Grubby-Mob — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

64.9%

Resolved

173

Trades

295

lifetime

Volume

$566

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-15 09:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

61% 58% -$14

Tech

15% 85% +$7

Sports

12% 32% +$6

Politics

11% 55% -$11

Crypto

1% 25% -$3

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	—	+500	$1	0¢	$1	$0	05-06 21:53
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	No		+3	$1	16¢	$0	-$1	05-20 17:59
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?	Yes		+5	$1	5¢	$0	-$1	04-30 15:21
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes		+12	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	05-03 11:05
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes		+8	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	04-30 09:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$30	35	0	+35	Yes	+$5	04-28 13:32
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	05-16 23:06
La Bisbal: Emiliana Arango vs Daria Kasatkina	4	$22	15	15	+0	Daria Kasatkina	$0	04-28 14:06
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$20	24	0	+24	No	+$4	05-12 12:55
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$17	167	167	+0	No	+$7	05-02 23:58
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	4	$13	11	11	+0	No	-$1	05-13 14:25
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	3	$12	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	06-15 09:00
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$2	05-27 10:16
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	2	$11	7	7	+0	No	+$1	06-15 08:57
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	06-15 08:57
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	3	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$0	05-28 14:18
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	-$10	06-04 12:26
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$10	13	0	+13	Yes	+$3	04-28 14:46
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	2	$9	5	5	+0	Seattle Mariners	+$1	05-06 22:44
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$8	8	8	+0	Yes	-$2	04-30 09:25
Kash Patel out by June 30?	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$1	06-15 08:57
andy burnham becomes an mp by june 30	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	06-15 08:57
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$7	8	0	+8	Yes	-$7	05-28 15:04
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$3	04-28 21:01
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	2	$6	4	4	+0	No	+$2	05-25 18:45
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	1	$5	21	0	+21	Yes	-$5	05-15 10:43
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$5	116	0	+116	No	-$5	04-28 14:30
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	-$5	05-13 14:24
Will Google reach $375 in April?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	-$5	04-28 18:39
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	05-25 18:23
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$4	667	667	+0	No	+$0	05-06 21:32
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	06-15 08:57
Bordeaux: Jenson Brooksby vs Alex Molcan	3	$4	2	2	+0	Alex Molcan	+$0	05-12 12:38
Kash Patel out by May 31?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-25 18:24
Will FK Dinamo Moskva win on 2026-05-11?	3	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 18:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 09:02:04	Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0x2d82ea…
06-15 09:01:54	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x973458…
06-15 09:01:46	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0xb1127d…
06-15 09:01:37	Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x4d7d30…
06-15 09:01:01	Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0xef9f71…
06-15 09:00:25	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0xcf589a…
06-15 09:00:10	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	18	14¢	$2	0x75330e…
06-15 09:00:06	Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0xd7e2a5…
06-15 08:59:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x4c5cf6…
06-15 08:59:51	Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x7f801c…
06-15 08:59:46	Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x6808d2…
06-15 08:59:40	Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x2c06bd…
06-15 08:59:33	Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0x3bc044…
06-15 08:59:00	No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x5a0277…
06-15 08:58:39	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xb4a4ef…
06-15 08:58:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xf1edf9…
06-15 08:58:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc1fe99…
06-15 08:58:01	another gta vi trailer released by june 15	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe806e8…
06-15 08:57:52	Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x2ce4c0…
06-15 08:57:43	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0xd42f9e…
06-15 08:57:36	andy burnham becomes an mp by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x82dbce…
06-15 08:57:27	Kash Patel out by June 30?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$4	0x187526…
06-15 08:57:19	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x843db0…
06-15 08:57:07	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x89e00a…
06-04 12:36:36	andy burnham becomes an mp by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4eecb2…
06-04 12:26:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xb55dbb…
06-04 12:19:01	Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x37d502…
05-28 15:04:42	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0xad28b5…
05-28 15:02:36	Will Monza achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xb4a01f…
05-28 15:02:23	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0x4cdea1…
05-28 15:01:59	Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0x5000e4…
05-28 15:00:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0xaae7bb…
05-28 15:00:07	Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0x53ae13…
05-28 15:00:03	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xbeb5d2…
05-28 14:58:13	Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x05ecee…
05-28 14:57:31	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in May?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa7a93c…
05-28 14:53:52	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe95f27…
05-28 14:40:20	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x689f4a…
05-28 14:38:18	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x4b2764…
05-28 14:33:08	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf46e23…
05-28 14:28:37	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x37d4cb…
05-28 14:21:16	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	62	1¢	$1	0x89ec3f…
05-28 14:21:09	Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0x4e28d4…
05-28 14:18:52	Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xeabdc4…
05-28 14:14:21	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 in May?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0ff1c2…
05-28 14:14:11	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x25e9ee…
05-28 14:10:30	Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5f0f24…
05-27 10:57:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x2684ab…
05-27 10:52:18	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc24d78…
05-27 10:38:11	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x4cee1b…
05-27 10:24:39	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7be071…
05-27 10:20:13	Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd93661…
05-27 10:16:17	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xd08ec1…
05-27 10:15:52	Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe7f766…
05-27 10:15:22	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x36f90a…
05-27 10:05:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x23c14b…
05-25 18:58:17	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1a6d99…
05-25 18:57:12	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x1f1d25…
05-25 18:57:00	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb8bb03…
05-25 18:56:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb547c3…
05-25 18:55:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6950b0…
05-25 18:49:43	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x03eb29…
05-25 18:45:52	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x0e5034…
05-25 18:39:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x67af5f…
05-25 18:37:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8d7290…
05-25 18:37:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x460885…
05-25 18:36:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf93e10…
05-25 18:35:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xa3c613…
05-25 18:34:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x257327…
05-25 18:34:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa7671b…
05-25 18:32:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x557a0c…
05-25 18:29:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x08d728…
05-25 18:26:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb93e0d…
05-25 18:25:27	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 in May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x47f57f…
05-25 18:25:09	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in May?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe24548…
05-25 18:24:52	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdcdc97…
05-25 18:24:15	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb95ae3…
05-25 18:23:56	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0b5673…
05-20 18:29:53	Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x275dfc…
05-20 18:17:19	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8087a7…
05-20 18:17:15	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x49d162…
05-20 18:08:55	No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x87d0ec…
05-20 18:06:57	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa01a14…
05-20 17:59:22	Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9f3bd0…
05-20 17:51:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x28e5d3…
05-20 17:46:59	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4e7236…
05-20 17:46:52	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x631a07…
05-20 17:45:01	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x48226e…
05-20 17:40:27	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x837b9d…
05-19 19:44:39	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?	No	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0x23db97…
05-19 19:40:06	Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Shelton	Daniel Altmaier	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2cb8b2…
05-19 19:27:04	Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x1f9ff3…
05-19 19:11:40	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x001221…
05-19 19:09:04	AC Monza vs. SS Juve Stabia: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe1bc1b…
05-19 18:56:42	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbf07c7…
05-19 18:55:11	Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Shelton	Daniel Altmaier	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xae0e0a…
05-19 18:54:22	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb9d1fe…
05-19 18:51:08	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8dd865…
05-19 18:46:01	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa1be1c…
05-19 18:20:53	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb9a0bb…