Unaware-Adjustment 0xbd8338…89632f
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$98
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
3.4%
Resolved (30d)
8
Trades (30d)
14
406 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$268
$4.90K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$331
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-26
last 10-17 14:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Other
45% 63% +$165
Politics
26% 46% +$210
Sports
21% 53% -$72
Crypto
6% 31% -$44
Tech
2% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +49 $30 82¢ $40 +$10 10-01 19:09
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +46 $25 84¢ $39 +$14 09-22 05:29
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +48 $30 76¢ $37 +$7 10-01 19:09
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +46 $25 78¢ $36 +$11 10-04 06:34
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +39 $25 74¢ $29 +$4 10-17 14:54
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +39 $24 72¢ $28 +$4 10-17 14:58
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? Yes +47 $30 58¢ $27 -$3 10-02 04:57
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +51 $30 54¢ $27 -$3 10-01 19:08
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +26 $15 74¢ $19 +$4 10-02 04:57
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +47 $25 30¢ $14 -$11 10-04 06:35
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +19 $10 72¢ $13 +$3 08-08 06:59
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +14 $9 57¢ $8 -$1 08-03 17:37
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +17 $10 43¢ $7 -$3 09-24 18:31
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +16 $8 36¢ $6 -$2 09-05 19:37
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +94 $55 1¢ $1 -$54 10-04 06:35