Unwieldy-Wink — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

121

lifetime

Volume

$2.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 06-19 12:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

42% — —

Other

35% 0% $-0

Sports

24% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	11	$289	165	165	+0	open	—	04-25 09:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	10	$168	201	201	+0	open	—	05-23 16:32
Will Alberta join the US?	6	$156	111	111	+0	open	—	06-08 01:15
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	6	$149	90	90	+0	open	—	05-27 20:13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	6	$144	74	74	+0	open	—	05-24 12:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	7	$139	132	132	+0	open	—	06-09 20:52
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$137	71	71	+0	open	—	06-06 21:40
Iran leadership change by June 30?	5	$115	60	60	+0	open	—	06-07 19:10
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	7	$96	121	121	+0	No	+$0	04-26 16:17
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$81	81	81	+0	Yes	$-0	04-22 00:44
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$77	39	39	+0	open	—	04-05 15:58
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$77	39	39	+0	open	—	03-29 08:06
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$76	40	40	+0	open	—	04-22 06:57
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	2	$75	45	45	+0	open	—	06-16 15:40
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	3	$71	37	37	+0	open	—	03-27 00:54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	04-09 11:49
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$70	36	36	+0	open	—	03-27 12:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$69	40	40	+0	open	—	05-10 15:26
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	6	$69	116	116	+0	open	—	03-18 14:22
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	3	$66	36	36	+0	open	—	06-18 10:08
will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	03-17 13:10
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$64	34	34	+0	open	—	06-17 20:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$64	33	33	+0	open	—	03-20 20:00
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$40	88	88	+0	open	—	06-19 19:15
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	3	$39	75	38	+37	open	—	05-10 23:43
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$24	65	65	+0	open	—	06-05 01:17
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	3	$16	37	37	+0	open	—	06-06 01:20
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	2	$10	85	85	+0	open	—	03-22 18:17
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$9	66	66	+0	open	—	05-31 20:10
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3	79	79	+0	open	—	04-03 13:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 19:15:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	88	25¢	$22	0xb2d379…
06-19 12:50:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	88	21¢	$18	0x562116…
06-18 10:08:55	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	36	91¢	$33	0xb0d880…
06-18 06:41:49	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0xb6ecf6…
06-18 06:41:49	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xa71a29…
06-17 20:23:19	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0xf28fa9…
06-17 20:23:19	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x5d0f39…
06-17 16:19:41	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0x671b91…
06-16 15:40:13	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	45	78¢	$35	0x730048…
06-12 14:17:15	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0xa4c5ad…
06-09 20:52:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	55¢	$18	0xff5d5a…
06-09 20:52:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	55¢	$15	0xe6245e…
06-09 13:43:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xb393a6…
06-09 13:43:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xa2a3c7…
06-08 01:15:57	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	42	95¢	$40	0xe3520d…
06-07 22:52:37	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x573e99…
06-07 19:10:49	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0x1e0dc7…
06-07 17:04:00	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x56aa53…
06-06 22:59:03	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0x8fa162…
06-06 21:54:01	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xa1dd6b…
06-06 21:40:27	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x391c72…
06-06 19:15:34	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x8495f8…
06-06 01:20:03	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	22¢	$8	0xbd47ee…
06-05 22:47:57	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0xc652c9…
06-05 22:47:57	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	22¢	$5	0x7e15b0…
06-05 10:25:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	51¢	$34	0xb671d3…
06-05 10:25:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x9ab325…
06-05 09:11:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	51¢	$37	0xdff847…
06-05 04:44:36	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0xca2ca5…
06-05 02:51:48	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x413460…
06-05 01:17:07	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x575209…
06-05 01:17:07	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	45	19¢	$9	0x06749c…
06-04 20:47:33	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	65	18¢	$12	0xdeb8a7…
06-04 16:32:33	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0xabc755…
06-04 16:32:33	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x269900…
06-04 13:01:33	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0xfde89f…
05-31 20:10:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	7¢	$4	0x70facd…
05-29 16:02:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	7¢	$4	0xe22b5f…
05-28 16:22:39	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$36	0xb5ae33…
05-28 12:22:16	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x212fc8…
05-27 20:13:38	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	42	86¢	$36	0xb3c32a…
05-27 17:06:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	42	89¢	$37	0x2555ce…
05-27 01:17:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	24	78¢	$19	0xb0e8f1…
05-27 01:17:53	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xcd0096…
05-27 01:17:53	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	23	78¢	$18	0x74d0e8…
05-26 22:38:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	48	80¢	$38	0x018eee…
05-25 23:59:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	42	3¢	$1	0x9b3287…
05-25 22:30:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x851b35…
05-25 22:30:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$0	0x58f819…
05-24 12:58:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x8a1af0…
05-24 12:57:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xa82856…
05-23 16:32:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	9¢	$4	0x215b4c…
05-23 14:11:15	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	10¢	$4	0x24612b…
05-22 01:38:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xe18929…
05-22 01:38:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0xb2f830…
05-21 23:17:41	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xcfb313…
05-21 23:17:41	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x9c70a9…
05-21 10:55:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0x1c758d…
05-21 10:55:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0x0614d1…
05-21 10:54:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0xd56337…
05-21 01:33:39	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	10¢	$9	0xb5eac5…
05-21 00:24:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0xf92dd8…
05-21 00:24:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	10¢	$5	0xe99ec6…
05-19 02:28:32	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0xd50d70…
05-18 23:04:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0x1a9cd8…
05-10 23:43:15	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0x8eed2d…
05-10 15:26:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0x59b280…
05-10 12:25:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xfeaf09…
05-09 07:22:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0xc455f7…
05-09 05:15:31	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0xfcd3f8…
04-26 16:17:06	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	36	88¢	$32	0xdb8f8b…
04-26 16:16:58	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xf9193f…
04-26 16:16:08	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	44	88¢	$39	0x2a505c…
04-25 09:38:44	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	40	88¢	$35	0xf31c18…
04-25 06:34:52	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x909b5a…
04-25 06:34:52	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x4ac047…
04-24 19:35:36	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	77	12¢	$9	0x1a9531…
04-24 17:14:46	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x5ce673…
04-24 17:14:42	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	37	12¢	$4	0x8bde66…
04-24 17:14:42	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	37	12¢	$4	0x68096f…
04-23 14:01:58	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x45fdb9…
04-23 14:01:58	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0x31c6b7…
04-23 14:01:54	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0xad21b3…
04-23 10:13:16	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xce406a…
04-23 00:56:16	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	40	88¢	$35	0x80d1f6…
04-22 23:03:58	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x747526…
04-22 06:57:20	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xb53d39…
04-22 06:56:24	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xd8d1de…
04-22 00:44:04	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	41	94¢	$38	0xa1fe37…
04-21 22:37:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	41	94¢	$39	0x55292e…
04-21 03:29:20	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	45	87¢	$39	0x7151c9…
04-21 02:02:22	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	45	87¢	$39	0xd5700f…
04-11 05:30:29	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x599bc9…
04-11 01:50:55	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x1bb2a9…
04-09 11:49:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x1f66fd…
04-09 09:14:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x1be17f…
04-05 15:58:07	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0x678c2e…
04-05 13:55:17	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xa4282f…
04-03 13:28:33	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	79	2¢	$2	0x0de715…
04-03 11:31:31	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	79	2¢	$2	0xef07a3…