Handsome-Mailman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$445

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$475

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-10

last 11-03 12:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Politics

58% 0% -$268

Other

31% 0% -$146

Crypto

8% 6% -$18

Sports

2% 0% -$8

Tech

1% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+40	$8	18¢	$7	-$1	10-27 16:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	1	$100	455	0	+455	Yes	-$100	05-10 20:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$63	407	0	+407	No	-$63	05-23 20:43
iran closes its airspace by june 8	3	$33	668	0	+668	Yes	-$33	06-07 22:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	1	$31	1,050	0	+1,050	No	-$31	11-03 12:05
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	1	$25	227	0	+227	No	-$25	05-12 16:28
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	1	$20	44	0	+44	No	-$20	05-16 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	3	$19	20	20	+0	Down	-$1	05-12 03:10
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	2	$15	3,250	0	+3,250	No	-$15	06-13 17:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$15	135	0	+135	No	-$15	05-20 18:14
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?	2	$15	80	0	+80	No	-$15	06-14 21:14
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	1	$10	49	0	+49	No	-$10	05-16 20:44
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	1	$10	105	0	+105	No	-$10	05-20 19:32
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	1	$10	111	0	+111	No	-$10	06-13 17:10
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	34	0	+34	No	-$10	05-16 20:30
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	536	0	+536	Yes	-$10	05-12 17:17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$8	40	0	+40	open	—	10-27 16:04
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$6	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$6	05-11 19:54
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?	1	$5	96	0	+96	No	-$5	05-16 20:36
Will Donald Trump announce Ted Cruz as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	1	$5	208	0	+208	No	-$5	05-22 06:20
starmer out by july 31 2026	1	$5	57	0	+57	Yes	-$5	06-21 04:24
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$5	102	0	+102	Yes	-$5	05-20 19:36
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$5	12	0	+12	No	-$5	05-20 19:34
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	1	$5	263	0	+263	No	-$5	05-12 16:27
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	1	$5	56	0	+56	Yes	-$5	05-21 08:19
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	1	$3	600	0	+600	Yes	-$3	07-19 18:03
will trump restart project freedom by june 30	3	$3	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	-$3	06-13 17:40
president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	1	$3	231	0	+231	Yes	-$3	07-19 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$2	200	0	+200	Down	-$2	05-11 17:49
will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	1	$2	20	0	+20	Yes	-$2	06-20 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$2	200	0	+200	Up	-$2	05-11 17:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 12:05:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	BUY	1,050	3¢	$31	0x17b01a…
10-27 16:04:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x4679b5…
07-19 18:07:19	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	231	1¢	$3	0x3484b9…
07-19 18:03:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	No	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0x101707…
06-21 04:24:19	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x14a2d5…
06-20 13:23:58	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x4adbc8…
06-14 21:14:49	Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0xd13523…
06-14 15:17:06	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x6fdd15…
06-13 20:45:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x55d0f6…
06-13 17:40:42	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x64d69f…
06-13 17:16:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0xb70a82…
06-13 17:16:00	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0c26e5…
06-13 17:12:46	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc9dcf4…
06-13 17:10:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xe340c0…
06-13 17:03:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xefcb12…
06-07 22:25:06	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	93	3¢	$3	0xea23de…
06-07 22:16:04	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	238	4¢	$10	0x23e888…
06-07 22:07:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	337	6¢	$20	0x44fd3d…
05-23 20:43:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	71	16¢	$11	0xa08cc3…
05-23 20:34:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	281	18¢	$50	0x6d94f6…
05-22 20:03:32	Will Trump say "Tax" 7+ times during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xee89de…
05-22 06:20:24	Will Donald Trump announce Ted Cruz as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0x4f3e51…
05-21 14:29:30	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x82df9a…
05-21 14:29:25	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9aa311…
05-21 14:29:23	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x759f6f…
05-21 08:26:07	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdc33dd…
05-21 08:19:00	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	No	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x42157e…
05-20 19:36:51	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0xa7ddda…
05-20 19:34:40	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x65f177…
05-20 19:32:34	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	Yes	BUY	105	9¢	$10	0x9a90af…
05-20 18:20:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x51e5d5…
05-20 18:14:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0xce434b…
05-20 18:07:22	Will Trump say "Finland" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x384749…
05-19 21:17:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x73e0d6…
05-19 21:16:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc9abac…
05-19 21:09:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x005ad0…
05-16 20:49:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x82eefb…
05-16 20:44:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0xc9b0e6…
05-16 20:36:05	Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0x72634e…
05-16 20:30:37	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x2391a5…
05-16 20:30:11	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xf0d24d…
05-12 17:17:16	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	536	2¢	$10	0x689962…
05-12 16:28:14	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0xf4785b…
05-12 16:27:38	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0x65b74a…
05-12 03:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x12ff1f…
05-12 03:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x77a544…
05-12 03:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf0cb6e…
05-11 21:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcea200…
05-11 20:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x062e96…
05-11 20:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa42fea…
05-11 20:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xaca3ff…
05-11 20:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfdca7f…
05-11 20:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7407a2…
05-11 19:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe2b3ca…
05-11 19:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbf67a9…
05-11 19:54:24	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x643ebb…
05-11 19:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x78819a…
05-11 19:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3ed61a…
05-11 18:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x20c36e…
05-11 18:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x035457…
05-11 18:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x04f66f…
05-11 17:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x09e091…
05-11 17:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1a283b…
05-11 17:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4ecd16…
05-11 17:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7aeb3e…
05-11 17:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x957768…
05-11 17:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x75fd4a…
05-11 16:40:32	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x545ab8…
05-10 20:03:43	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x11bc57…