Male-Prevention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$204

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

54.3%

Resolved

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$13.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-24

last 06-04 08:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Politics

81% 41% +$268

Other

13% 30% -$288

Crypto

3% 14% -$215

Sports

2% 67% +$47

Tech

0% 0% -$16

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-04).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+1,122	$10	0¢	$2	-$8	05-14 09:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$1.8K	3,085	3,085	+0	Yes	+$789	04-07 22:33
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	6	$1.8K	3,919	1,021	+2,898	No	-$132	04-15 21:53
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$757	521	521	+0	Yes	+$257	02-28 19:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$521	1,261	1,260	+0	Yes	-$243	04-06 17:24
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$500	1,429	1,429	+0	No	+$100	03-24 17:08
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$499	14,142	0	+14,142	No	-$499	04-29 05:19
cs2 furia vit 2026 04 18	2	$477	334	330	+4	Vitality	+$81	04-18 19:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$466	1,136	1,136	+0	No	-$34	04-14 19:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$463	348	348	+0	No	-$17	04-18 18:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$459	385	385	+0	Yes	+$59	04-07 21:54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$439	435	435	+0	Yes	+$39	03-24 17:09
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	2	$433	333	333	+0	Yes	+$33	04-07 21:54
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$400	2,857	0	+2,857	No	-$400	03-24 17:10
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$302	218	218	+0	Yes	+$47	04-07 21:54
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$250	208	208	+0	Yes	+$50	02-19 13:17
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	2	$250	200	200	+0	Yes	+$150	06-04 08:56
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$200	624	624	+0	open	—	06-01 14:10
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$188	738	738	+0	Yes	-$12	04-17 07:03
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$185	120	120	+0	Yes	+$55	05-04 19:11
AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5	2	$177	127	127	+0	Over	+$47	05-04 19:11
Lakers vs. Rockets	2	$166	107	106	+1	Rockets	+$47	04-27 06:12
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$159	131	131	+0	No	+$80	03-23 17:41
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	2	$150	306	0	+306	No	-$150	05-05 14:44
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$120	103	103	+0	Yes	+$0	05-17 05:43
solana above 80 on february 28	2	$117	97	97	+0	Yes	+$77	02-28 19:43
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$100	412	0	+412	Yes	-$100	04-16 14:55
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	1	$100	455	0	+455	No	-$100	04-18 19:04
bitcoin above 68k on march 1	1	$100	591	0	+591	No	-$100	02-28 19:48
will solana dip to 120 in january 2026	1	$100	175	0	+175	Yes	-$100	01-24 15:17
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?	1	$85	472	0	+472	No	-$85	05-05 14:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 08:57:33	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xc9d279…
06-04 08:57:18	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	331	5¢	$15	0x9f98eb…
06-04 08:56:42	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x09ff99…
06-03 07:09:35	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xfec6d3…
06-01 14:13:19	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x27bffd…
06-01 14:12:37	Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Liquid	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x47459b…
06-01 14:11:04	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	8¢	$11	0x14574c…
06-01 14:10:50	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	18¢	$14	0x9a4f66…
06-01 14:10:41	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	624	19¢	$120	0xd23842…
05-24 07:44:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	110	45¢	$50	0xff6294…
05-24 07:43:40	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	92	32¢	$29	0x939692…
05-24 07:43:26	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	372	4¢	$15	0xda8696…
05-24 07:43:12	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	235	5¢	$12	0xf2fcfc…
05-24 07:42:57	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	286	3¢	$10	0x78d9b5…
05-24 07:42:44	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	SELL	156	14¢	$22	0xe0f0f5…
05-23 13:47:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	No	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x2e6e00…
05-23 13:46:45	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0x8b4df6…
05-17 05:44:21	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	624	13¢	$80	0xf1747c…
05-17 05:43:48	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	103	58¢	$60	0x186c82…
05-17 05:43:41	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	118	20¢	$24	0x76a5ee…
05-14 09:25:49	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,122	1¢	$10	0xa4d042…
05-14 09:25:28	Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3,419	0¢	$10	0x47b3c6…
05-14 09:24:25	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x36dc23…
05-13 20:34:38	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0x0f2d30…
05-13 20:34:27	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x7bf453…
05-13 20:32:28	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	6¢	$20	0x4a57e8…
05-13 20:32:21	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x633393…
05-10 09:09:39	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	92	38¢	$35	0x359e87…
05-10 09:00:05	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x1856d5…
05-10 08:59:16	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Heroic	BUY	53	30¢	$16	0x5eada6…
05-10 08:58:57	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xc4b212…
05-09 13:02:09	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x6a459b…
05-09 13:00:40	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x9adbb1…
05-09 12:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	140	5¢	$7	0x7978bd…
05-09 12:56:07	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xf7b442…
05-09 12:53:21	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	526	4¢	$20	0xb2f627…
05-09 12:53:02	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	235	8¢	$20	0xb18cca…
05-09 12:50:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x822735…
05-09 12:49:07	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xd5e713…
05-09 12:46:35	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x480a68…
05-09 12:46:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x084095…
05-09 12:45:28	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	372	5¢	$20	0xe0b7e7…
05-07 06:36:42	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x8640d5…
05-07 06:36:33	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0xccda66…
05-06 05:50:46	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x5bf9b5…
05-05 20:55:44	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x6bdd5b…
05-05 20:55:18	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x95c0cf…
05-05 14:44:32	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xe17051…
05-05 14:44:08	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x309e91…
05-05 14:38:32	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0xac32a4…
05-05 14:37:30	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	472	18¢	$85	0xa8e7f1…
05-05 14:37:14	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x13dbf2…
05-04 19:11:14	AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	127	88¢	$112	0xc81f58…
05-04 19:11:06	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xe55654…
05-04 13:24:44	AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	127	51¢	$65	0xf1c842…
05-04 13:24:16	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	120	54¢	$65	0x553d52…
04-30 13:58:22	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0x259cd8…
04-30 07:14:48	Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,419	1¢	$20	0x7005bb…
04-30 07:13:44	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x5b745c…
04-30 07:12:24	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x80e00a…
04-30 07:10:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	372	5¢	$20	0x8e62a0…
04-29 05:19:52	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	12,500	0¢	$50	0x45442b…
04-27 18:46:02	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	116	56¢	$65	0x2b1bdc…
04-27 13:14:56	Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	107	61¢	$65	0xbeb008…
04-27 06:12:36	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xac78f9…
04-26 21:37:34	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	107	56¢	$60	0x1dc446…
04-22 16:28:50	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	426	35¢	$149	0x957be2…
04-22 08:22:34	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,053	19¢	$200	0x311d86…
04-21 15:42:06	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0x071841…
04-18 19:11:22	cs2 furia vit 2026 04 18	Vitality	SELL	330	84¢	$277	0x884fb2…
04-18 19:04:16	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0xd247ce…
04-18 19:04:04	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	2,045	2¢	$50	0x6cdb36…
04-18 18:30:54	cs2 furia vit 2026 04 18	Vitality	BUY	334	60¢	$200	0x703fa8…
04-18 18:30:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	348	64¢	$223	0x85997c…
04-17 07:03:22	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	738	12¢	$88	0xac5ba0…
04-16 14:55:42	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	412	24¢	$100	0xfe3c79…
04-16 08:18:48	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	738	14¢	$100	0xf4ebad…
04-15 21:53:52	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	1,164	4¢	$50	0xe95760…
04-15 19:03:06	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	49	16¢	$8	0x32847a…
04-15 18:50:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	1,685	18¢	$312	0xa3c011…
04-15 18:50:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	1,021	82¢	$837	0xe9f58c…
04-15 16:22:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	414	48¢	$200	0xc83c76…
04-15 13:44:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	607	66¢	$400	0x35829b…
04-14 19:13:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	348	69¢	$240	0x70aa38…
04-14 19:12:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	1,136	19¢	$216	0xd3ba53…
04-14 15:04:53	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,136	22¢	$250	0xd115e3…
04-07 22:33:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	347	70¢	$243	0x8dab7c…
04-07 22:33:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	45	70¢	$31	0x482329…
04-07 22:11:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	392	38¢	$150	0xeb517a…
04-07 22:02:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	2,692	38¢	$1,033	0xf01083…
04-07 21:55:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	521	38¢	$200	0x6a68b6…
04-07 21:54:41	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	218	80¢	$175	0x823818…
04-07 21:54:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	385	67¢	$259	0xabc6ab…
04-07 21:54:27	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	333	70¢	$233	0x4ee7df…
04-07 21:45:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	310	29¢	$90	0xe4a54c…
04-07 21:40:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x8f5ea6…
04-07 21:39:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	137	21¢	$29	0xd68ef1…
04-07 08:13:07	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	218	58¢	$128	0xbbeaa3…
04-07 08:12:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1,724	3¢	$50	0xc961a1…
04-06 19:20:51	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0x0f0110…