Strange-Chorus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

250

lifetime

Volume

$45.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$183

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 05:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

35% 100% +$1

Politics

29% 100% +$17

Crypto

22% 100% +$4

Tech

11% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5?	No		+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	05-31 04:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes		+82	$1	1¢	$1	$-1	05-31 13:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	14	$3.4K	1,746	1,746	+0	open	—	02-19 20:13
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	25	$3.3K	1,631	1,631	+0	open	—	01-11 11:50
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	7	$2.9K	1,481	1,481	+0	open	—	03-05 10:27
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$2.5K	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	05-11 01:27
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	6	$2.4K	1,273	1,141	+132	Yes	+$14	05-12 18:48
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	2	$1.7K	873	873	+0	open	—	03-06 01:16
gpt 5pt3 released by march 15 2026 733	7	$1.7K	870	870	+0	open	—	03-05 11:06
will hillary say island during her epstein testimony	3	$1.7K	871	871	+0	open	—	03-05 14:14
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	5	$1.7K	693	1,036	-343	open	—	02-19 02:05
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$1.4K	699	699	+0	open	—	01-11 03:53
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	6	$1.4K	697	697	+0	open	—	01-10 03:21
will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by march 5	3	$1.3K	674	670	+4	open	—	03-07 02:11
will paradex launch a token on march 5	2	$1.2K	582	582	+0	open	—	03-06 03:18
Block Street FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$1.1K	543	543	+0	No	+$1	03-06 09:11
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	3	$753	409	346	+63	open	—	01-03 03:11
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	2	$698	350	350	+0	open	—	02-03 05:12
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$697	355	355	+0	open	—	01-22 14:25
will ethereum dip to 1400 in january 2026 585	5	$694	348	348	+0	open	—	01-14 04:30
will edgex launch a token in 2025	2	$691	346	346	+0	open	—	01-02 03:49
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$688	347	345	+2	open	—	02-13 06:26
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$687	344	344	+0	open	—	02-20 13:28
will ethereum dip to 1200 in february 2026	2	$675	350	350	+0	open	—	02-05 02:00
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$673	340	340	+0	open	—	02-08 18:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	6	$670	338	338	+0	open	—	04-25 08:00
will trump say goat or greatest of all time during inter miami events on thursday	2	$498	250	250	+0	open	—	03-06 01:43
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	2	$444	223	223	+0	open	—	02-27 03:42
Block Street FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$440	325	119	+206	Yes	+$3	03-06 10:08
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$418	348	348	+0	open	—	03-03 12:53
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	4	$385	285	101	+184	open	—	02-21 21:35
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	1	$348	349	0	+349	open	—	02-03 06:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 05:22:43	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x895445…
05-31 13:58:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	82	2¢	$1	0xf318bb…
05-31 04:06:57	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcefc81…
05-22 11:06:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	165	99¢	$163	0xb187c9…
05-22 09:43:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x202b96…
05-22 08:29:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	165	98¢	$162	0xf8ecc8…
05-21 12:16:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x93fc6d…
05-18 19:12:10	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xaf9425…
05-18 12:27:43	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	153	99¢	$153	0x560458…
05-16 08:01:11	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	94¢	$160	0x327d70…
05-16 05:01:08	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8fc14f…
05-12 18:48:46	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	636	100¢	$635	0x7ecf5e…
05-12 17:04:16	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcd6ddd…
05-12 16:30:43	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0xdd0175…
05-12 10:24:20	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf9b56c…
05-11 01:29:52	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0xb52054…
05-11 01:29:20	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,219	99¢	$1,203	0x9fb3d4…
05-11 01:27:05	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,250	100¢	$1,244	0x8ce67d…
05-11 01:26:27	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,242	0x5f3a66…
05-08 08:56:32	Will Trump say "Sea" or "Water" during events with Brazilian president?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x689784…
05-08 08:20:45	Will Trump say "BRICS" during events with Brazilian president?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x3ca1a6…
05-08 08:20:15	Will Trump say "BRICS" during events with Brazilian president?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x00302c…
05-08 08:18:51	Will Trump say "BRICS" during events with Brazilian president?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb4791f…
05-08 02:56:08	Will Trump say "Sea" or "Water" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0xa7abd5…
05-08 01:38:48	Will Trump say "BRICS" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	168	99¢	$166	0xad70bc…
05-06 05:45:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	173	98¢	$170	0xde00cd…
05-04 21:18:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	173	98¢	$169	0xe77da5…
04-26 10:18:18	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0xc5ecd8…
04-25 08:00:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x4ccc61…
04-23 03:54:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	170	99¢	$169	0xe7e603…
04-20 03:38:04	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	171	99¢	$170	0x4772fa…
04-19 08:57:28	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	171	99¢	$170	0x9a70f0…
04-19 01:52:50	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	170	99¢	$168	0xd29654…
04-17 18:54:50	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x61bdc5…
04-16 03:38:48	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x10feb6…
04-15 23:29:04	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x40a275…
04-15 03:49:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	168	99¢	$167	0x1aa5e5…
04-12 17:38:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x9de180…
04-12 17:18:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x995051…
04-12 16:54:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0xbfa894…
04-12 01:45:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	SELL	170	97¢	$165	0x007dc4…
04-11 12:56:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	170	97¢	$165	0xf60460…
04-10 14:27:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	159	98¢	$156	0x77013f…
04-10 06:36:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	159	98¢	$155	0x12d592…
04-08 13:33:31	highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	65	100¢	$64	0x161ff2…
04-08 12:06:07	highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x3de570…
04-08 01:05:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0xf8bf9b…
04-07 12:14:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	155	100¢	$154	0xa67ecf…
03-29 01:08:54	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x2f9ec5…
03-28 13:29:07	will crude oil cl settle at 65 70 in march 453	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x83bef6…
03-28 13:28:13	will gas hit low 3pt10 by march 31	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc39fa8…
03-28 13:27:53	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x49e11c…
03-28 13:27:33	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf4d0cb…
03-28 13:27:05	Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xfc39b0…
03-27 15:27:01	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0xb7d5aa…
03-27 13:19:07	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x06bfb2…
03-27 13:12:51	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x228a40…
03-27 12:13:13	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x2ce582…
03-27 12:12:41	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xbac2b1…
03-27 12:12:23	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xb96be6…
03-25 06:16:23	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	77	99¢	$77	0x38cc11…
03-25 06:15:41	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x3dda16…
03-25 06:15:17	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x5a337b…
03-23 13:11:21	will trump say doug or burgum this week march 22	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x82d6fb…
03-23 13:09:59	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x269615…
03-23 13:08:17	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8ad648…
03-23 13:07:51	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xf7cc15…
03-23 13:07:19	Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x09f6ad…
03-23 13:07:07	Will EdgeX launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x81bb90…
03-23 13:06:47	will backpack launch a token on march 23	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc52a68…
03-23 13:06:29	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f0c6c…
03-20 07:49:31	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	SELL	164	99¢	$162	0xa7b575…
03-20 03:39:49	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x7e33a4…
03-20 03:39:49	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x2b8c59…
03-20 03:39:47	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xd7293a…
03-14 16:48:57	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	61	95¢	$58	0x7adff3…
03-14 16:48:29	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0x5200a1…
03-14 16:48:01	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x03efb2…
03-14 16:42:07	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0x8300b7…
03-12 12:53:51	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	79	94¢	$75	0x9a8c6b…
03-12 12:47:07	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0x8c65ec…
03-12 12:46:31	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x45b733…
03-10 16:46:39	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x31ea2d…
03-10 15:07:39	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by march 31 656 625 393	Yes	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0xeb4b95…
03-10 10:37:05	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by march 31 656 625 393	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8da778…
03-10 07:21:59	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by march 31 656 625 393	Yes	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0x1a49a0…
03-07 13:55:55	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0xcafe1b…
03-07 02:12:03	idOS FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xbc4017…
03-07 02:11:17	will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by march 5	No	SELL	670	100¢	$669	0xec1261…
03-06 11:30:21	will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by march 5	No	BUY	664	100¢	$663	0xa39dd0…
03-06 10:08:17	Block Street FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x1c33b5…
03-06 09:11:03	Block Street FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2dfe05…
03-06 09:09:53	Block Street FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	206	99¢	$204	0x382942…
03-06 09:06:23	Block Street FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	542	100¢	$541	0x887e9d…
03-06 09:06:01	Block Street FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	167	100¢	$166	0xd74236…
03-06 09:04:57	will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by march 5	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce5eb4…
03-06 03:19:53	Block Street FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$166	0x950dc8…
03-06 03:19:13	Block Street FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	543	100¢	$542	0x7b30c2…
03-06 03:18:59	Block Street FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0xa1f211…
03-06 03:18:35	will paradex launch a token on march 5	Yes	SELL	582	100¢	$581	0xccacde…