Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
92.6%
Resolved
15
Trades
103
lifetime
Volume
$223
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$27
6 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 06-04 12:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
78% 86% +$2
Politics
15%
Sports
4% 100% +$1
Crypto
2%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +15 $10 80¢ $12 +$2 06-04 12:26
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +8 $7 86¢ $7 +$0 05-28 15:04
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +7 $5 88¢ $7 +$2 05-28 14:28
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 14:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -1 $-1 32¢ $-0 +$0 05-28 15:00
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026? Yes +2 $1 10¢ $0 $-1 06-04 12:19