Nifty-Selling — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$38

Unrealized P&L

+$91

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved (7d)

372

Trades (7d)

455

5,397 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.36K

$45.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-30 09:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 165 days

Categories

Politics

45% 28% +$1,566

Crypto

44% 51% -$613

Other

10% 27% +$378

Sports

1% 26% -$136

Tech

1% 50% -$89

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 177 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes		-1,000	-$103	2¢	$-16	+$88	05-01 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	—	+6	$3	98¢	$6	+$3	10-30 11:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	11	$5.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$1,189	04-05 11:51
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	9	$1.6K	3,162	3,162	+0	Yes	+$92	04-07 23:05
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	10	$1.1K	863	863	+0	No	+$19	03-04 21:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$979	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$879	04-07 23:10
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	5	$963	1,800	1,800	+0	No	+$575	09-12 11:38
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	23	$943	1,500	1,500	-0	Yes	+$44	03-19 15:43
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$864	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$618	02-28 16:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	7	$831	714	690	+24	No	+$82	04-09 17:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	16	$784	2,450	2,450	+0	No	-$270	05-31 01:52
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	14	$730	150,004	0	+150,004	No	-$730	06-03 05:16
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	3	$548	500	500	+0	Yes	-$111	04-11 01:20
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	3	$540	1,000	500	+500	No	-$310	04-12 18:32
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	4	$536	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	10-20 08:11
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	7	$535	1,200	2,200	-1,000	No	+$77	06-03 01:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	11	$514	25,800	800	+25,000	No	-$277	05-26 08:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	7	$475	1,200	800	+400	No	-$43	05-07 20:59
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$475	500	500	+0	open	—	06-03 01:31
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$468	400	400	+0	No	+$28	04-07 23:51
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	5	$465	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$105	04-01 14:03
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	25	$437	473	330	+143	No	-$13	05-15 13:28
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	4	$421	319	319	+0	No	-$12	04-08 14:09
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	4	$385	992	492	+500	No	-$100	04-09 17:33
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	2	$345	200	200	+0	No	+$13	04-12 10:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$320	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$60	04-07 22:39
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	15	$320	800	800	+0	No	+$24	03-23 12:00
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	8	$309	1,500	1,500	+0	No	-$112	03-31 15:06
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$269	300	300	+0	Yes	+$18	03-04 11:56
will the us invade iran by march 31	5	$258	800	800	+0	No	+$33	03-14 13:06
will trump cut off trade with spain	10	$250	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$10	03-04 08:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$247	600	600	+0	No	+$49	04-12 10:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x04364c…
10-30 10:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x18a2b2…
10-30 10:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3256c1…
10-30 10:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x510ce2…
10-30 10:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xafb07b…
10-30 09:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe22950…
10-30 08:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x527865…
10-30 08:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2056f3…
10-30 08:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe13f4a…
10-30 07:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x447a7d…
10-30 07:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x364ae2…
10-30 07:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x094fa9…
10-30 06:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0428f6…
10-30 06:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x95e1fc…
10-30 05:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf717a3…
10-30 02:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3ee368…
10-30 01:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8e0b8d…
10-30 01:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7abc5e…
10-30 00:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x34c774…
10-29 23:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xe23ece…
10-29 23:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa21735…
10-29 20:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf35f4a…
10-29 19:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb1b08e…
10-29 19:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd77a9d…
10-29 17:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x825725…
10-29 16:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7724e0…
10-29 16:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa30c70…
10-29 16:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1459a6…
10-29 13:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3cecfc…
10-29 11:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x2bb16c…
10-29 10:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x387e6c…
10-29 10:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x84ac6e…
10-29 10:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf0f8a0…
10-29 10:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xf2c822…
10-29 10:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0c2758…
10-29 09:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3356a4…
10-29 09:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x7578d8…
10-29 09:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xa63de5…
10-29 08:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x697f60…
10-29 08:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x650696…
10-29 08:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xec40a4…
10-29 08:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbe1f97…
10-29 08:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x437589…
10-29 08:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa4d32a…
10-29 07:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfe7c9d…
10-29 07:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x77e4f2…
10-29 07:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8c72e2…
10-29 07:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x98058c…
10-29 06:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8b85b0…
10-29 06:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdc6d88…
10-29 06:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xf13b8a…
10-29 06:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7922ba…
10-29 06:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x697d2f…
10-29 06:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5630c0…
10-29 06:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf0c6b1…
10-29 06:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x01af0c…
10-29 04:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x55a9b8…
10-29 04:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe49645…
10-29 03:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x52d822…
10-29 03:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2eb1fd…
10-29 02:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x83393e…
10-29 02:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xd6f45e…
10-29 01:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xaf12a8…
10-29 01:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x7f4f57…
10-29 01:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd9a6ca…
10-29 01:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x45a06d…
10-28 22:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xbd7bac…
10-28 22:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc2c190…
10-28 22:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x800bab…
10-28 21:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb6fbb4…
10-28 20:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x29e537…
10-28 19:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1e05c7…
10-28 17:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd05e14…
10-28 16:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x41af0a…
10-28 16:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd453bc…
10-28 15:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xb53211…
10-28 15:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x22907c…
10-28 14:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd8a4c2…
10-28 14:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x71b7c0…
10-28 14:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x06d93b…
10-28 13:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xebe1ae…
10-28 12:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd84d41…
10-28 12:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xec7ece…
10-28 12:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7c2ec1…
10-28 10:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5057f4…
10-28 09:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7ee396…
10-28 09:04:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x68197e…
10-28 07:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x045729…
10-28 07:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x28a109…
10-28 07:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xf319ea…
10-28 07:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2f0eab…
10-28 07:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x558ecf…
10-28 06:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xe0d302…
10-28 06:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf92ebe…
10-28 06:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x03983f…
10-28 06:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8e2db0…
10-28 05:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xed9bb5…
10-28 05:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x67e324…
10-28 04:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7960fe…
10-28 04:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5fca49…