Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$3.47K

Unrealized P&L

-$353

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

393

505 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$21.9K

$95.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$190

Open exposure

$378

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 10-26 13:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

29% 86% +$2,022

Politics

28% 80% +$387

Other

22% 54% +$545

Tech

21% 56% +$2,045

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+344	$155	91¢	$312	+$157	10-20 23:26
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	+1,131	$475	3¢	$36	-$439	10-20 04:22
next astra model 6pt1 released by december 15 2026	Yes	+20	$10	96¢	$19	+$9	10-20 23:23
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	Yes	+1,500	$66	1¢	$8	-$58	09-27 15:12
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?	Yes	+1,500	$25	0¢	$2	-$23	09-27 15:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	30	$16.8K	9,395	9,476	-80	No	+$2,029	04-01 20:23
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	5	$15.9K	8,000	8,000	+0	No	+$36	06-13 15:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$10.2K	10,180	0	+10,180	Yes	+$10	06-17 19:44
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$10.1K	10,101	0	+10,101	No	+$40	06-03 22:17
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	5	$10.0K	10,004	0	+10,004	Yes	+$20	07-01 19:41
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	8	$4.9K	3,512	3,512	+0	Yes	+$2,155	09-30 19:10
grok 4pt4 released by july 8	1	$3.6K	3,585	0	+3,585	Yes	+$4	07-08 18:03
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	1	$3.4K	3,417	0	+3,417	Yes	+$3	06-12 20:24
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	8	$2.1K	1,114	1,114	+0	Yes	-$12	10-13 22:44
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 120 and 149 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	4	$1.7K	1,660	0	+1,660	Yes	+$7	10-09 00:19
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	3	$1.5K	1,543	0	+1,543	No	+$5	10-08 20:02
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	57	$978	1,094	105	+989	Yes	+$139	10-13 15:53
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	8	$866	1,317	1,315	+2	No	-$864	04-01 00:00
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	11	$862	458	458	+0	No	+$36	10-07 09:35
will metas watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1490	2	$676	678	0	+678	Yes	+$2	10-14 12:00
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	3	$636	726	0	+726	Yes	+$90	10-07 15:50
Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	22	$633	776	73	+703	Yes	+$153	10-13 15:54
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	1	$630	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$370	09-27 23:37
will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	17	$595	1,027	1,027	+0	No	-$191	08-06 14:36
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	1	$503	561	0	+561	open	—	09-27 14:27
Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?	5	$501	667	667	+0	Yes	+$288	10-11 12:32
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	7	$486	285	285	+0	Yes	-$18	10-13 22:34
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	10	$475	1,131	0	+1,131	open	—	10-20 04:22
Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?	6	$426	586	0	+586	Yes	+$160	10-12 20:45
will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 45 or higher 20260723184439895	3	$400	626	110	+517	Yes	+$278	07-25 20:40
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	12	$358	800	800	+0	No	+$118	10-13 16:32
next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	8	$347	817	0	+817	No	-$347	07-26 11:31
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	3	$347	2,151	0	+2,151	No	-$347	10-13 16:31
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	1	$341	343	0	+343	No	+$2	10-02 18:05
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	7	$330	800	94	+706	No	+$486	10-13 16:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 13:17:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	486	43¢	$209	0xf3852b…
10-26 13:15:06	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	12¢	$17	0x651f02…
10-24 09:41:02	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	93	33¢	$31	0xe6ef17…
10-22 18:35:27	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	417	33¢	$136	0x9f8460…
10-20 23:26:47	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	344	45¢	$155	0xef3bc0…
10-20 23:23:41	next astra model 6pt1 released by december 15 2026	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5a0c24…
10-20 23:22:20	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	168	1¢	$2	0xf22136…
10-20 23:20:12	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x871757…
10-20 23:18:51	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	47¢	$55	0x3e489a…
10-20 19:09:42	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xe35e60…
10-20 19:09:42	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xafb990…
10-20 19:09:42	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$7	0x554ef5…
10-20 19:09:38	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x331d80…
10-20 17:59:50	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x5dcba0…
10-20 17:52:51	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x69f64b…
10-20 17:52:39	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	15¢	$4	0x23ecab…
10-20 17:14:23	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0xb29dc2…
10-20 17:12:02	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x77ee33…
10-20 17:09:20	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x51b7a0…
10-20 15:43:38	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	14¢	$29	0x4f09c1…
10-20 15:42:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xc365aa…
10-20 15:42:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	127	15¢	$19	0x373d76…
10-20 04:22:00	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	61	35¢	$21	0xc9e46e…
10-20 03:07:14	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5af676…
10-20 03:03:59	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9a9d43…
10-20 02:03:26	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x0dfe9d…
10-19 19:57:36	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	179	35¢	$63	0x6f2e8e…
10-19 18:28:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	25¢	$75	0x547cb2…
10-19 18:28:53	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$51	0x233fe4…
10-19 18:21:24	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0xee433f…
10-19 18:21:09	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	12¢	$11	0xe807a8…
10-19 18:20:59	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	12¢	$26	0xb5a687…
10-19 15:52:56	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	223	1¢	$2	0xb0482f…
10-19 15:52:14	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	12¢	$12	0x7c772e…
10-19 15:52:02	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	11¢	$14	0x1ffc31…
10-17 13:02:45	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xbeec1c…
10-17 12:54:02	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x7d8bf4…
10-17 12:37:00	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x094871…
10-17 12:02:32	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x441e56…
10-17 11:45:30	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x6210e2…
10-17 11:35:39	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x2e57f0…
10-17 10:36:39	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x822827…
10-17 09:14:57	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x44916e…
10-17 09:08:45	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	19¢	$9	0xf98b9d…
10-17 09:08:45	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xb26def…
10-17 09:08:45	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x9c0774…
10-17 09:08:45	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x885e58…
10-17 09:08:44	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	19¢	$26	0x05ee13…
10-17 07:41:27	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x31250e…
10-17 07:16:21	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	67	44¢	$29	0x640c6c…
10-17 02:59:33	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x767e7e…
10-17 02:50:36	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xd77874…
10-17 02:44:59	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x451c43…
10-17 02:42:33	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x3cca8e…
10-17 02:40:08	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xfb878f…
10-17 02:39:18	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x80f41b…
10-17 02:37:36	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x57caef…
10-17 02:35:26	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xc0cbdf…
10-17 02:34:32	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xb2efb4…
10-17 02:33:39	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x2f9008…
10-17 02:31:12	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xe94efe…
10-17 02:30:03	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xbc2eb9…
10-17 02:14:15	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x9055f8…
10-17 02:13:38	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x0c7096…
10-17 02:13:27	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xca619b…
10-17 02:11:09	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x66e406…
10-17 02:11:09	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x491f0d…
10-17 02:10:09	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xfdcd9d…
10-17 02:10:09	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xcb2345…
10-17 01:20:18	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x6a2efd…
10-17 00:37:39	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x2d2b52…
10-17 00:36:53	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xaf8252…
10-17 00:36:05	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x1674f5…
10-17 00:31:32	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x2a6f1f…
10-16 23:58:11	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xa2c9b3…
10-16 23:47:11	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x7a1f2f…
10-16 23:44:12	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x38ed4f…
10-16 23:44:08	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xaa5daf…
10-16 22:58:29	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xba9d53…
10-16 22:29:08	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xbc4f7f…
10-16 22:28:11	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xed0b96…
10-16 19:11:59	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x4909ea…
10-16 19:10:58	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xe1a46f…
10-16 19:02:04	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x9441f3…
10-16 18:59:53	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x5c2606…
10-16 18:57:41	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x0fce76…
10-16 18:55:47	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x4177dd…
10-16 18:55:01	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x4994f0…
10-16 18:55:01	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x1c1191…
10-16 18:52:59	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x29f33d…
10-16 18:51:05	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x869fab…
10-16 18:51:01	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x3dc1db…
10-16 18:49:19	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xc43997…
10-16 18:49:17	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x93d652…
10-16 18:48:32	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x5d4720…
10-16 18:47:43	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x71421b…
10-16 18:45:05	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xf9b18e…
10-16 18:40:16	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xe21c89…
10-16 18:32:22	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	177	7¢	$12	0x4974be…
10-16 18:24:47	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x2bc362…