Pesky-Musicbox 0xc20526…8ceec2
hot
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Realized P&L
+$1.61K
Unrealized P&L
-$82
Hit rate
72.7%
Resolved
527
Trades
1,441
lifetime
Volume
$67.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$2.31K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-27 13:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 156 days
Categories
Other
50% 48% +$513
Politics
46% 65% +$1,228
Sports
3% 31% +$17
Tech
1% 33% -$140
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$15
Crypto
0% 20% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +730 $611 92¢ $675 +$64 10-26 13:07
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +525 $471 94¢ $491 +$20 09-26 20:39
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +322 $240 70¢ $227 -$13 10-26 17:33
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +430 $294 43¢ $184 -$110 10-26 20:11
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $172 92¢ $183 +$11 10-27 13:49
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +200 $162 86¢ $171 +$9 08-21 10:48
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $138 72¢ $143 +$5 10-27 13:50
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +345 $81 29¢ $100 +$19 09-24 15:14
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,190 $25 2¢ $29 +$4 05-28 00:36
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +40 $25 69¢ $28 +$3 09-25 13:03
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +30 $22 70¢ $21 -$1 09-21 18:22
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6,250 $50 0¢ $19 -$31 06-18 16:51
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,100 $9 1¢ $12 +$3 06-23 11:59
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,000 $5 0¢ $8 +$2 09-15 22:10
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +150 $34 5¢ $7 -$27 09-21 18:21
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +289 $19 2¢ $6 -$12 09-04 19:00
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -30 -$4 15¢ $-5 -$1 10-15 13:40
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? Yes +120 $28 2¢ $2 -$26 08-26 17:42