Deficient-Implication — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

92.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,468

lifetime

Volume

$14.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-03-11

last 06-30 19:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

78% 94% +$0

Sports

18% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No		+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	07-01 04:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 05:49
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	LPH Gaming	+$0	05-10 14:38
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:10
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:54
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:52
f1 chinese grand prix sprint winner russell 2026 03 13	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-14 05:27
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
val qor nrga 2026 03 26	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-27 02:35
cs2 mouz fut 2026 03 13	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-13 22:03
tur gfk ala 2026 04 04 ala	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-04 16:26
ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-17 20:20
Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-25 04:48
wta muchova gauff 2026 04 17	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 17:07
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 18:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 18:01
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-25 20:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 04:02:04	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc95a9d…
07-01 02:18:37	mlb stl atl 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x133767…
06-30 19:14:07	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x551e9d…
06-30 18:01:02	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x250e93…
06-30 11:08:28	atp hanfman perrica 2026 06 29 first set total 10pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53a3e6…
06-30 10:12:49	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc404a3…
06-30 04:26:04	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x08a16f…
06-30 04:16:13	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc40cf3…
06-29 19:16:43	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd87722…
06-29 19:11:32	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 assists bruno guimaraes gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe0d5a…
06-29 14:13:55	cs2 ast sinqur 2026 06 29 game1	ASTRAL	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4631dd…
06-29 13:52:38	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13d640…
06-28 17:28:43	cs2 yaw bk 2026 06 28	Yawara Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4500fd…
06-28 17:12:05	cs2 6666 ast 2026 06 28	ASTRAL	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97c066…
06-28 11:14:38	kbo kiw nc 2026 06 28	NC Dinos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x411b38…
06-28 04:00:25	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x054ee4…
06-28 02:03:23	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x533929…
06-28 01:39:16	mlb col min 2026 06 27 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x187e1d…
06-27 20:38:19	Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32c820…
06-27 17:34:29	cricapl roy cap 2026 06 27	Capital Amaravati Royals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c5ace…
06-27 02:02:04	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec7ea4…
06-26 21:09:26	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals desire doue gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d9b7b…
06-26 19:01:58	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x88b8bc…
06-26 11:53:59	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2fd093…
06-25 22:21:11	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf3a9d…
06-25 22:16:14	will ivory coast be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003075	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51643b…
06-25 02:00:25	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7b8c05…
06-25 01:49:28	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb070a4…
06-25 00:07:19	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe34cba…
06-24 20:58:26	itf lemaitr mladen 2026 06 23	Tiphanie Lemaitre	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99e462…
06-24 16:58:16	will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from june 8 887	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd33ff4…
06-24 03:15:11	mlb lad min 2026 06 23 spread away 1pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x96c496…
06-24 01:01:16	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3551e7…
06-23 20:00:49	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x874041…
06-23 19:02:01	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x83aedf…
06-23 18:25:05	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6b0b0…
06-23 18:10:41	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2b5770…
06-23 13:18:31	kbo nc lot 2026 06 23	Lotte Giants	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d4709…
06-23 00:58:05	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 corners total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb3704…
06-23 00:54:53	mlb kc tb 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	Kansas City Royals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x421d28…
06-21 18:13:10	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e99ef…
06-21 13:51:46	cs2 fokus pha 2026 06 21 game1	FOKUS	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfafb4c…
06-20 20:06:47	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d200f…
06-20 18:20:29	atp ofner assche 2026 06 20	Luca Van Assche	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf85cea…
06-20 05:14:17	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed783b…
06-20 02:55:22	mlb stl kc 2026 06 19 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8686ec…
06-20 02:41:55	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77ac10…
06-20 01:48:59	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6685e4…
06-19 20:53:37	cs2 ff navij1 2026 06 19	Fire Flux Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d9411…
06-19 15:45:29	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x14a36a…
06-19 12:52:23	atp shelton fritz 2026 06 19 match total 23pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d757a…
06-19 01:51:07	mlb nym phi 2026 06 18 total 12pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ef392…
06-18 22:59:26	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa98da2…
06-18 20:07:34	mlb cle mil 2026 06 18 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc5436b…
06-18 18:01:41	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95fe6e…
06-17 19:17:58	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaeb830…
06-17 19:05:32	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 corners total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1cc888…
06-17 19:04:14	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xefbc9c…
06-17 17:06:53	atp feldbau gulin 2026 06 17	Kilian Feldbausch	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2670d3…
06-17 16:10:02	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe20e65…
06-17 16:07:41	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b5b39…
06-17 16:06:43	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f3a23…
06-16 13:45:55	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x676ee6…
06-16 02:26:33	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d30b5…
06-15 18:27:52	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x600f13…
06-15 12:41:36	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc305d6…
06-15 01:32:10	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1007ae…
06-14 19:23:12	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa22755…
06-14 19:21:48	mlb mia pit 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Miami Marlins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3eaebc…
06-14 19:02:24	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe7301d…
06-14 03:29:45	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread away 11pt5	Spurs	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb5774…
06-13 11:31:34	cs2 mzp atp1 2026 06 13	Metizport	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0cb2d…
06-13 11:10:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed3914…
06-13 09:23:27	cs2 bmb gbl 2026 06 13 game2	BASEMENT BOYS	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa10888…
06-13 01:54:58	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2596cc…
06-12 20:26:58	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x069411…
06-12 20:18:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33dcf2…
06-12 20:17:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b2adc…
06-12 13:30:15	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb03c77…
06-12 10:42:21	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 game2 kill over 29pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdad1cf…
06-11 22:13:40	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13f794…
06-11 21:05:00	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7afe2b…
06-11 16:53:30	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3793a7…
06-11 16:03:31	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc97ce1…
06-10 20:16:54	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x89e4c3…
06-10 20:05:15	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf75803…
06-10 12:09:03	atp boogaar wu 2026 06 08 set handicap away 1pt5	Boogaard	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48d433…
06-10 08:26:04	mlbb dewa geek 2026 06 10 game3	Geek Fam ID	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x147d67…
06-09 16:28:54	lol ckz ps1 2026 06 09	Partizan Sangal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa92ffa…
06-08 21:37:01	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76c954…
06-08 12:03:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c3a22…
06-07 23:59:21	lol lll vks 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32ca57…
06-07 22:56:37	mlb nym sd 2026 06 07 nrfi	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x07ef67…
06-07 21:58:16	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ae60a…
06-07 21:09:30	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab79a4…
06-07 19:14:04	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set handicap away 1pt5	Cobolli	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4358c7…
06-07 18:11:22	itf urgesi mazzola 2026 06 07	Federica Urgesi	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97ceb6…
06-07 17:38:57	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbef8b4…
06-07 16:59:30	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e8d20…
06-06 23:09:45	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd5ef5…