General-Brick — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$72

Unrealized P&L

+$41

Hit rate

51.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

104 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.62K

$27.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$268

Open exposure

$533

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-11 07:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

48% 90% -$611

Tech

22% 100% +$69

Crypto

21% 100% +$48

Politics

8% 100% +$2

Sports

1% 100% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes		+543	$492	98¢	$533	+$41	09-11 07:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$2.6K	1,325	1,325	+0	Yes	+$41	04-25 13:59
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	4	$2.5K	1,274	1,274	+0	No	+$29	05-31 16:00
maduro out by march 31 2026 187 483	4	$2.0K	1,626	818	+808	Yes	-$646	01-02 16:50
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	5	$1.4K	757	757	+0	No	+$23	03-12 03:23
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.3K	744	744	+0	open	—	07-03 22:25
spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	2	$1.3K	645	645	+0	No	+$7	06-12 18:07
Trump out as President by April 30?	8	$973	975	0	+975	No	+$2	04-26 02:38
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	4	$961	490	490	+0	No	+$12	07-16 10:56
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	2	$873	440	440	+0	No	+$1	06-04 02:01
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$871	437	437	+0	No	+$1	05-30 01:04
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$787	394	394	+0	No	+$1	04-01 01:29
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	2	$748	500	500	+0	open	—	08-24 11:02
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?	1	$642	654	0	+654	No	+$12	06-13 18:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$622	314	314	+0	Yes	+$2	06-11 01:28
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$604	303	303	+0	No	+$1	03-30 23:30
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	2	$604	323	323	+0	Yes	+$16	03-05 01:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$591	297	297	+0	No	+$1	06-11 01:28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	3	$589	369	369	+0	Yes	+$20	06-06 02:34
will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of february 767 713 548 338 651 365 876 463 984 145	2	$586	296	296	+0	No	+$2	02-23 09:15
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 20	2	$581	293	293	+0	No	+$3	03-19 17:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$567	287	287	+0	No	+$4	09-11 07:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$541	283	283	+0	Yes	+$23	07-29 19:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$532	447	447	+0	No	-$76	08-30 03:00
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	2	$513	260	260	+0	England	+$7	07-18 23:02
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?	2	$498	254	254	+0	No	+$9	07-18 22:06
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	4	$492	543	0	+543	open	—	09-11 07:56
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$455	238	238	+0	No	+$0	03-29 12:47
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	5	$452	228	228	+0	Yes	+$2	03-24 16:31
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$450	228	228	+0	No	+$0	03-13 03:01
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$445	225	225	+0	No	+$3	03-05 12:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 07:56:22	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	93¢	$36	0x3781b4…
09-11 07:56:06	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	93¢	$187	0x6ffad3…
09-11 07:55:54	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	93¢	$48	0xcfa6b2…
09-11 07:55:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	287	100¢	$286	0x28b74d…
08-30 03:01:21	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	253	88¢	$222	0x3021e1…
08-30 03:00:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	447	51¢	$228	0x91f829…
08-24 11:02:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	447	68¢	$304	0xd79007…
08-24 11:02:07	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	500	63¢	$314	0x73dede…
07-29 19:03:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	287	98¢	$282	0xfda752…
07-29 19:01:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x374cb1…
07-29 18:00:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	240	100¢	$239	0x083446…
07-25 03:24:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	74¢	$32	0x127183…
07-18 23:03:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	240	95¢	$227	0xca45c2…
07-18 23:02:30	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	SELL	260	100¢	$260	0x9cbefd…
07-18 22:06:22	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	260	97¢	$253	0xc49b2c…
07-18 22:06:03	Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?	No	SELL	254	100¢	$254	0xcfb959…
07-17 05:47:28	Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?	No	BUY	254	96¢	$245	0xf90a3b…
07-16 10:56:11	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	245	100¢	$244	0xe336ae…
07-12 04:25:34	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	245	99¢	$241	0xc3fe95…
07-10 19:22:46	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	245	99¢	$242	0x36f103…
07-09 12:13:59	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	245	95¢	$233	0x48913e…
07-09 12:10:02	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	500	87¢	$434	0x7f7c38…
07-03 22:25:14	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	744	90¢	$670	0x448080…
07-02 03:00:38	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	744	88¢	$655	0xbf0ab8…
06-13 18:52:43	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	654	98¢	$642	0x5d241b…
06-12 18:07:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?	No	SELL	645	100¢	$644	0x685eac…
06-11 01:29:22	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	645	99¢	$637	0x961297…
06-11 01:28:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	297	100¢	$296	0x0c841e…
06-11 01:28:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	314	99¢	$312	0xc86f54…
06-07 06:53:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x864482…
06-06 02:34:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	314	99¢	$310	0xa9ac5a…
06-06 02:34:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	369	83¢	$305	0x4d8427…
06-04 02:04:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x45f2a3…
06-04 02:01:01	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	440	99¢	$437	0xfcb9e6…
06-01 02:40:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	297	99¢	$295	0x705f73…
06-01 00:40:21	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	290	95¢	$276	0xddbeda…
05-31 16:00:55	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	275	100¢	$275	0xd3bfa7…
05-31 01:25:38	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	440	99¢	$436	0x5ed404…
05-30 01:04:51	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	437	100¢	$436	0x4d3679…
05-26 05:03:51	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	437	100¢	$435	0x6dc37e…
05-26 05:03:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	275	100¢	$274	0xa3bf83…
05-26 05:02:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	77¢	$122	0xfbaed5…
05-26 05:02:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	77¢	$162	0x9cd586…
05-24 17:43:57	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	999	100¢	$996	0xd0b49b…
05-17 08:14:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xfca2c2…
05-08 08:20:08	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5cde11…
05-02 12:06:54	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa7434f…
05-02 12:06:32	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	999	97¢	$968	0x6f0851…
04-26 02:38:48	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	590	100¢	$589	0x1f298d…
04-26 02:37:44	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x01bfb3…
04-26 02:28:22	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaf5770…
04-26 02:27:52	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7d899a…
04-26 02:27:52	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x09b667…
04-26 02:27:40	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x821baa…
04-26 02:27:38	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf4feb2…
04-26 02:25:22	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0x068590…
04-25 13:59:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	976	100¢	$973	0xe32b58…
04-04 14:15:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	976	98¢	$960	0x6065ac…
04-01 01:29:07	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	394	100¢	$394	0x51153c…
03-31 13:04:43	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	394	100¢	$393	0x3252b0…
03-30 23:30:45	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	303	100¢	$303	0x108d64…
03-30 01:53:32	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xcbf595…
03-29 12:47:32	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	228	100¢	$228	0xdbe56a…
03-29 12:47:20	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	238	96¢	$228	0x8593b6…
03-29 12:46:38	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	No	BUY	339	100¢	$338	0x0a3800…
03-29 04:54:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	349	97¢	$338	0xbfbb5f…
03-25 15:09:25	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	238	96¢	$227	0x1f2f76…
03-24 16:31:55	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x8d7cf5…
03-24 16:31:43	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x661e29…
03-24 16:23:47	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xc93e0d…
03-24 16:10:01	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xa704ae…
03-22 11:20:43	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	No	BUY	90	98¢	$89	0x1c221b…
03-20 11:11:19	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x86fc28…
03-20 10:59:55	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xd928af…
03-20 04:46:27	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	303	100¢	$302	0xb64676…
03-19 17:50:23	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 20	No	SELL	293	100¢	$292	0x48b6f8…
03-18 00:47:07	nba ind nyk 2026 03 17	Knicks	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0x486cec…
03-18 00:46:15	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 20	No	BUY	293	99¢	$289	0xbd3a92…
03-18 00:46:07	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0x721405…
03-13 03:01:57	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	228	99¢	$225	0x3f7b46…
03-13 03:01:43	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	228	99¢	$225	0xbcb50f…
03-12 03:25:25	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	228	99¢	$225	0xf08b23…
03-12 03:23:35	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	226	100¢	$225	0x5a0622…
03-05 22:15:29	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x28d3cc…
03-05 22:02:53	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0xd097ac…
03-05 12:00:41	Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	225	100¢	$224	0xf521f6…
03-05 01:53:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	349	89¢	$310	0x033347…
03-05 01:52:01	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	323	96¢	$310	0xee8bf9…
02-28 00:40:45	Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	225	98¢	$221	0x9a550b…
02-26 11:09:26	will nvda dip to 128 in february	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x9b2953…
02-26 09:45:10	will nvda dip to 128 in february	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xc15b6d…
02-26 08:20:50	will nvda dip to 128 in february	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6c5761…
02-26 08:05:40	will nvda dip to 128 in february	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0xb97f27…
02-23 09:16:06	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	323	91¢	$294	0xf2c362…
02-23 09:15:56	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of february 767 713 548 338 651 365 876 463 984 145	No	SELL	296	99¢	$294	0xc5db12…
02-10 08:05:45	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of february 767 713 548 338 651 365 876 463 984 145	No	BUY	296	99¢	$292	0x6f5429…
02-10 08:04:55	will nvda dip to 128 in february	No	BUY	221	99¢	$219	0x5aba58…
02-09 03:18:59	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	531	96¢	$511	0x8fa28c…
01-03 10:58:35	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	531	92¢	$488	0x5b8a78…
01-03 10:55:43	maduro out by january 31 2026 318	No	SELL	658	0¢	$1	0x5fe818…