Occasional-Outrigger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.37K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.1%

Resolved

107

Trades

303

lifetime

Volume

$241.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$797

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 07-14 14:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Sports

42% 29% -$1,206

Other

33% 32% -$164

Politics

25% 80% +$1

Crypto

1% 100% +$2

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	6	$9.5K	4,780	4,780	+0	No	-$5	03-24 07:31
will sahith theegala win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$6.3K	3,184	3,184	+0	No	-$3	03-22 11:55
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$6.0K	3,009	3,009	+0	No	-$3	03-21 17:08
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$5.5K	2,749	2,749	+0	No	-$3	04-30 09:07
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	6	$5.3K	2,651	2,651	+0	open	—	06-22 06:26
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$5.0K	2,512	2,512	+0	open	—	06-02 14:15
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$4.8K	2,410	2,410	+0	No	-$2	05-22 11:58
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$4.7K	2,353	2,353	+0	open	—	05-10 05:30
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?	4	$4.7K	2,348	2,348	+0	No	-$2	05-06 10:17
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	4	$4.6K	2,300	2,300	+0	open	—	06-08 04:13
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$4.5K	2,267	2,267	+0	No	-$2	06-17 04:29
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	13	$4.1K	2,085	2,085	+0	No	-$3	01-26 21:29
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$4.0K	2,005	2,005	+0	open	—	06-15 05:27
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$3.9K	1,972	1,972	+0	No	-$3	03-01 07:18
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?	4	$3.8K	1,918	1,918	+0	No	-$2	06-15 08:21
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.5K	1,762	1,762	+0	No	-$2	03-13 03:27
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$3.5K	1,747	1,747	+0	open	—	06-22 09:22
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$3.4K	1,698	1,698	+0	No	-$2	03-25 20:33
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$3.4K	1,708	1,708	+0	open	—	06-08 07:13
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.3K	1,652	1,652	+0	No	-$2	03-22 06:43
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.3K	1,642	1,642	+0	No	-$2	03-25 07:48
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.3K	1,640	1,640	+0	No	-$2	03-23 10:06
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.2K	1,628	1,628	+0	No	-$2	03-21 11:05
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.2K	1,621	1,621	+0	No	-$2	03-19 13:35
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.2K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	-$2	03-20 19:52
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$3.1K	1,568	1,568	+0	No	-$1	03-19 20:40
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$3.1K	1,553	1,553	+0	open	—	06-07 02:57
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$3.1K	1,536	1,536	+0	No	-$2	06-01 08:41
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.0K	1,520	1,520	+0	No	-$2	03-09 19:03
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$3.0K	1,515	1,515	+0	No	-$3	03-25 23:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 14:06:19	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	179	99¢	$177	0xa5df2a…
07-14 11:02:32	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	179	99¢	$178	0xa494cd…
07-10 06:38:53	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	235	99¢	$233	0x3eeeb1…
07-10 03:01:10	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	235	99¢	$233	0x006bf1…
07-09 06:40:56	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	283	99¢	$281	0xc6db03…
07-09 04:56:05	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	283	99¢	$281	0x217552…
07-08 05:29:56	Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	228	99¢	$226	0x2c8180…
07-08 04:09:04	Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	228	99¢	$227	0xee51ae…
07-07 09:04:25	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	259	99¢	$258	0x670aec…
07-07 04:26:59	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	259	99¢	$258	0xe48e9a…
07-03 08:15:08	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	338	100¢	$337	0x86cb0f…
07-03 05:43:19	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	338	100¢	$338	0x72bf9d…
07-02 08:19:43	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	182	100¢	$181	0x1bffdf…
07-02 04:32:38	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	182	100¢	$181	0x5efcfe…
06-30 08:58:19	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	494	99¢	$491	0x23e72f…
06-30 06:41:19	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	494	99¢	$491	0x23fd1b…
06-30 06:34:02	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	439	99¢	$436	0x38bd9c…
06-30 02:19:05	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	439	99¢	$437	0x8e8ad0…
06-29 09:28:07	Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	514	100¢	$511	0xd0fbaf…
06-29 08:21:16	Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	514	100¢	$512	0x75e367…
06-29 08:19:02	Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	292	99¢	$290	0xd851dd…
06-29 06:12:07	Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	292	99¢	$290	0x876982…
06-29 06:06:50	Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	506	100¢	$503	0x7fc0ef…
06-29 02:32:40	Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	506	100¢	$504	0x9ecc6e…
06-28 03:30:58	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	356	100¢	$354	0xba9296…
06-24 07:48:28	Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	719	99¢	$715	0xf94ce7…
06-24 03:23:53	Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	719	100¢	$716	0x946f20…
06-23 08:37:10	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	406	99¢	$403	0x8037ed…
06-23 06:50:08	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	406	99¢	$403	0xdcab00…
06-23 04:18:11	Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	477	100¢	$475	0x45afdf…
06-23 02:24:05	Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	477	100¢	$475	0xe5f25b…
06-22 09:22:41	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	644	99¢	$639	0x2f689b…
06-22 08:15:34	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	644	99¢	$640	0xc027a9…
06-22 06:26:56	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	755	100¢	$753	0x880260…
06-22 05:15:59	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	755	100¢	$754	0xac7262…
06-22 04:31:56	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	764	99¢	$759	0x57075c…
06-22 02:31:01	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	764	99¢	$759	0x199522…
06-20 09:41:59	Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	646	100¢	$643	0x0a87cc…
06-20 08:32:35	Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	646	100¢	$644	0xd582f1…
06-18 05:56:50	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	991	99¢	$984	0xcbc7d9…
06-18 02:24:25	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	991	99¢	$985	0x06d7e3…
06-17 08:00:23	Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	959	99¢	$952	0x8c8b0d…
06-17 05:44:58	Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	959	99¢	$953	0xf407c9…
06-17 04:29:23	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	968	100¢	$965	0x896ef9…
06-17 02:11:25	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	968	100¢	$966	0xa26a9c…
06-15 10:05:40	Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,125	99¢	$1,116	0xe8033c…
06-15 08:24:01	Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,125	99¢	$1,117	0x18ed5e…
06-15 08:21:34	Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	874	99¢	$869	0xbe721b…
06-15 05:30:09	Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	874	100¢	$870	0xd21ac3…
06-15 05:27:46	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	886	99¢	$879	0x670a7f…
06-15 02:26:51	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	886	99¢	$880	0xd1e1a3…
06-13 18:38:36	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	798	99¢	$792	0x5048c4…
06-13 09:10:34	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	798	99¢	$792	0x42bfe7…
06-12 18:46:37	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	1,224	100¢	$1,219	0xa88322…
06-12 09:15:22	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	1,224	100¢	$1,220	0x1ba8d9…
06-12 05:26:27	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	413	100¢	$412	0xbdb7a2…
06-10 03:09:19	Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,379	99¢	$1,370	0x0303ef…
06-10 01:28:03	Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,379	99¢	$1,371	0x4d7e61…
06-09 08:31:27	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	971	100¢	$968	0x9c70fa…
06-09 05:54:00	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	971	100¢	$969	0x8cda7a…
06-09 03:52:46	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,037	99¢	$1,028	0xee7527…
06-09 02:12:04	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,037	99¢	$1,029	0x8fcdfb…
06-08 09:43:57	Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	1,499	99¢	$1,489	0x7ad32b…
06-08 07:16:33	Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	1,499	99¢	$1,490	0x5979ca…
06-08 07:13:52	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,708	99¢	$1,693	0x53a466…
06-08 05:49:13	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,708	99¢	$1,695	0x8c8a2d…
06-08 04:13:07	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	1,173	100¢	$1,169	0x07c75d…
06-08 02:22:54	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	1,173	100¢	$1,171	0xb3015f…
06-07 11:05:33	Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	1,044	99¢	$1,037	0x8903a4…
06-07 08:32:22	Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	1,044	100¢	$1,039	0x334fe4…
06-07 02:57:43	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,553	99¢	$1,542	0xbc18f9…
06-07 01:18:52	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,553	99¢	$1,544	0x17c726…
06-06 12:51:36	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,103	99¢	$1,095	0xc48810…
06-06 09:42:24	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,103	99¢	$1,096	0xbc147b…
06-06 04:26:04	Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	1,100	99¢	$1,093	0x244bf2…
06-06 01:28:24	Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	1,100	100¢	$1,094	0x2d7ae4…
06-04 06:09:25	nhl las car 2026 06 04 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	144	55¢	$79	0xdd2820…
06-03 11:24:39	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,251	100¢	$1,247	0xbec60e…
06-03 09:03:55	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,251	100¢	$1,248	0xf9c31e…
06-03 07:34:15	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,119	99¢	$1,110	0xfcd3bc…
06-03 03:44:08	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,119	99¢	$1,111	0x9c7ff1…
06-02 14:15:47	Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,118	99¢	$1,109	0x75f1a9…
06-02 07:43:12	Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,118	99¢	$1,110	0x4a580e…
06-02 06:42:53	Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,394	99¢	$1,383	0x5c14a2…
06-02 03:50:39	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	139	55¢	$76	0x2bbc34…
06-02 03:08:23	Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,394	99¢	$1,384	0xbfe9ee…
06-01 08:41:34	Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	912	100¢	$909	0xcc9682…
06-01 06:33:18	Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	912	100¢	$910	0x2ecaa7…
06-01 03:58:15	Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	551	99¢	$547	0x1dbe57…
06-01 01:49:23	Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	551	99¢	$548	0x444987…
05-31 04:18:28	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	671	100¢	$669	0xb7e89e…
05-31 01:56:10	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	671	100¢	$669	0x534fe1…
05-28 03:19:51	Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	624	100¢	$622	0x92e856…
05-28 01:47:01	Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	624	100¢	$623	0xa61524…
05-27 06:55:16	Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	625	100¢	$623	0xcfbedb…
05-27 05:38:30	Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	625	100¢	$623	0x6a5dfe…
05-27 04:56:52	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	380	100¢	$379	0x1ac9ab…
05-27 02:29:16	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	852	99¢	$847	0x106a77…
05-27 01:13:59	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	852	100¢	$848	0x25930f…
05-26 09:20:39	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	877	99¢	$870	0x25091e…