Inconsequential-Marble — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$273

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

175

Trades

693

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-17

last 11-04 17:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Other

83% 56% -$282

Politics

15% 71% -$26

Sports

2% 75% +$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		-150	$0	2¢	$-3	-$3	10-03 17:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wta kostyuk noskova 2026 07 09	2	$765	1,274	0	+1,274	Linda Noskova	-$765	07-09 15:47
highest temperature in munich on march 25 2026 15c	2	$733	379	379	+0	Yes	+$13	03-25 12:46
highest temperature in wellington on march 25 2026 18c	2	$672	361	361	+0	Yes	+$48	03-25 10:32
highest temperature in paris on march 24 2026 19c	7	$504	377	377	+0	Yes	-$148	03-24 14:39
atp burruch walton 2026 03 30	3	$455	494	0	+494	Roman Andres Burruchaga	+$39	04-01 18:03
highest temperature in paris on april 5 2026 16c	5	$452	331	165	+166	No	+$17	04-04 21:53
highest temperature in paris on march 23 2026 16c	12	$445	240	240	+0	Yes	+$25	03-23 21:56
Will Adrien Thomasson lead Ligue 1 in assists during the 2025-26 season?	5	$425	428	0	+428	Yes	+$3	05-17 20:40
will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	3	$419	220	220	+0	Yes	+$12	03-22 23:57
highest temperature in paris on march 25 2026 13c	2	$415	329	329	+0	Yes	+$209	03-24 23:39
will sophia chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	11	$407	224	224	+0	Yes	+$6	03-17 16:46
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 510	7	$393	198	198	+0	Yes	+$3	03-23 13:13
chess mblueb aesipe 2026 03 31 draw	1	$388	389	0	+389	Yes	+$0	03-31 16:25
highest temperature in paris on april 5 2026 13c	27	$377	428	11	+417	No	+$42	04-04 21:57
highest temperature in london on march 25 2026 9c	1	$373	391	0	+391	Yes	+$18	03-25 14:26
highest temperature in paris on april 8 2026 24c	5	$254	278	0	+278	Yes	+$24	04-08 15:59
highest temperature in paris on march 21 2026 16c	10	$249	238	71	+167	Yes	+$35	03-21 15:09
Will Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?	4	$242	127	127	+0	Yes	+$12	10-11 22:26
Will Gabriel Attal win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$241	139	139	+0	open	—	10-17 22:07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	2	$234	117	117	+0	No	+$0	10-12 21:14
will london have between 20 30mm of precipitation in march	8	$176	231	0	+231	Yes	+$55	03-31 21:04
will vaishali r win the 2026 fide womens candidates tournament	7	$174	237	124	+112	Yes	+$22	04-15 16:11
atp guerrie travagl 2026 03 24	3	$160	178	0	+178	Andrea Guerrieri	-$160	03-24 14:40
highest temperature in madrid on march 19 2026 18c	3	$158	94	94	+0	Yes	+$30	03-19 19:00
Will Esteban Lepaul be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	6	$152	112	112	-0	Yes	+$70	05-17 22:16
highest temperature in madrid on march 20 2026 16c	4	$146	167	0	+167	No	+$21	03-20 12:41
highest temperature in paris on march 18 2026 14c	4	$139	160	20	+140	No	+$4	03-18 12:07
highest temperature in munich on march 20 2026 13corhigher	2	$127	80	80	+0	Yes	+$33	03-20 12:36
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar	1	$111	137	0	+137	Rafael Jodar	+$26	05-29 13:31
highest temperature in paris on april 5 2026 15c	1	$111	135	0	+135	Yes	+$24	04-05 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 17:20:24	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x703951…
11-04 17:20:24	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	16¢	$8	0x08e2ce…
11-04 17:20:21	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x6ff18a…
11-04 17:20:13	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	16¢	$3	0xb33aca…
11-04 17:19:40	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	16¢	$8	0x5a9fd0…
11-04 16:10:54	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	7¢	$10	0x5250a0…
11-04 11:26:22	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	24¢	$10	0x9e2f0d…
11-03 15:29:28	Will Édouard Philippe win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	17	31¢	$5	0xb1146c…
10-24 17:09:32	Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x5bb4a8…
10-20 16:26:08	nunez out as french interior minister by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xb54a40…
10-20 13:13:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x616e9e…
10-17 22:09:03	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x9bc636…
10-17 22:07:14	Will Gabriel Attal win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	139	94¢	$130	0xff5a48…
10-15 00:39:41	Will David Lisnard win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x0b9b7d…
10-15 00:39:40	Will David Lisnard win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xd8b755…
10-15 00:39:40	Will David Lisnard win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x49fdad…
10-15 00:39:40	Will David Lisnard win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x0625e1…
10-13 08:47:19	Will Édouard Philippe win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x4f975b…
10-12 21:23:47	Will Gabriel Attal win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	139	80¢	$111	0x372e5b…
10-12 21:16:29	Will Édouard Philippe win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xe9f538…
10-12 21:16:29	Will Édouard Philippe win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0xc4bd5f…
10-12 21:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x6196a3…
10-12 09:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	169	2¢	$3	0x3b25d0…
10-12 09:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x4b2378…
10-11 23:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xffa414…
10-11 23:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	98	6¢	$6	0xad0c2a…
10-11 22:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xef9963…
10-11 22:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xdc53af…
10-11 22:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xade068…
10-11 22:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x5fe22b…
10-11 22:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x54a775…
10-11 22:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xdda115…
10-11 22:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xbcc4f6…
10-11 22:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x871b6d…
10-11 22:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x72b044…
10-11 22:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x6c7a57…
10-11 22:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x60b031…
10-11 22:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x52e5e7…
10-11 22:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x4d514f…
10-11 22:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x413f01…
10-11 22:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x074300…
10-11 22:26:24	Will Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?	Yes	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x31122e…
10-11 16:18:31	Will Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xc46738…
10-11 16:17:36	Will Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?	Yes	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0xaa23d4…
10-11 16:17:33	Will Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?	Yes	BUY	98	90¢	$88	0xcfc8d7…
10-03 17:28:26	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0x6824b4…
10-03 17:28:15	Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0x113105…
07-26 11:21:21	Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$3	0x589a1c…
07-18 23:27:37	Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x995fc3…
07-18 21:22:21	Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0xcc7f7b…
07-09 15:47:08	wta kostyuk noskova 2026 07 09	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0xe4e304…
07-09 15:46:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xe5c9de…
07-09 15:43:41	wta kostyuk noskova 2026 07 09	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	1,233	60¢	$740	0xe1a78e…
07-07 18:30:56	Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	43	91¢	$39	0x3a478a…
07-07 18:10:17	Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0x18e74d…
07-07 18:10:14	Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x6fbb43…
07-05 11:06:52	Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x0bf869…
06-18 12:37:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x3bc7d3…
06-15 20:41:19	Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x3d3ef2…
06-11 10:06:45	Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao?	Yes	BUY	230	13¢	$30	0x085421…
06-04 12:35:16	Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xefa34c…
06-03 15:21:39	Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2f073f…
06-03 15:00:01	Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x9b359d…
06-03 14:48:04	Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	44	30¢	$13	0x47fa75…
06-03 14:33:13	Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x7fc79a…
05-29 13:31:07	Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	137	81¢	$111	0x741065…
05-29 08:37:30	Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	80	72¢	$58	0xa08b4d…
05-29 08:36:37	Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x9cc327…
05-28 13:21:32	Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	225	4¢	$8	0x897a29…
05-28 13:13:24	Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	2,000	3¢	$68	0x487881…
05-26 18:53:40	Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x96c591…
05-26 18:53:31	Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xad29f5…
05-26 18:53:10	Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x20242a…
05-26 18:52:39	Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x021966…
05-26 18:52:28	Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xee1dfc…
05-26 08:50:33	Roland Garros WTA: Donna Vekic vs Alice Tubello	Donna Vekic	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x951406…
05-24 10:03:14	Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x7e4145…
05-24 09:15:59	Roland Garros WTA: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Tamara Korpatsch	Sara Sorribes Tormo	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x84f2e3…
05-24 09:08:56	Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x447ac0…
05-22 09:45:46	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Leandro Riedi	Leandro Riedi	BUY	28	73¢	$20	0xc01aac…
05-20 04:51:12	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	41	81¢	$33	0x474278…
05-19 17:27:25	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	41	80¢	$33	0x66e52e…
05-17 23:41:06	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	86	37¢	$32	0x7d76e3…
05-17 23:17:00	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	175	37¢	$65	0x895e73…
05-17 23:05:40	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	23	37¢	$9	0xc2e5f7…
05-17 23:00:18	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x5d5f81…
05-17 22:16:27	Will Esteban Lepaul be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Yes	SELL	112	100¢	$111	0x3400ad…
05-17 20:40:14	Will Adrien Thomasson lead Ligue 1 in assists during the 2025-26 season?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x140d5e…
05-17 20:39:41	Will Adrien Thomasson lead Ligue 1 in assists during the 2025-26 season?	Yes	BUY	167	100¢	$166	0x8887f3…
05-17 20:39:30	Will Adrien Thomasson lead Ligue 1 in assists during the 2025-26 season?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xf16763…
05-17 20:39:23	Will Adrien Thomasson lead Ligue 1 in assists during the 2025-26 season?	Yes	BUY	173	100¢	$172	0x482bd7…
05-17 19:18:52	Will Marseille qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	55	94¢	$52	0xac9a43…
05-17 19:18:45	Will Marseille qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x2f2a9b…
05-17 19:10:33	Will Rennes finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?	No	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x73b8cb…
05-17 19:00:03	Will Rennes finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?	No	BUY	55	82¢	$45	0x41f09e…
05-16 22:58:33	Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be 150 points or greater?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5f932e…
05-16 22:58:23	Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be 150 points or greater?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xd852af…
05-16 22:49:36	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0xffcac4…
05-16 22:49:15	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x763cb0…
05-16 22:35:29	Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	8	85¢	$6	0xb58f9f…