Realized P&L
-$80
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
49.0%
Resolved
103
Trades
278
lifetime
Volume
$582
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$16
19 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 10-26 19:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Crypto
45% 45% -$21
Other
33% 23% -$47
Politics
14% 33% -$16
Tech
7% 75% +$3
Sports
2% 40% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +21 $3 12¢ $2 -$1 10-26 19:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +35 $3 6¢ $2 -$1 10-26 19:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by november 30 2026 Yes +7 $3 24¢ $2 -$1 09-30 04:01
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +24 $2 6¢ $2 $0 10-03 14:20
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes +29 $2 5¢ $1 -$1 09-29 23:12
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? Yes +10 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 09-25 01:08
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 09-29 23:11
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes +8 $1 10¢ $1 $0 09-25 11:30
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +6 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 10-05 06:15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2 $1 26¢ $1 $0 05-09 15:39
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +6 $2 9¢ $1 -$1 10-05 06:14
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +23 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 09-25 11:30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +10 $3 4¢ $0 -$3 09-30 04:00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +4 $2 8¢ $0 -$2 05-21 11:48
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Yes +8 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 05-09 15:24
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +11 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-07 19:45
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +6 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 09-27 20:09
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 05-09 15:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Yes +12 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 09-25 00:01