Troubled-Certificate 0xbc7784…5e66ff
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Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
22.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,498
lifetime
Volume
$3.29K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$51
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-19
last 06-10 10:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
63% — —
Sports
21% 100% +$2
Politics
15% 0% $-2
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +8 $6 78¢ $7 +$1 06-03 20:57
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +39 $6 16¢ $6 +$0 06-09 15:47
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $6 83¢ $6 +$0 06-06 21:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +9 $6 72¢ $6 +$0 06-04 20:02
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +24 $6 18¢ $4 $-2 06-07 08:45
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 +$0 06-10 02:26
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +5 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 06-09 12:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No +5 $4 74¢ $4 $-0 06-08 07:54
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +6 $4 64¢ $4 $-0 06-08 01:24
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +13 $4 22¢ $3 $-1 06-04 04:01
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes +15 $3 15¢ $2 $-1 06-09 15:11
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No +3 $1 38¢ $1 $-0 06-06 15:54
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +53 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-06 21:19