Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

+$15

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

Trades

627

lifetime

Volume

$137.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$219

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-16 04:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Politics

53% 83% -$316

Other

42% 100% +$255

Tech

2% 100% +$28

Crypto

2% 67% +$11

Sports

0% 100% +$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-16).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No		+0	-$15	89¢	$0	+$15	06-14 22:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	118	$29.1K	15,573	14,550	+1,023	No	+$63	03-20 18:17
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	51	$22.3K	12,785	9,785	+3,000	No	+$34	03-29 05:04
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	8	$7.8K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$8	04-27 08:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	19	$5.9K	3,600	3,600	+0	open	—	06-14 02:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	9	$5.8K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$3	05-06 00:29
netanyahu out by march 31 854	31	$5.1K	2,590	2,590	+0	No	+$5	03-22 10:54
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	102	$5.1K	2,611	2,611	+0	open	—	05-21 10:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	14	$4.7K	3,656	1,106	+2,550	Yes	-$37	03-01 17:38
will canada strike iran by march 31	29	$4.4K	1,989	2,488	-499	No	+$7	03-13 17:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	4	$3.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-06 10:47
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$6	04-30 19:49
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$30	04-07 22:33
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	3	$2.5K	2,160	360	+1,800	No	+$6	02-28 02:01
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	No	+$18	06-02 06:15
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	58	$2.4K	1,471	1,471	+0	open	—	06-14 22:38
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	2	$2.1K	2,140	0	+2,140	Yes	+$17	05-31 21:11
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	3	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$8	06-07 06:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	8	$1.9K	1,010	1,000	+10	No	+$10	05-26 02:15
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	18	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-08 16:03
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	5	$1.6K	1,254	400	+854	Yes	+$34	05-04 03:36
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$1.6K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$1	03-09 19:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$1.3K	700	700	+0	No	+$14	05-06 16:04
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$20	05-19 02:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	9	$1.1K	800	800	+0	No	+$8	05-25 00:10
will oman strike iran by march 31	13	$980	500	499	+1	No	+$1	03-15 01:36
will opinion launch a token on february 24	2	$979	980	0	+980	No	+$1	02-25 04:57
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	5	$979	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$21	06-16 04:25
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	2	$976	500	500	+0	No	+$0	05-18 10:09
Iran leadership change by March 13?	3	$898	900	0	+900	No	+$2	03-14 04:27
Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?	2	$858	450	450	+0	Yes	+$20	06-07 01:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 04:25:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x3bca08…
06-16 04:25:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x0cdf7b…
06-16 04:25:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xf74ce5…
06-16 04:25:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	33	98¢	$33	0xe0e3b4…
06-16 04:25:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	894	98¢	$875	0x033c3b…
06-14 22:38:57	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	530	83¢	$440	0xc1dad2…
06-14 22:38:46	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x7ab191…
06-14 02:57:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	600	85¢	$510	0xb7c5a0…
06-13 04:56:01	Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 17m?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x7c5499…
06-07 06:55:46	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	SELL	1,000	98¢	$983	0xed79e7…
06-07 01:08:09	Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?	Yes	SELL	450	98¢	$439	0x4c9dd1…
06-06 23:02:31	Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?	Yes	BUY	450	93¢	$419	0xffc490…
06-06 03:08:34	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0xe4395e…
06-05 12:56:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	600	84¢	$504	0x818f51…
06-02 10:31:59	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0x5c743c…
06-02 10:11:50	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0xe77fc9…
06-02 06:50:21	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	130	93¢	$121	0xe011e2…
06-02 06:15:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	99¢	$2,482	0xe5f7f2…
06-01 05:11:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,001	85¢	$851	0x9d2f43…
05-31 21:11:29	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,136	99¢	$2,119	0x910e37…
05-31 20:11:01	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2f8135…
05-29 21:09:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	400	50¢	$200	0x05ec18…
05-26 02:15:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaa7c72…
05-25 05:42:46	Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xf6dcd2…
05-25 05:42:20	Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xcc729a…
05-25 04:53:07	Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	BUY	92	97¢	$90	0x710d93…
05-25 04:53:07	Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	BUY	225	97¢	$219	0x690b25…
05-25 03:19:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	94	38¢	$36	0x549191…
05-25 03:18:15	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	28	38¢	$11	0xccd03f…
05-25 03:12:49	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x3bac6b…
05-25 03:12:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	268	38¢	$102	0xa63ffa…
05-25 00:10:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	500	72¢	$358	0x615f81…
05-24 21:11:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	81¢	$810	0xe4b834…
05-24 19:52:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x6a9c13…
05-24 19:49:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	500	71¢	$354	0x0e167a…
05-23 18:11:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	82¢	$820	0x19a04c…
05-22 05:25:51	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	BUY	45	80¢	$36	0x78c3c5…
05-22 02:42:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0x68cb57…
05-21 10:51:55	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x9c458d…
05-21 10:51:55	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x1a6fa2…
05-21 09:40:47	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x52c848…
05-21 09:32:35	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x4ee70b…
05-21 08:18:34	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x18b070…
05-21 08:11:37	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0x3cfd51…
05-21 07:54:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	91	71¢	$64	0xf6e970…
05-21 07:54:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	69	71¢	$49	0xa35da8…
05-21 07:54:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	76	71¢	$54	0x804ff5…
05-21 07:54:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	38	71¢	$27	0x65bfcc…
05-21 07:52:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	26	71¢	$19	0x54b0f9…
05-21 07:43:53	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xed2974…
05-21 07:27:51	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8c7112…
05-21 06:25:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x50d4d2…
05-21 06:25:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	260	70¢	$182	0x69a8e4…
05-21 05:35:56	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x6dc5dc…
05-21 05:26:41	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0xa4d2bb…
05-21 05:26:15	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0e4d84…
05-21 04:54:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	488	96¢	$468	0xfdc9ba…
05-21 04:41:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xab3708…
05-21 04:35:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x90397a…
05-20 10:02:56	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0xd93d99…
05-19 03:43:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xe104c4…
05-19 02:57:49	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,200	98¢	$1,180	0x5a7d93…
05-18 10:09:47	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	500	98¢	$488	0x5e6d2c…
05-17 14:58:57	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x09ff86…
05-16 06:47:43	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x9b5479…
05-16 06:35:16	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x124ea9…
05-16 06:28:51	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x20ac10…
05-16 06:27:44	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x218259…
05-16 06:26:25	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$24	0x9400c7…
05-16 06:06:11	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	173	97¢	$168	0x053a66…
05-16 04:16:52	GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x594b32…
05-16 04:16:50	GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0x7d4292…
05-15 07:27:31	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0xfa2f5c…
05-15 07:16:26	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0xe2431f…
05-15 07:16:17	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	126	97¢	$122	0x4fc70b…
05-15 06:32:09	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x6f38c7…
05-13 13:05:15	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$43	0x835f3f…
05-13 12:50:16	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0xe5c2d3…
05-13 12:35:16	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0x735e0b…
05-13 12:20:15	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$23	0x9a6b0e…
05-12 02:34:43	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x3b5217…
05-12 02:34:34	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x5c9b1f…
05-11 23:51:46	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	85	83¢	$70	0xb1289e…
05-11 16:13:35	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x04e019…
05-11 16:13:24	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x94f0ec…
05-11 16:13:23	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xe938da…
05-11 16:13:23	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xc14a65…
05-11 16:13:21	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0xb1eaa3…
05-11 16:11:24	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	155	98¢	$153	0x482891…
05-11 16:11:22	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xe181ef…
05-11 16:11:22	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0x580815…
05-11 16:10:33	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xa33a28…
05-11 16:10:26	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x2095e9…
05-11 16:10:24	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0xf11667…
05-11 16:09:12	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xdcf6bd…
05-11 16:09:12	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x299e0a…
05-11 16:09:12	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x1ad184…
05-11 16:08:25	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xfaceb3…
05-11 16:06:40	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x19ff44…
05-11 16:06:09	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0x2198db…