Ragged-Fiction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,413

lifetime

Volume

$7.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 06-09 17:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

80% 96% +$0

Sports

16% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-11 22:00
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-09 07:09
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-05 08:55
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-24 17:22
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-25 15:23
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-31 04:01
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 01:52
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-24 17:14
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-23 13:58
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$10	5	5	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
highest temperature in chengdu on april 9 2026 30c	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-09 08:56
cs2 k271 100t 2026 04 03 game1	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-03 13:14
Santillan vs. Wong: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Over	+$0	05-05 11:03
lal esp get 2026 03 21 draw	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-21 19:28
highest temperature in miami on april 7 2026 76 77f	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-07 16:46
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	1	$5	5	0	+5	Texas Rangers	+$0	05-10 21:19
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 27c	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-25 05:20
cbb mcnst sfaus 2026 03 11 spread away 3pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-11 23:24
atp izquier rocha 2026 03 13 first set total 9pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-13 18:21
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 25?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-26 04:10
mls dal min 2026 04 22 total 3pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-23 02:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:24:04	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x75ff41…
06-09 00:21:19	col1 atn cjf 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	CDPJuniorFC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x02e7f9…
06-08 21:37:01	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd52aa3…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5353e8…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x66c610…
06-07 19:54:28	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f2c68…
06-07 19:21:19	Will Alexander Albon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2b6881…
06-07 19:21:13	Will Fernando Alonso finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe0a0ef…
06-07 18:51:34	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8d8a0f…
06-07 18:30:21	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c3d53…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7038f3…
06-07 16:59:28	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb7b2cd…
06-07 13:09:43	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x08c2e2…
06-06 23:10:01	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1fb3cc…
06-06 20:58:43	mlb kc min 2026 06 06 spread home 3pt5	Kansas City Royals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a9fad…
06-06 14:19:21	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xead0c7…
06-06 12:06:00	wttmen gauzy jha 2026 06 06	Jha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8a84f3…
06-06 11:32:37	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x70ab77…
06-06 11:32:27	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9029ec…
06-05 20:05:37	mlbb tst hardgr 2026 06 05	HARD GRIND	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x31cdea…
06-05 17:03:39	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x09dba5…
06-05 01:53:27	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x80ca0b…
06-04 14:19:12	atp mcdonal hijikat 2026 06 03 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x59077c…
06-03 16:06:13	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc85042…
06-03 16:04:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x81b49a…
06-03 14:02:54	Spread: Philippines (-1.5)	Philippines	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd686a2…
06-03 04:48:14	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8a744f…
06-02 22:56:08	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb57fc0…
06-02 15:24:44	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa16421…
06-02 14:02:04	Will Pepe be included in Portugal's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc99b6…
06-01 08:37:38	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa8c56f…
06-01 02:05:36	Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7851c2…
06-01 01:30:06	Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 1 Winner	NRG	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcf17d5…
05-31 21:12:58	Pallacanestro Brescia vs. Olimpia Milano	Pallacanestro Brescia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x096d55…
05-31 20:44:15	Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)	Washington Nationals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbfaed4…
05-31 20:43:03	The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy	John	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x26a817…
05-31 18:43:09	Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner	INOX Division	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1b4305…
05-31 18:08:24	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e7ccc…
05-31 15:38:52	Counter-Strike: Reign Above vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - FRAG TAP Reloaded Playoffs	SportsBetExpert	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbec7b5…
05-31 14:19:36	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c079c…
05-31 13:09:32	Centurion: Giles Hussey vs Edward Winter	Giles Hussey	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd3c064…
05-31 11:26:57	Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6fc962…
05-31 11:10:02	KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e6dbf…
05-31 00:02:11	Auger-Aliassime vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xabf4a1…
05-30 22:09:41	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3631cd…
05-30 19:01:13	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x95383b…
05-30 18:04:17	Set Handicap: Tabilo (-2.5) vs Kouame (+2.5)	Kouame	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8612f2…
05-30 15:55:11	Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)	NIP	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x063f0f…
05-30 14:25:16	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7054ef…
05-30 11:17:29	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe2c9f3…
05-30 04:48:03	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xac7941…
05-30 04:48:02	IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf6aa6b…
05-30 04:48:02	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8f884e…
05-30 02:48:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9587ad…
05-29 21:01:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdaddfe…
05-29 19:20:06	Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf47f53…
05-29 13:33:04	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xec5d18…
05-28 20:16:26	LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 4 Winner	mCon esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa6fc73…
05-28 16:52:26	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc8da55…
05-28 16:31:03	IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbafea4…
05-28 16:13:30	Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Wadi Degla SC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f6b82…
05-28 16:01:08	Counter-Strike: xept vs STEP - Map 1 Winner	xept	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f2a37…
05-28 13:00:21	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Arevalo/Pavic vs Hilderbrand/Paris	Arevalo/Pavic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x213c33…
05-28 12:33:02	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb6df0c…
05-28 02:32:33	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x308a49…
05-28 01:20:48	Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a0105…
05-28 00:19:57	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e0e0a…
05-27 19:58:04	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc04ca6…
05-27 14:22:00	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x327f78…
05-26 20:00:18	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdd3930…
05-26 14:29:23	Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	Faurel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1dd00b…
05-26 13:17:59	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd2b5c6…
05-26 06:27:59	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa96b21…
05-25 10:12:42	Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x01a039…
05-25 08:09:09	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3243b4…
05-25 04:48:19	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaf83d8…
05-25 01:50:41	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7d0e15…
05-25 00:55:16	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x812026…
05-24 22:57:07	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4e9b2f…
05-24 20:06:17	US Catanzaro 1929 vs. AC Monza: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1e6a5e…
05-24 19:24:10	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x82d0ee…
05-24 18:06:07	Roland Garros WTA: Sofia Kenin vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x866798…
05-24 17:22:08	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe72f6a…
05-24 17:15:47	Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ead69…
05-24 17:14:19	FK Jablonec vs. FC Slovan Liberec: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x39cee9…
05-24 17:13:07	FK Jablonec vs. FC Slovan Liberec: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x56c66d…
05-24 16:02:53	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3dfdff…
05-24 15:29:54	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf76e5f…
05-24 08:02:47	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2941de…
05-24 03:08:03	Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1eaa05…
05-23 22:55:09	Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe08de0…
05-23 21:02:02	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc566bc…
05-23 16:16:05	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x652404…
05-23 14:29:04	ITF Bol: Andrey Chepelev vs Noa Vukadin	Noa Vukadin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x167f42…
05-22 11:51:16	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x77b25e…
05-22 08:55:58	ITF Takasaki: Valentina Ryser vs Natsumi Kawaguchi	Valentina Ryser	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x65ba25…
05-22 04:09:39	CSyD Macará vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfff726…
05-22 03:36:04	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7c8014…
05-21 20:15:45	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-4.5)	Detroit Tigers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x89abfe…
05-21 20:07:49	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb1656a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Cute-Opossum 0xf3ce…edc5	722	$18.6K	758	06-07 19:26
Closed-Shaw 0xc5ee…4b72	712	$3.63K	735	06-09 17:38
Plump-Polarisation 0x80ae…1b05	710	$18.1K	753	06-08 22:11
Bossy-Decongestant 0xe09d…8dbf	710	$3.62K	729	06-09 17:38
Attached-Behold 0x0705…6f2f	706	$18.0K	744	06-09 00:21
Great-Id 0x8328…6230	699	$3.58K	718	06-08 21:37
Untidy-Headache 0x8340…f39f	698	$3.58K	718	06-08 21:37
This-Kiss 0x0c8a…80a5	695	$35.5K	746	06-09 17:24