Realized P&L
-$1.74K
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
57.6%
Resolved
314
Trades
1,934
lifetime
Volume
$27.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$266
18 positions
First seen
2026-04-16
last 11-11 22:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 84 days
Categories
Politics
63% 50% +$185
Other
29% 32% -$1,711
Crypto
8% 51% -$178
Sports
0% 0% -$31
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win New Hampshire in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +83 $59 76¢ $63 +$4 11-11 14:11
Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026? No +53 $40 74¢ $39 -$1 11-08 23:00
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? Yes +39 $19 59¢ $23 +$4 11-09 00:48
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? Yes +31 $18 64¢ $20 +$2 11-11 13:08
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +39 $10 45¢ $18 +$8 11-07 12:07
EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by December 31, 2028? No +22 $15 70¢ $16 +$1 11-11 10:43
Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026? Yes +58 $16 26¢ $15 -$1 11-11 22:43
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next? No +13 $10 90¢ $12 +$2 11-09 10:03
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? Yes +16 $8 52¢ $8 $0 11-11 18:53
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? No +11 $5 73¢ $8 +$4 11-09 10:37
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? Yes +11 $8 71¢ $8 $0 11-10 13:30
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +8 $6 86¢ $7 +$1 11-09 09:53
Will Congress override 0 Trump vetoes by December 31, 2027? No +14 $7 49¢ $7 $0 11-10 16:16
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in November? No +10 $7 72¢ $7 $0 11-09 12:53
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%? No +10 $5 55¢ $5 +$1 11-09 14:45
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? No +5 $2 88¢ $4 +$2 11-11 19:01
Will Vox win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +13 $4 28¢ $4 $0 11-11 16:53
Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026? Yes +11 $4 29¢ $3 -$1 11-08 23:08