Determined-Hyphenation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.6%

Resolved

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$13.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 07-26 11:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

56% 50% $-0

Sports

33% 0% $-3

Crypto

8% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$815	423	423	+0	No	$-2	04-08 21:28
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	4	$699	363	363	+0	open	—	03-14 19:04
will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$686	364	364	+0	open	—	03-15 10:24
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$628	332	332	+0	open	—	03-27 04:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$498	260	260	+0	open	—	04-09 19:59
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	5	$473	170	315	-145	open	—	04-27 11:35
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	5	$412	214	214	+0	open	—	04-13 03:11
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$351	181	181	+0	open	—	03-13 20:57
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$343	177	177	+0	No	$-0	03-18 13:38
will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$336	173	173	+0	open	—	03-16 15:09
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$335	172	172	+0	open	—	03-16 23:26
will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$334	172	172	+0	open	—	03-20 18:28
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$333	170	170	+0	open	—	03-17 14:58
bitcoin above 72k on march 12	2	$331	173	173	+0	open	—	03-12 18:44
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$329	169	169	+0	open	—	03-19 05:46
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$328	169	169	+0	open	—	03-19 13:10
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$326	173	173	+0	Yes	$-0	03-11 14:39
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$324	170	170	-0	open	—	03-16 08:31
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$322	168	168	+0	open	—	03-22 11:46
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$317	162	162	+0	No	+$0	03-12 03:44
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$316	162	162	+0	open	—	03-26 13:37
2026 the players championship winner min woo lee win	2	$313	161	161	+0	open	—	03-12 11:13
will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$311	160	160	+0	open	—	03-27 11:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$310	160	160	+0	open	—	03-25 12:26
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$307	157	157	+0	open	—	03-21 12:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$282	144	143	+0	open	—	04-27 02:12
will croatia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149754	5	$223	122	122	+0	open	—	06-11 17:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	4	$206	113	113	+0	open	—	06-05 07:56
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$197	103	103	+0	open	—	04-13 17:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	4	$196	101	101	+0	open	—	05-21 14:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 11:01:22	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x0efec4…
07-26 03:59:00	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x6bbb60…
07-25 10:47:25	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x2959c9…
07-25 02:46:21	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x712fb6…
06-20 22:21:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0x01e890…
06-20 14:20:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0xea6627…
06-20 00:31:56	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	SELL	57	95¢	$55	0x3c2f54…
06-19 17:26:41	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	57	94¢	$54	0x253268…
06-15 20:30:16	will egypt reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149735	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x613c63…
06-15 03:27:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	63	97¢	$61	0xff6827…
06-14 22:26:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xbcc2c6…
06-14 17:19:18	will sweden reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149732	No	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0x23855e…
06-14 12:15:27	will sweden reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149732	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0xb33a7c…
06-12 17:06:04	Will Austria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x902ca7…
06-12 10:53:33	Will Austria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x14d761…
06-12 03:37:58	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11 extra innings	No	SELL	53	3¢	$2	0x2ae481…
06-11 23:36:21	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11 extra innings	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xa855cf…
06-11 17:15:21	will croatia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149754	No	SELL	59	90¢	$54	0xfc7154…
06-11 11:10:24	will croatia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149754	No	BUY	59	92¢	$55	0x2256bc…
06-10 20:14:52	will sweden reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149732	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x0ff8dd…
06-10 14:07:06	will sweden reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149732	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x1b861b…
06-10 04:47:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	58	94¢	$55	0x8a8851…
06-09 22:45:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0x52c888…
06-09 22:08:13	Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	69	90¢	$62	0x7c98b5…
06-09 13:59:16	Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	69	91¢	$63	0x5500df…
06-06 11:33:45	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x18203e…
06-06 05:27:24	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x6800aa…
06-06 04:53:45	will croatia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149754	No	SELL	62	89¢	$56	0x4971bd…
06-05 21:51:03	will croatia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149754	No	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0x83385a…
06-05 21:51:03	will croatia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149754	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x240a81…
06-05 21:18:49	Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0xfd2e73…
06-05 15:12:18	Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0x1100f4…
06-05 07:56:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	63	92¢	$58	0x76cfb7…
06-05 02:55:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	63	93¢	$58	0xa947d2…
06-02 18:58:19	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?	No	SELL	59	95¢	$56	0x76c54b…
06-02 12:55:06	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?	No	BUY	59	93¢	$55	0xfdd866…
05-28 20:34:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x67d1ab…
05-28 13:31:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x381496…
05-27 22:17:50	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	47	97¢	$45	0x18fc46…
05-21 14:47:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0xd55c75…
05-21 07:42:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0x56c27e…
05-21 01:24:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0xeb95f1…
05-20 18:19:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xdafdfa…
05-20 02:17:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	49	94¢	$46	0x3e9cba…
05-19 22:15:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	49	95¢	$46	0x0bff64…
04-30 12:18:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	47	92¢	$43	0x54c8eb…
04-30 08:16:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	47	93¢	$43	0xfd272c…
04-28 02:29:00	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0x9344e9…
04-27 22:50:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xd7c88a…
04-27 17:23:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	SELL	48	94¢	$45	0x321e78…
04-27 12:19:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x2b4a3c…
04-27 11:35:42	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	145	97¢	$141	0x866ae7…
04-27 02:12:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	SELL	143	98¢	$141	0x2ae836…
04-25 02:25:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	144	98¢	$141	0x439e2d…
04-22 10:57:50	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0xe23d89…
04-22 03:47:12	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x685643…
04-14 23:36:36	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0xc070d2…
04-14 08:03:21	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0xbfc3d4…
04-14 05:56:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	47	95¢	$45	0xf045a9…
04-14 00:55:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	47	94¢	$45	0x97a379…
04-13 17:42:39	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x6eca14…
04-13 10:12:03	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x45b2c1…
04-13 03:11:23	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0x69ff31…
04-12 19:14:09	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	61	96¢	$59	0xdb52ff…
04-12 05:42:09	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0xa84bc6…
04-12 00:35:59	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x5bf913…
04-12 00:35:25	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xabd02b…
04-12 00:25:11	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	52	95¢	$49	0x3cea61…
04-11 19:21:41	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xc996ee…
04-11 06:37:17	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x887ca2…
04-10 21:50:45	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x45d115…
04-10 04:24:37	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	59	93¢	$55	0x4649b8…
04-09 21:44:11	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	59	93¢	$55	0x8e515b…
04-09 19:59:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x931d83…
04-09 19:54:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xc6df82…
04-09 05:00:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x7309b9…
04-08 21:53:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xe6de81…
04-08 21:28:01	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	42	92¢	$39	0x74a800…
04-08 13:27:35	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0xbfe38d…
04-08 12:15:59	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x6dfd5f…
04-08 04:47:27	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x895968…
03-31 18:35:55	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0xe03614…
03-31 12:23:57	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xe46849…
03-30 20:06:15	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x521854…
03-30 11:44:48	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x024a87…
03-29 07:24:58	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	153	96¢	$147	0x39b299…
03-29 01:29:02	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x68c94c…
03-29 01:27:14	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x272f27…
03-27 11:04:17	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	160	97¢	$155	0x44df56…
03-27 05:05:13	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	160	97¢	$156	0xda718c…
03-27 04:25:29	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	161	95¢	$152	0x46339e…
03-26 21:45:05	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0xf8ebe8…
03-26 21:27:41	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x4737d9…
03-26 20:58:25	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	83	95¢	$78	0x74154d…
03-26 13:37:07	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	162	97¢	$158	0x6ed2a2…
03-26 08:36:03	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	162	97¢	$158	0x5d51cc…
03-25 12:26:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	160	97¢	$155	0x89be86…
03-25 08:12:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	160	97¢	$155	0xbe4c6d…
03-24 17:44:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	166	95¢	$157	0xff124d…
03-24 09:42:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	166	95¢	$157	0x76f09a…