Realized P&L
-$36
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
60.4%
Resolved
262
Trades
362
lifetime
Volume
$2.99K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$93
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 08-21 16:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Other
57% 40% +$25
Politics
23% 25% -$115
Sports
17% 48% +$60
Crypto
3% 50% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -35 -$22 80¢ $-28 -$6 07-19 17:00
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +24 $10 99¢ $23 +$13 06-16 13:34
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +51 $25 33¢ $17 -$8 07-23 22:29
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +15 $5 94¢ $14 +$9 08-01 14:03
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +10 $3 30¢ $3 +$0 05-22 22:13
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Yes +69 $2 4¢ $3 +$1 07-22 06:56
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +19 $5 15¢ $3 -$2 07-19 17:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10 $3 18¢ $2 -$1 07-19 17:19