Realized P&L (30d)
-$56
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
88.5%
Resolved (30d)
62
Trades (30d)
124
26,831 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.04K
$136.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$383
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 01:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 254 days
Categories
Crypto
60% 53% -$1,203
Other
38% 50% -$1,762
Politics
1% 55% -$11
Sports
1% 57% -$7
Tech
0% 100% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? Yes +100 $96 96¢ $95 $0 11-06 01:10
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? Yes +100 $52 54¢ $54 +$2 11-06 01:07
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026? Yes +50 $49 99¢ $50 +$1 11-05 07:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? Yes +50 $48 98¢ $49 +$1 11-05 03:35
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? Yes +51 $47 95¢ $48 +$1 11-06 01:10
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? Yes +40 $32 82¢ $33 +$1 11-06 01:12
Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October? Yes +100 $31 25¢ $25 -$6 11-06 01:06
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$0 11-05 11:33
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +10 $8 78¢ $8 $0 11-05 07:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 6? Yes +20 $17 8¢ $2 -$16 11-05 12:32