Realized P&L
-$29
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
57.9%
Resolved
192
Trades
282
lifetime
Volume
$2.52K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$22
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 07-16 11:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Crypto
53%
37%
+$277
Other
27%
31%
-$131
Politics
14%
11%
-$87
Sports
5%
6%
-$72
Tech
1%
25%
-$13
Pop-Culture
0%
0%
-$3
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-16).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -62 | -$6 | 17¢ | $-10 | -$5 | 06-20 08:21 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | -22 | -$6 | 22¢ | $-5 | +$1 | 07-15 16:56 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | -33 | -$4 | 8¢ | $-3 | +$1 | 06-20 08:01 | |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | -37 | -$1 | 5¢ | $-2 | $0 | 06-20 08:02 | |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | Yes | -2 | -$1 | 42¢ | $-1 | +$0 | 06-20 08:00 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | -28 | -$1 | 2¢ | $-1 | +$0 | 06-20 08:21 | |
| Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? | Yes | -12 | -$1 | 4¢ | $-0 | +$0 | 06-20 08:02 | |
| Databricks IPO before 2027? | Yes | -8 | -$2 | 2¢ | $-0 | +$1 | 06-20 08:02 | |
| Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | Yes | -31 | $0 | 1¢ | $-0 | +$0 | 06-20 08:21 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will the price of xrp be less than 1pt50 on february 3 | 10 | $289 | 1,636 | 1,636 | +0 | No | +$253 | 02-03 14:16 |
| BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 09:00 UTC | 6 | $185 | 536 | 536 | +0 | Up | +$5 | 02-02 11:01 |
| ethereum up or down on february 2 | 3 | $168 | 278 | 278 | +0 | Up | +$32 | 02-02 09:30 |
| will iran strike israel on march 6 | 4 | $142 | 202 | 202 | +0 | No | -$25 | 03-07 01:12 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 14:40 UTC | 2 | $86 | 56 | 55 | +1 | Up | +$9 | 03-06 14:43 |
| solana up or down february 1 2am et | 3 | $65 | 74 | 74 | +0 | Up | +$45 | 02-01 07:40 |
| will ethereum dip to 2400 in january 2026 453 | 2 | $53 | 51 | 51 | +0 | Yes | +$49 | 01-31 17:57 |
| lal mal sev 2026 02 02 sev | 4 | $50 | 125 | 81 | +43 | No | -$3 | 02-02 20:50 |
| ethereum up or down on february 3 | 3 | $42 | 172 | 172 | +0 | Down | +$4 | 02-03 14:16 |
| will iran strike israel on march 4 | 2 | $41 | 42 | 42 | +0 | Yes | +$37 | 03-06 18:53 |
| will there be 5 or fewer us strikes on somalia in february 2026 | 1 | $40 | 52 | 0 | +52 | No | -$40 | 01-28 00:48 |
| will houston win the 2026 ncaa tournament | 2 | $40 | 286 | 286 | +0 | No | $0 | 03-08 15:25 |
| will netanyahu visit nyc by march 31 | 2 | $37 | 229 | 229 | +0 | No | -$14 | 03-06 14:37 |
| will esther soria gonzales win the 2026 cochabamba gubernatorial election 195 | 2 | $35 | 145 | 0 | +145 | No | -$35 | 02-02 14:51 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 2 | $35 | 40 | 40 | +0 | Yes | +$5 | 02-02 20:31 |
| cs2 furia vit 2026 02 08 game1 | 3 | $35 | 25 | 25 | +0 | FURIA | +$5 | 02-08 16:36 |
| cs2 kol bb3 2026 02 05 | 1 | $33 | 239 | 0 | +239 | BetBoom Team | -$33 | 02-05 11:08 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 3 | $25 | 379 | 0 | +379 | No | -$25 | 03-09 21:07 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | 1 | $24 | 66 | 0 | +66 | Yes | +$41 | 06-11 20:39 |
| bitcoin up or down february 1 12pm et | 2 | $23 | 15 | 15 | +0 | Up | +$3 | 02-01 17:53 |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? | 2 | $23 | 3,429 | 0 | +3,429 | No | -$23 | 02-01 08:15 |
| ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-01 17:00 UTC | 3 | $22 | 25 | 25 | +0 | Up | +$2 | 02-01 17:49 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1 | $22 | 311 | 0 | +311 | No | -$22 | 02-09 10:11 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | 1 | $22 | 34 | 0 | +34 | Yes | +$12 | 06-24 22:56 |
| ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 15:45 UTC | 2 | $21 | 16 | 16 | +0 | Up | +$1 | 02-09 15:58 |
| xrp up or down on february 2 | 3 | $20 | 91 | 91 | +0 | Up | -$4 | 02-02 14:43 |
| solana up or down on february 1 | 1 | $20 | 61 | 0 | +61 | Down | -$20 | 02-01 09:22 |
| ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 16:15 UTC | 2 | $20 | 36 | 36 | +0 | Up | +$10 | 02-01 16:23 |
| will iran strike israel on march 7 | 2 | $19 | 78 | 0 | +78 | Yes | -$19 | 03-07 11:06 |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | 2 | $17 | 172 | 172 | +0 | No | -$3 | 03-25 10:12 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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