Realized P&L
+$98
Unrealized P&L
-$808
Hit rate
75.8%
Resolved
859
Trades
2,414
lifetime
Volume
$113.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$230
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-12 13:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 220 days
Categories
Other
79% 53% -$762
Crypto
9% 54% +$740
Politics
9% 43% +$84
Sports
1% 50% +$33
Tech
1% 44% +$7
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,043 $768 12¢ $120 -$648 09-02 19:49
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +373 $110 8¢ $32 -$78 07-15 14:50
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes -61 -$21 52¢ $-32 -$10 06-13 10:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +127 $54 16¢ $20 -$34 09-05 17:23
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 Yes +104 $50 14¢ $14 -$36 06-27 01:20
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? Yes -32 -$11 12¢ $-4 +$7 06-24 23:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +11 $5 36¢ $4 -$1 09-05 17:23
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? Yes +50 $4 4¢ $2 -$2 10-08 17:37
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +56 $10 3¢ $2 -$8 08-06 11:06
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +37 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 10-12 13:18
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -100 -$13 0¢ $-0 +$12 08-07 11:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? Yes +38 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 10-08 17:08