Realized P&L
+$15
Unrealized P&L
+$182
Hit rate
94.3%
Resolved
84
Trades
526
lifetime
Volume
$9.31K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$4.32K
23 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-04 01:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
46% 79% -$7
Politics
44% — —
Sports
9% 100% +$21
Tech
1% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 211 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +1,045 $893 100¢ $1.0K +$152 11-04 00:07
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +996 $985 99¢ $989 +$4 10-31 09:04
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +620 $560 100¢ $616 +$56 11-04 02:14
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +360 $357 99¢ $357 $0 11-03 09:14
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +321 $317 100¢ $320 +$3 11-04 01:38
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Kansas? No +212 $211 100¢ $211 $0 11-02 22:58
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +127 $127 100¢ $126 $0 11-04 01:47
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +127 $114 90¢ $114 +$1 10-31 20:24
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +107 $104 100¢ $106 +$2 11-02 22:44
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan? No +78 $78 100¢ $78 +$0 10-30 22:38
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? No +76 $73 99¢ $75 +$2 10-31 15:41
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? No +58 $37 99¢ $57 +$20 11-02 18:01
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +44 $44 100¢ $44 +$0 11-04 02:09
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +41 $41 100¢ $41 $0 11-03 09:14
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 $0 11-04 01:38
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? No +23 $23 100¢ $23 $0 10-30 22:11
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$0 10-30 23:08
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +39 $21 52¢ $20 -$1 10-31 23:54
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +20 $19 99¢ $19 +$1 11-04 01:08
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +18 $15 86¢ $15 +$0 11-01 08:46
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +14 $10 72¢ $10 +$1 11-01 20:29
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +111 $49 2¢ $2 -$47 11-02 23:02
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +22 $13 2¢ $0 -$12 11-02 05:26