Tight-Promotion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$121

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 06-05 21:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

58% — —

Crypto

24% 45% $-32

Other

12% — —

Sports

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$5.8K	3,045	3,045	+0	open	—	05-30 20:56
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	2	$1.1K	579	579	+0	open	—	05-17 13:36
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$601	669	669	+0	open	—	05-24 16:23
Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$525	328	328	+0	open	—	05-24 16:21
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	4	$432	351	351	+0	open	—	06-01 23:45
eth updown 15m 1780692300	9	$231	212	206	+5	open	—	06-05 20:57
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$200	294	0	+294	open	—	05-18 23:27
eth updown 15m 1780693200	5	$125	94	94	+0	open	—	06-05 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$107	77	77	+0	open	—	05-24 00:16
eth updown 15m 1780691400	3	$81	77	31	+45	open	—	06-05 20:45
eth updown 15m 1780694100	4	$72	72	72	+0	open	—	06-05 21:25
eth updown 15m 1780689600	2	$68	46	46	+0	open	—	06-05 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$57	50	50	+0	open	—	05-24 00:11
itf vidal candiot 2026 06 04	1	$50	19,322	0	+19,322	open	—	06-04 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$50	164	0	+164	Up	$-50	05-10 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$25	79	0	+79	Down	+$54	05-10 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$25	156	0	+156	Down	$-25	05-11 01:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$25	2,500	0	+2,500	Up	$-25	05-10 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$25	44	0	+44	Up	$-25	05-10 22:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$25	58	0	+58	Down	$-25	05-11 00:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$25	33	0	+33	Down	$-25	05-11 00:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$25	278	0	+278	Up	$-25	05-11 00:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$25	66	0	+66	Down	$-25	05-10 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$25	42	0	+42	Down	+$17	05-10 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$25	41	0	+41	Down	$-25	05-10 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$25	43	0	+43	Up	+$18	05-10 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$25	150	0	+150	Up	+$125	05-10 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$25	32	0	+32	Up	+$7	05-10 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$25	37	0	+37	Down	+$12	05-10 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$25	38	0	+38	Up	+$13	05-10 21:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 21:25:22	eth updown 15m 1780694100	Up	SELL	41	30¢	$12	0x6a28ba…
06-05 21:19:28	eth updown 15m 1780694100	Down	SELL	31	66¢	$20	0x0f4d94…
06-05 21:16:37	eth updown 15m 1780694100	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x76d54a…
06-05 21:15:19	eth updown 15m 1780694100	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xd20d17…
06-05 21:08:39	eth updown 15m 1780693200	Up	SELL	36	92¢	$33	0xda0bb3…
06-05 21:07:09	eth updown 15m 1780693200	Up	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x7eacae…
06-05 21:05:55	eth updown 15m 1780693200	Up	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xc46e24…
06-05 21:03:04	eth updown 15m 1780693200	Up	SELL	58	63¢	$37	0xf26752…
06-05 21:00:10	eth updown 15m 1780693200	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xce475e…
06-05 20:57:19	eth updown 15m 1780692300	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x747014…
06-05 20:56:25	eth updown 15m 1780692300	Up	SELL	35	88¢	$31	0xfa09c8…
06-05 20:55:04	eth updown 15m 1780692300	Down	SELL	65	34¢	$22	0x2c4ca0…
06-05 20:53:16	eth updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0x717d4e…
06-05 20:52:42	eth updown 15m 1780692300	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x71a234…
06-05 20:51:09	eth updown 15m 1780692300	Up	SELL	38	73¢	$28	0xbd2493…
06-05 20:49:55	eth updown 15m 1780692300	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x3a7bd7…
06-05 20:47:45	eth updown 15m 1780692300	Up	SELL	68	67¢	$45	0x4edde9…
06-05 20:46:18	eth updown 15m 1780692300	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x2bb8f0…
06-05 20:45:27	eth updown 15m 1780691400	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xead7ff…
06-05 20:40:57	eth updown 15m 1780691400	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xc6cf45…
06-05 20:30:13	eth updown 15m 1780691400	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x705aa6…
06-05 20:12:49	eth updown 15m 1780689600	Up	SELL	46	93¢	$43	0xba82a7…
06-05 20:01:04	eth updown 15m 1780689600	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xcf57b3…
06-04 21:47:52	itf vidal candiot 2026 06 04	Leticia Garcia Vidal	BUY	19,322	0¢	$50	0x29e122…
06-01 23:45:48	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Kansas City Royals	SELL	135	76¢	$103	0xda18eb…
06-01 23:38:23	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Kansas City Royals	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x8ec240…
06-01 23:20:27	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	216	51¢	$110	0x5b7ed7…
06-01 23:11:03	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	216	55¢	$119	0x9957ec…
05-30 20:56:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,045	97¢	$2,967	0x11ee06…
05-28 08:56:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,045	93¢	$2,832	0xeebd42…
05-24 16:23:55	Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	669	30¢	$201	0x45325f…
05-24 16:21:18	Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	328	99¢	$325	0xa8b5a5…
05-24 00:40:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa0f66f…
05-24 00:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x5f3b7c…
05-24 00:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	77	74¢	$57	0x43650a…
05-24 00:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x46d6d3…
05-24 00:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x3ce775…
05-24 00:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x618b77…
05-24 00:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xd0a171…
05-24 00:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	12	78¢	$10	0x40c8a2…
05-24 00:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x19accf…
05-20 00:10:35	Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	332	60¢	$200	0x793775…
05-19 23:11:37	Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0xef6d60…
05-19 23:02:17	Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	337	59¢	$200	0xb40aa5…
05-18 23:27:28	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0x005883…
05-17 13:36:28	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	579	99¢	$576	0xa0ea20…
05-13 18:34:07	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	579	84¢	$486	0xde1a38…
05-12 20:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xfdbdf1…
05-12 20:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xd7005b…
05-12 14:13:49	Ethereum Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xb4a0a7…
05-11 01:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd0da49…
05-11 01:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb71692…
05-11 01:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x0e5e5c…
05-11 01:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0xb88ff9…
05-11 00:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xb5c39a…
05-11 00:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf1c413…
05-11 00:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xf4396b…
05-11 00:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x7cc2ac…
05-11 00:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x446d07…
05-11 00:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xbc4e16…
05-10 23:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xdaf795…
05-10 23:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	79	32¢	$25	0xc5f52f…
05-10 23:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x129865…
05-10 23:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x00ac8c…
05-10 23:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xca9f22…
05-10 23:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xd79a79…
05-10 23:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x2f2fb7…
05-10 22:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x406c97…
05-10 22:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	150	17¢	$25	0xd4eee7…
05-10 22:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x04d871…
05-10 22:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x5fbe49…
05-10 22:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x5d2b71…
05-10 22:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x75997e…
05-10 22:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x13fcf4…
05-10 21:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0xc1fa2f…
05-10 21:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x102eab…
05-10 21:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xd6e4f8…
05-10 21:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf0607c…
05-10 21:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd56ed5…
05-10 21:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x84f077…
05-10 20:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	500	1¢	$5	0x2e4ba2…
05-10 20:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x79f682…
05-10 20:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x5ea256…