Realized P&L (30d)
+$297
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
59.6%
Resolved (30d)
53
Trades (30d)
514
967 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$16.2K
$38.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$3.65K
17 positions
First seen
2026-07-08
last 11-14 00:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Other
38% 58% +$65
Sports
36% 67% -$942
Politics
26% 80% +$102
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? No +1,071 $974 94¢ $1.0K +$27 09-30 23:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,208 $855 79¢ $957 +$103 11-02 18:24
Will Alberta join the US? No +889 $873 99¢ $877 +$4 10-05 19:53
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +240 $192 99¢ $239 +$47 11-04 23:43
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +200 $183 98¢ $196 +$13 09-19 02:06
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +184 $154 46¢ $85 -$69 11-06 11:52
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +378 $106 21¢ $78 -$28 10-27 20:12
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 7:00 PM ET? No +50 $48 100¢ $50 +$2 11-13 23:40
Government shutdown by December 31? Yes +100 $42 42¢ $42 +$0 11-12 14:17
Will Rene Haas be the next CEO of NVIDIA? Yes +200 $44 21¢ $42 -$2 11-13 19:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +400 $32 8¢ $31 -$1 11-13 22:38
Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31? No +50 $24 52¢ $26 +$2 11-12 21:54
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +14 $12 96¢ $13 +$1 10-05 02:38
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 14, 12:00 AM ET? Yes +8 $1 100¢ $8 +$7 11-14 00:47
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +56 $12 8¢ $4 -$8 11-06 18:37
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 8:00 PM ET? Yes +130 $15 0¢ $1 -$14 11-14 00:26
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 10:30 PM ET? No +120 $95 0¢ $1 -$95 11-14 01:14