Understated-Material — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

17,627

Trades

529,792

lifetime

Volume

$3.19M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-02-06

last 10-27 08:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 184 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% +$22,195

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 1063 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	—	+11	$9	98¢	$11	+$2	10-27 09:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 20:45 UTC	494	$13.5K	10,974	10,865	+108	Down	-$794	02-09 20:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 14:30 UTC	649	$11.4K	11,715	9,819	+1,896	Up	-$539	02-09 14:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 19:00 UTC	470	$10.6K	9,735	9,563	+171	Up	-$1,034	02-09 19:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 16:15 UTC	548	$9.2K	10,028	5,191	+4,837	Up	+$959	02-09 16:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 19:15 UTC	418	$8.9K	7,330	5,799	+1,532	Up	+$455	02-09 19:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 17:15 UTC	491	$8.6K	8,664	6,292	+2,373	Up	-$695	02-09 17:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 12:45 UTC	441	$8.4K	6,895	5,838	+1,057	Down	+$69	02-09 12:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 14:30 UTC	663	$8.3K	8,688	7,001	+1,687	Up	-$317	02-13 16:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 14:45 UTC	444	$8.3K	7,818	7,409	+409	Up	-$848	02-09 14:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 18:45 UTC	315	$8.2K	6,843	5,418	+1,424	Down	+$121	02-09 18:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:00 UTC	457	$7.6K	7,658	6,239	+1,420	Up	-$845	02-09 23:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:15 UTC	504	$7.5K	8,279	4,859	+3,420	Down	+$517	02-09 23:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 16:45 UTC	631	$7.5K	7,021	6,353	+668	Up	-$342	02-10 16:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 16:00 UTC	544	$7.3K	7,826	4,781	+3,046	Up	-$630	02-10 16:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 00:45 UTC	182	$7.1K	4,925	4,801	+124	Up	+$132	02-10 00:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 12:15 UTC	393	$6.5K	7,029	3,300	+3,730	Down	+$510	02-09 12:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 23:00 UTC	462	$6.3K	5,183	5,115	+68	Down	-$200	02-13 23:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 15:00 UTC	377	$6.3K	6,741	4,759	+1,982	Up	+$501	02-09 15:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 20:00 UTC	364	$6.2K	5,619	5,279	+340	Up	-$345	02-09 20:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 20:30 UTC	348	$6.1K	6,570	3,267	+3,303	Up	+$490	02-09 20:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 00:15 UTC	506	$6.0K	7,585	3,344	+4,241	Down	+$1,005	02-10 00:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 21:45 UTC	352	$6.0K	6,392	5,223	+1,169	Up	+$123	02-09 21:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 17:00 UTC	476	$5.9K	5,626	4,236	+1,389	Down	-$234	02-10 17:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 02:00 UTC	345	$5.9K	6,499	3,195	+3,304	Down	+$466	02-10 02:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 20:45 UTC	493	$5.8K	5,097	4,166	+931	Down	+$499	02-13 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 03:15 UTC	473	$5.8K	7,732	4,898	+2,834	Down	+$78	02-10 03:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 19:45 UTC	538	$5.8K	5,062	5,003	+59	Down	-$46	02-13 19:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 12:30 UTC	371	$5.7K	5,917	3,461	+2,456	Up	+$202	02-09 12:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 12:00 UTC	332	$5.7K	4,404	3,806	+597	Up	-$107	02-10 12:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 00:30 UTC	346	$5.6K	6,160	3,673	+2,486	Down	+$146	02-10 00:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x12b040…
10-27 09:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf280c3…
10-27 09:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x48d45c…
10-27 09:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x7dcc4b…
10-27 09:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x168b3c…
10-27 09:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xce54f7…
10-27 09:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x519cc0…
10-27 09:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0xdf6240…
10-27 09:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x92eead…
10-27 08:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x235f8f…
10-27 08:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x83b198…
10-27 08:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xfcaaa0…
10-27 08:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x54a32a…
10-27 08:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x4896e8…
10-27 08:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x1b7bd5…
10-27 08:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x62a5e1…
10-27 08:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x5ba864…
10-27 08:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x503706…
10-27 08:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xfd381b…
10-27 08:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0xd505c3…
10-27 08:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xa4bfb5…
10-27 07:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xcf77c3…
10-27 07:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x4c17e2…
10-27 07:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x699632…
10-27 07:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$4	0x352da1…
10-27 07:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x6ac065…
10-27 07:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x3e5f8b…
10-27 07:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x99d79e…
10-27 07:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x4bffc6…
10-27 07:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x812964…
10-27 07:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc03c04…
10-27 07:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xfc6175…
10-27 07:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x614706…
10-27 07:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x0ad24f…
10-27 07:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x04c302…
10-27 07:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x2634f2…
10-27 07:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xf9e1f1…
10-27 07:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0xd727ea…
10-27 07:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	13¢	$3	0xb7d8e6…
10-27 07:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	83¢	$13	0x820b95…
10-27 07:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	83¢	$13	0x77ca17…
10-27 07:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x96bdf5…
10-27 07:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xaed40b…
10-27 07:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x4ea8c4…
10-27 07:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x4ea873…
10-27 07:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x141486…
10-27 07:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x1037f7…
10-27 06:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xd52db9…
10-27 06:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xb18d9d…
10-27 06:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x02bbd5…
10-27 06:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x615785…
10-27 06:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x447a22…
10-27 06:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x705bcc…
10-27 06:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa196b2…
10-27 06:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xacfe8b…
10-27 06:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x93ad55…
10-27 06:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xf6a763…
10-27 06:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x2ec3d8…
10-27 06:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0xe5593b…
10-27 06:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xa51b3b…
10-27 06:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xc15772…
10-27 06:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x961c3d…
10-27 06:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x10f124…
10-27 06:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xcaa8d7…
10-27 06:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x8ae631…
10-27 06:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x4e5457…
10-27 06:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x3f00ac…
10-27 05:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe397b2…
10-27 05:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0x818c37…
10-27 05:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0xb92fc0…
10-27 05:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x148db7…
10-27 05:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xc19663…
10-27 05:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xa064bf…
10-27 05:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x730c2b…
10-27 05:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xf7256b…
10-27 05:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xe6d1ad…
10-27 05:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x7d258d…
10-27 05:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xfacd6c…
10-27 05:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x3b88d8…
10-27 05:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x9c9406…
10-27 03:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x2ac6b6…
10-27 03:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x2da155…
10-27 03:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xe30ed5…
10-27 03:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x849fd1…
10-27 03:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x1d85e8…
10-27 03:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x192b91…
10-27 03:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x912e14…
10-27 03:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x7e0687…
10-27 03:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xfba712…
10-27 03:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	12¢	$2	0xfc454f…
10-27 03:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xe24ced…
10-27 03:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0xbe66ae…
10-27 03:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0xb36195…
10-27 03:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x75ea95…
10-27 03:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x582007…
10-27 03:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x2928dd…
10-27 03:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xf5defa…
10-27 03:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$4	0x27188b…
10-27 03:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x5b1671…
10-27 03:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x1b63d8…