Early-Gun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$747

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-25 07:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

95% 71% +$32

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	7	$59	140	0	+140	No	-$59	05-18 00:49
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$53	80	0	+80	Yes	+$27	05-08 05:40
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$51	100	0	+100	Yes	+$49	06-25 07:03
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$46	100	0	+100	Yes	+$54	05-25 02:20
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$45	130	0	+130	No	-$45	05-13 02:32
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$44	130	0	+130	No	-$44	05-13 02:32
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$44	140	0	+140	No	-$44	05-18 00:43
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$43	100	0	+100	No	-$43	06-04 05:08
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$41	100	0	+100	Yes	+$59	06-04 05:08
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	3	$32	140	0	+140	Yes	+$108	05-18 00:46
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$31	100	0	+100	No	-$31	05-25 02:20
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	4	$26	92	0	+92	No	-$26	05-08 05:39
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	4	$23	130	0	+130	Yes	+$107	05-13 02:33
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$23	100	0	+100	No	-$23	06-25 07:03
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$18	100	0	+100	No	-$18	06-25 07:03
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$16	100	0	+100	No	-$16	05-25 02:20
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$9	100	0	+100	No	-$9	06-04 05:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$8	9	0	+9	Up	+$0	04-27 03:46
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	5	$8	189	49	+140	No	-$5	05-18 00:46
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	5	$7	122	0	+122	No	-$7	05-13 02:33
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$6	6	0	+6	Rockets	+$0	04-27 03:45
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on May 10?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-10 03:24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 25?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-25 07:13
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on June 1?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-01 01:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-07 01:18
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-10 02:55
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on June 1?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-01 01:16
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 1?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-01 01:13
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on May 10?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-10 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 8?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-08 05:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 07:03:47	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x5b68fc…
06-25 07:03:46	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x625f1e…
06-25 07:03:46	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x5270af…
06-04 05:08:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x593bc5…
06-04 05:08:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x381f43…
06-04 05:08:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x32f3c4…
06-01 01:16:41	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on June 1?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8343e8…
06-01 01:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on June 1?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x63d401…
06-01 01:13:25	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 1?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x60b7a1…
06-01 01:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on June 1?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xaee783…
06-01 00:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on June 1?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb65675…
05-25 07:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C or higher on May 25?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x30618b…
05-25 07:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x4e180f…
05-25 07:13:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 25?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xee6949…
05-25 07:11:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 25?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x19ce52…
05-25 07:09:43	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x9e5045…
05-25 02:20:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xb7013d…
05-25 02:20:56	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x38bdeb…
05-25 02:20:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x3698bb…
05-18 00:49:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	42¢	$12	0x80a1d9…
05-18 00:48:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0xbda641…
05-18 00:48:35	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x5bb7ed…
05-18 00:48:35	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x519834…
05-18 00:47:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xe7acb5…
05-18 00:46:26	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	3¢	$2	0xb2fe41…
05-18 00:46:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0xbfde21…
05-18 00:45:49	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x9e7c4d…
05-18 00:45:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0x46d5ad…
05-18 00:45:02	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	3¢	$2	0x5837cc…
05-18 00:44:27	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x9e5ce6…
05-18 00:44:23	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	41¢	$11	0x626298…
05-18 00:44:23	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x60bd1e…
05-18 00:44:15	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x171bba…
05-18 00:44:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	23¢	$24	0xbfaf2b…
05-18 00:43:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	31¢	$44	0x91825b…
05-13 02:33:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4492e6…
05-13 02:33:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xf0b2bf…
05-13 02:33:32	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xb89ded…
05-13 02:33:32	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x9d832a…
05-13 02:33:25	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	18¢	$11	0xde315b…
05-13 02:33:20	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x145e90…
05-13 02:33:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x539880…
05-13 02:33:13	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xded39b…
05-13 02:33:13	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x6ce3a0…
05-13 02:32:34	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	34¢	$45	0x16d081…
05-13 02:32:27	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	34¢	$44	0x7c35f6…
05-10 03:24:00	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on May 10?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6b2261…
05-10 03:22:13	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x74751c…
05-10 03:02:37	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x69b928…
05-10 02:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 10?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf62b9a…
05-10 02:55:01	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xffe95f…
05-08 05:40:17	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$3	0xbe66fa…
05-08 05:40:01	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	66¢	$53	0x916884…
05-08 05:39:17	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	28¢	$19	0xbee6bc…
05-08 05:39:00	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x5e466e…
05-08 05:38:25	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xf8020f…
05-08 05:37:48	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xe85536…
05-08 05:29:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on May 8?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf9b352…
05-08 05:29:19	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xb80d8c…
05-08 05:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 8?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x05a457…
05-07 01:29:03	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 7?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x99f8d1…
05-07 01:28:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xd3e75d…
05-07 01:26:04	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C or below on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0c1bbb…
05-07 01:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe5b5b7…
05-07 01:23:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x27fd82…
05-07 01:22:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 7?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x9b3c32…
05-07 01:18:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1c90eb…
05-06 01:39:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x43691d…
04-30 02:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0x4dda21…
04-30 01:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on April 29?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x4b3794…
04-30 01:00:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xaca91b…
04-30 01:00:06	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on April 29?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x712ba9…
04-30 00:59:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5c832d…
04-30 00:58:10	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa6537e…
04-30 00:57:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf988be…
04-29 01:13:50	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on April 29?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x23a5d5…
04-29 01:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 29?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0cead1…
04-29 00:55:10	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x122efb…
04-29 00:45:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa09ba1…
04-29 00:42:06	James Comey arrested by April 28?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9af4d7…
04-27 03:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xb04a37…
04-27 03:45:52	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf1731f…