Realized P&L
+$370
Unrealized P&L
-$229
Hit rate
82.0%
Resolved
425
Trades
2,312
lifetime
Volume
$29.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$938
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 05-23 11:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 142 days
Categories
Politics
55% 50% +$644
Other
40% 54% -$360
Crypto
3% 60% +$150
Sports
2% 53% -$50
Tech
0% 0% -$14
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-23).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,720 -$327 17¢ $-623 -$296 05-22 20:36
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? Yes -55 -$47 97¢ $-53 -$6 05-22 20:25
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -64 -$52 81¢ $-52 $0 05-22 20:25
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -978 -$89 5¢ $-50 +$39 05-22 20:23
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No -66 -$26 34¢ $-23 +$3 05-23 08:06
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -18 -$5 96¢ $-17 -$12 05-23 08:11
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No -12 -$11 98¢ $-12 -$1 05-23 08:05
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -417 -$27 3¢ $-12 +$15 05-22 20:28
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes -11 -$8 90¢ $-10 -$1 05-23 08:11
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? Yes -10 -$9 92¢ $-9 $0 05-23 08:05
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes -9 -$7 97¢ $-8 -$1 05-23 08:10
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No -9 -$8 90¢ $-8 -$1 05-23 08:11
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? No -8 -$8 98¢ $-8 $0 05-23 08:10
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? Yes -7 -$7 98¢ $-7 $0 05-23 08:09
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -7 -$3 70¢ $-5 -$2 05-23 08:13
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No -5 -$4 94¢ $-5 -$1 05-23 08:13
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -70 -$13 6¢ $-5 +$9 05-23 08:06
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes -7 -$4 68¢ $-5 -$1 05-23 08:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -118 -$16 3¢ $-4 +$13 05-23 08:05
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No -4 -$3 94¢ $-4 $0 05-23 10:48
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? Yes -4 -$3 98¢ $-3 $0 05-23 08:14
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -5 -$2 70¢ $-3 -$1 05-23 08:13
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -29 -$5 12¢ $-3 +$1 05-22 20:25
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No -3 -$3 98¢ $-3 $0 05-23 08:14
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -33 -$6 6¢ $-2 +$4 05-23 08:06
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes -42 -$7 3¢ $-1 +$5 05-23 08:12
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? No -45 -$7 2¢ $-1 +$6 05-23 08:12
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +5 $1 7¢ $0 -$1 05-09 18:28
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No -5 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 05-23 08:12