Unfit-Hay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.1%

Resolved

213

Trades

524

lifetime

Volume

$521

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-01 09:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Other

43% 3% -$2

Politics

28% 11% -$1

Crypto

21% 28% $0

Tech

6% 0% $0

Sports

1% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

1% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	9	$10	5	5	-0	Yes	$0	01-14 03:03
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	8	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	02-04 04:08
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	04-14 03:15
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	02-10 09:59
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	02-12 08:33
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	5	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	01-26 10:08
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	03-18 06:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-13 06:59
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	05-22 06:47
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-22 07:29
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-03 06:07
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-26 04:20
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-06 08:00
bitcoin above 72k on april 21	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-21 03:36
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-22 07:13
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-11 08:03
will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-24 07:58
will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	06-16 07:04
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	01-07 09:24
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-31 07:36
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-28 07:03
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	02-20 06:51
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 03:33
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	06-01 06:47
Will Keysight's Q2 orders be above $1.65B?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	05-13 07:00
bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	06-05 06:09
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	02-18 10:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	06-01 07:00
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-28 06:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-29 06:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 09:25:59	situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x23a1da…
08-01 09:19:30	situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x63825a…
07-31 07:36:14	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xb6fafa…
07-31 07:29:11	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe4b748…
07-31 07:18:18	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x974db6…
07-31 07:12:00	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc064b3…
07-30 08:37:29	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xed5cd2…
07-30 08:24:20	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x96937b…
07-30 08:18:36	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xbfa2d7…
07-30 08:14:12	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdd5dd1…
07-29 08:20:14	Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x45013b…
07-29 08:17:27	Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1b3327…
07-29 08:14:11	Will Carlos Alcaraz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xaefb74…
07-29 08:02:09	Will Carlos Alcaraz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1a275e…
07-28 10:19:02	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x99a75c…
07-28 10:06:59	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbf5f39…
07-28 09:32:14	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x055f24…
07-28 07:42:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2538c0…
07-27 06:51:21	Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3b0f5c…
07-27 06:44:58	Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9b6602…
07-27 06:41:18	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xae2248…
07-27 06:35:15	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa16936…
07-25 07:58:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7b4789…
07-25 07:51:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2bba07…
07-25 07:48:22	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa6393c…
07-25 07:42:55	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe08753…
07-24 07:51:49	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbde679…
07-24 07:47:01	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x552e14…
07-24 07:41:33	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x617e38…
07-24 07:28:30	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x564c85…
07-23 07:48:45	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x72ea51…
07-23 07:42:13	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xab526f…
07-23 07:37:07	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x625b74…
07-23 07:29:51	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x1ac362…
07-22 07:29:25	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6b0ba0…
07-22 07:21:00	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x89e6ef…
07-22 07:13:42	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x785e3d…
07-22 07:00:49	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8e50c2…
07-21 06:54:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x38428c…
07-21 06:50:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6980ce…
07-21 06:45:18	Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x87b978…
07-21 06:37:37	Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb96fff…
07-20 07:52:12	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 31 20260720003505492	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8a1463…
07-20 07:41:51	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 31 20260720003505492	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd34aeb…
07-20 07:37:27	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3c811e…
07-20 07:31:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x71fdaf…
07-18 07:38:13	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x1cbae8…
07-18 07:26:21	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x24846a…
07-18 07:21:39	Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 The Open Championship?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x261122…
07-18 07:15:24	Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 The Open Championship?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x976255…
07-17 07:04:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5be12a…
07-17 06:58:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0d70db…
07-17 06:53:25	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdb7385…
07-17 06:44:04	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x91676d…
07-16 08:12:16	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xce5ae3…
07-16 07:39:13	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5cf4b8…
07-16 07:33:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 16?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x475d2c…
07-16 07:25:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 16?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9660de…
07-15 08:01:25	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5fa44d…
07-15 07:52:20	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x55171d…
07-15 07:48:07	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf28e0e…
07-15 07:39:53	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x693e81…
07-14 07:38:20	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb591fb…
07-14 07:29:17	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x574e46…
07-14 07:17:52	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xe238c6…
07-14 07:05:11	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3b9d5f…
07-13 07:44:28	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x565c70…
07-13 07:41:26	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbed7c5…
07-13 07:29:14	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x2e93d1…
07-13 07:20:41	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2be6cb…
07-11 07:54:25	will nvda reach 256 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xaa9a95…
07-11 07:47:22	will nvda reach 256 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5b3d5c…
07-11 07:39:47	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x45a7bd…
07-11 07:35:07	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc207f2…
07-10 08:02:58	Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x048c0a…
07-10 07:51:46	Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x403030…
07-10 07:46:01	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x411d63…
07-10 07:38:02	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xba5540…
07-09 07:07:17	iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x01a957…
07-09 06:55:13	iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x296c72…
07-09 06:50:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x95ee2d…
07-09 06:44:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x464495…
07-08 07:20:29	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe14307…
07-08 07:11:20	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa1b4e8…
07-08 07:07:22	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x962ffe…
07-08 06:59:28	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe1870d…
07-07 07:42:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xda2f57…
07-07 07:34:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1bd681…
07-07 07:31:08	will trump praise mark rutte by july 31 20260626214328039	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xdc2849…
07-07 07:22:34	will trump praise mark rutte by july 31 20260626214328039	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe909c4…
07-06 08:00:16	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa16699…
07-06 07:49:16	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x61dea9…
07-06 07:47:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x86a2ff…
07-06 07:42:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9dac3f…
07-04 07:04:10	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbba982…
07-04 06:56:31	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe22775…
07-04 06:54:08	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x1fdbc6…
07-04 06:49:32	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0c343c…
07-03 08:47:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 4?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x836f5a…
07-03 08:42:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 4?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xbb68c8…