Realized P&L
-$24
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
61.4%
Resolved
497
Trades
2,812
lifetime
Volume
$3.72K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$14
8 positions
First seen
2026-02-11
last 11-06 21:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 139 days
Categories
Politics
40% 61% -$2
Other
30% 48% +$21
Crypto
21% 45% -$40
Sports
9% 45% -$3
Tech
0% 67% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +8 $4 68¢ $5 +$1 11-05 21:10
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +14 $5 32¢ $4 -$1 11-06 21:09
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +3 $1 98¢ $3 +$2 11-02 16:53
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1 $4 79¢ $1 -$2 11-05 18:00
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +3 $1 11¢ $0 -$1 07-02 23:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $0 08-03 20:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 06-14 07:42
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +0 $0 24¢ $0 $0 10-04 21:06