Realized P&L
-$865
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
63.7%
Resolved
6,506
Trades
9,211
lifetime
Volume
$59.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$80
27 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 10-26 17:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 121 days
Categories
Other
72% 50% -$320
Sports
24% 47% -$551
Politics
3% 47% +$58
Crypto
1% 53% -$47
Tech
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 06-03 03:33
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-03 04:47
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +5 $3 100¢ $5 +$2 06-04 06:09
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 06-02 22:29
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 06-05 19:09
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 06-06 04:43
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +7 $3 66¢ $4 +$1 06-02 18:33
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +6 $3 70¢ $4 +$1 06-02 21:40
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 $0 10-07 21:55
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +5 $3 78¢ $4 +$1 06-26 04:20
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +6 $3 66¢ $4 +$1 06-02 19:24
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 74¢ $4 +$0 10-04 21:54
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +7 $4 54¢ $4 +$0 06-02 21:40
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +5 $3 62¢ $3 +$0 06-03 23:43
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +5 $4 62¢ $3 $0 09-23 23:40
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +5 $3 56¢ $3 +$0 09-23 17:20
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +5 $3 54¢ $3 $0 10-12 07:50
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5 $2 43¢ $2 $0 10-07 17:14
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No +7 $3 30¢ $2 -$1 06-04 04:01
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +5 $2 38¢ $2 $0 06-03 23:43
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +5 $1 35¢ $2 +$1 10-04 19:15
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +5 $2 34¢ $2 $0 10-21 12:38
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +5 $1 26¢ $1 $0 10-07 22:03
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +6 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 06-03 11:13
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +5 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 06-28 21:00
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $3 1¢ $0 -$3 10-12 04:05
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +8 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-03 04:47