
10-09 04:07:54	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on October 9?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xaf9c46…
09-28 03:23:50	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	109	96¢	$105	0x461dcd…
09-28 03:19:57	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	190	94¢	$179	0x9442c4…
09-10 03:24:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5ffd05…
09-10 03:23:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0xab6905…
09-10 03:22:27	Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x30763d…
09-04 03:21:48	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on September 4?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x6362e1…
08-27 10:36:07	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xc4fe8d…
08-27 10:31:16	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xdfd315…
08-27 10:28:15	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xde9b2b…
08-27 10:27:00	Will XRP reach $2.80 in August?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0da2fa…
08-27 10:25:07	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xd9882d…
08-08 09:03:58	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by december 31 2026 20260701160841000 645	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x514f69…
08-08 09:02:52	will wti dip to 50 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8137fe…
08-03 11:10:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x3e2376…
07-23 02:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C or higher on July 23?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x2d8afd…
07-23 02:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 23?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x4b3038…
07-23 02:21:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C on July 23?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x36e1c7…
07-23 02:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C or below on July 23?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x457cb9…
07-20 12:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 44°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xc23c3c…
07-20 12:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 43°C on July 21?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x77e0c1…
07-20 12:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 44°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x149caa…
07-20 12:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb883eb…
07-20 12:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on July 21?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x89f510…
07-20 12:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$57	0x318c20…
07-20 12:02:51	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or below on July 21?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0xe656c9…
07-20 12:01:42	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xa9df51…
07-20 11:57:18	megaquake by july 31 20260617190926646	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x4dc102…
06-25 09:33:01	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	BUY	374	100¢	$373	0x4ff590…
06-10 03:04:22	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	No	BUY	86	97¢	$84	0x3ce6c8…
06-10 03:02:16	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	No	BUY	129	98¢	$126	0xafad94…
06-10 03:01:58	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5fa611…
06-10 03:01:49	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	No	BUY	109	98¢	$107	0xd76c0b…
06-10 03:00:43	Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x5da76e…
05-31 09:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 31?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x912780…
05-31 09:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 31?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x44f82d…
05-31 09:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 31?	No	BUY	156	98¢	$153	0x352b7e…
05-31 08:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 31?	No	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0x2aba65…
05-30 01:18:17	Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	127	95¢	$121	0xd00b87…
05-29 10:56:56	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x2d050d…
05-29 02:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 29?	No	SELL	167	89¢	$149	0xc15774…
05-29 02:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 29?	No	SELL	25	89¢	$22	0x098bbb…
05-29 02:38:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 29?	No	SELL	53	89¢	$47	0x55dacc…
05-28 07:59:28	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on May 29?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x4acdb0…
05-28 07:58:43	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on May 29?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xd5e9ec…
05-28 07:57:43	Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on May 29?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x09853c…
05-28 07:50:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 29?	No	BUY	171	85¢	$145	0xc2fbd4…
05-28 07:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 29?	No	BUY	74	90¢	$67	0xa8cfcd…
05-26 03:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	533	100¢	$532	0xc414b3…
05-25 13:20:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on May 25?	No	BUY	393	100¢	$393	0x117822…
05-25 13:19:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 25?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xa94803…
05-22 03:28:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 22?	No	BUY	187	100¢	$186	0x39b5da…
05-17 00:49:27	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 18?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0x39aff1…
05-17 00:44:19	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on May 18?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x117e56…
05-17 00:43:56	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 18?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5b7f71…
05-17 00:43:07	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 17?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xe2326f…
05-16 08:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	323	100¢	$322	0xa0a86f…
05-15 03:18:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 15?	No	BUY	322	100¢	$322	0x2b293f…
05-15 03:17:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or below on May 16?	No	BUY	206	99¢	$204	0x5a33a4…
05-11 07:59:54	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	337	100¢	$336	0x07c604…
05-10 12:15:43	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7c7474…
05-09 07:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 10?	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x8596c3…
05-09 07:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x7c4686…
05-09 07:28:57	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$99	0x373d58…
05-08 13:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 20°C on May 9?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x70c4fd…
05-08 13:46:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 18°C on May 9?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x213648…
05-08 13:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 21°C on May 9?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x1f35f7…
05-08 13:40:39	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x503654…
04-22 03:29:52	bitcoin above 68k on april 23	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xff3341…
04-17 06:50:38	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in April 2026?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0xcfc351…
04-15 03:50:00	will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	No	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0xb8f795…
04-15 03:47:08	will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x17589e…
04-15 03:46:20	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in April 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd34011…
04-13 10:44:09	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	SELL	153	97¢	$148	0xd20aec…
04-13 02:04:55	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	153	93¢	$142	0x1e13b0…
04-13 01:45:11	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in April 2026?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$83	0x8e1083…
04-11 14:43:43	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in April 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xb99370…
04-02 08:11:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0x2339f0…
03-26 07:11:39	crude oil all time high by march 31	No	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0xc210d6…
03-23 13:14:07	will tsla reach 503 in march	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1ca981…
03-23 13:07:31	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x6d5ded…
03-17 14:09:43	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xab0003…
03-17 14:09:03	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xd02771…
03-17 14:02:15	will silver si hit low 40 by end of march	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x181f93…
03-17 14:01:45	will silver si hit high 170 by end of march	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xdd01a9…
03-16 01:19:15	us x iran meeting by march 15 2026	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x53e86f…
03-15 18:25:11	will epstein be said at the oscars	No	SELL	40	59¢	$24	0xe61dc0…
03-15 17:55:27	will epstein be said at the oscars	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xb9cad5…
03-15 17:55:27	will epstein be said at the oscars	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x9bc4f7…
03-15 17:14:45	will epstein be said at the oscars	No	BUY	44	59¢	$26	0xa0679c…
03-15 16:48:59	will any european country expel a us ambassador by march 31	No	SELL	103	98¢	$101	0xc68273…
03-15 10:37:19	will any european country expel a us ambassador by march 31	No	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0x70b3f6…
03-12 03:43:47	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0xc04c9a…
03-12 03:42:49	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x50b010…
03-12 03:29:21	us x iran meeting by march 15 2026	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa15d22…
03-12 03:24:33	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	283	85¢	$242	0xa17262…