(anonymous) 0xbeaf6b…e3b1e0 Create alert
new 12W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$63
Unrealized P&L
+$314
Hit rate
97.7%
Resolved
214
Trades
863
lifetime
Volume
$27.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$9.87K
28 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-04 03:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
54% 60% +$58
Other
40% 71% -$138
Sports
5% 83% +$143
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Tech
0% 25% $0
Crypto
0% 75% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 265 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +1,863 $1,565 100¢ $1.9K +$298 11-04 02:12
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,385 $1,355 100¢ $1.4K +$30 11-04 00:05
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +1,297 $1,119 100¢ $1.3K +$178 11-04 01:48
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No +774 $768 100¢ $773 +$5 10-31 09:04
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +610 $592 100¢ $610 +$17 11-04 01:08
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +491 $487 99¢ $488 +$1 11-03 09:14
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +412 $391 100¢ $410 +$19 11-02 23:02
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +389 $346 96¢ $372 +$26 11-04 01:30
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas? No +345 $344 100¢ $344 +$0 10-31 02:46
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +380 $349 90¢ $344 -$5 11-03 13:55
Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? No +318 $316 100¢ $318 +$2 11-02 22:58
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +271 $271 100¢ $271 $0 11-04 03:44
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No +251 $250 100¢ $250 $0 11-04 03:44
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio? No +234 $233 100¢ $233 +$0 11-04 01:22
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +211 $196 100¢ $211 +$15 11-03 23:48
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No +198 $198 100¢ $198 $0 11-04 01:47
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +127 $122 92¢ $117 -$5 10-31 20:24
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +183 $95 62¢ $114 +$19 10-30 17:34
Will the Calgary Flames be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +73 $73 100¢ $73 $0 11-04 00:38
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +73 $72 100¢ $72 $0 11-04 02:14
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026? No +38 $37 100¢ $37 $0 10-31 02:39
Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw? No +1,192 $71 2¢ $24 -$46 11-02 18:16
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +942 $255 2¢ $23 -$231 11-04 02:32
Will Republicans win Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? No +16 $16 100¢ $16 $0 11-04 01:37
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +14 $14 98¢ $14 +$0 11-01 20:29
Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League MVP Award? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 $0 11-01 16:05
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +41 $1 1¢ $0 $0 11-04 03:32
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +54 $7 0¢ $0 -$7 10-30 16:19