Realized P&L (30d)
-$4
Unrealized P&L
-$839
Hit rate
83.3%
Resolved (30d)
5
Trades (30d)
4
2,414 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$18
$113.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$206
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-12 13:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 223 days
Categories
Other
79% 53% -$767
Crypto
9% 53% +$736
Politics
9% 42% +$74
Sports
1% 53% +$52
Tech
1% 44% +$7
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,043 $768 10¢ $99 -$669 09-02 19:49
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes -61 -$21 55¢ $-33 -$12 06-13 10:05
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +373 $110 8¢ $28 -$82 07-15 14:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +127 $54 15¢ $18 -$36 09-05 17:23
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 Yes +104 $50 10¢ $10 -$40 06-27 01:20
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? Yes -32 -$11 24¢ $-8 +$3 06-24 23:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +11 $5 38¢ $4 -$1 09-05 17:23
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +56 $10 5¢ $3 -$7 08-06 11:06
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? Yes +50 $4 2¢ $1 -$3 10-08 17:37
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +37 $5 3¢ $1 -$4 10-12 13:18
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -100 -$13 1¢ $-1 +$12 08-07 11:07