Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
37.1%
Resolved
2
Trades
682
lifetime
Volume
$4.32K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$60
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 06-10 01:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
54% 50% $-1
Other
43%
Crypto
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -20 $-14 84¢ $-17 $-3 06-01 06:59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 05-28 03:19
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 $-0 05-28 03:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +10 $6 76¢ $8 +$1 06-09 17:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10 $8 72¢ $7 $-0 06-03 02:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-3 32¢ $-3 $-0 06-01 06:59
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +30 $3 11¢ $3 +$0 06-10 01:21
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? Yes +5 $0 28¢ $1 +$1 06-02 09:33
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +20 $1 $1 +$0 06-08 03:54
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +9 $1 $0 $-1 06-01 07:01