Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$71

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

16.3%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

162 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$92

$423 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-22

last 11-08 17:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 33% -$83

Other

14% 14% -$49

Politics

2% 20% +$95

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		+48	$1	2¢	$1	$0	10-28 14:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	3	$31	43	13	+30	Down	-$9	09-13 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$30	35	18	+17	Down	+$7	09-13 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	5	$26	58	21	+36	Down	+$2	09-13 07:53
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	1	$24	54	0	+54	Bilibili Gaming	-$24	11-08 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$22	25	25	+0	Down	+$2	09-13 07:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 12:05 UTC	7	$20	41	18	+24	Up	-$2	03-23 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	7	$19	190	18	+173	Down	-$3	09-13 07:39
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	1	$19	95	0	+95	Gen.G	-$19	11-07 11:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:55 UTC	3	$19	7,426	0	+7,426	Down	-$19	03-23 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	6	$16	29	5	+24	Down	-$10	09-12 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$12	2,050	0	+2,050	Down	-$12	09-13 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$12	61	11	+50	Up	+$8	09-12 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$12	157	10	+147	Up	-$9	09-13 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	Down	-$10	10-29 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	Up	-$10	10-29 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	5	$10	111	11	+100	Up	+$4	10-11 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	5	$7	105	5	+100	Down	+$1	09-12 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$7	25	25	+0	Down	+$5	09-13 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	3	$6	20	17	+4	Up	+$2	09-12 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$6	11	0	+11	Down	-$6	09-12 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	3	$6	21	6	+15	Up	-$2	09-12 09:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 10:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	03-22 10:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 09:00 UTC	5	$5	8	5	+3	Down	-$1	04-04 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	5	$5	30	5	+25	Down	-$1	09-13 07:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:50 UTC	4	$5	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	03-23 11:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 14:40 UTC	4	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	03-22 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	3	$4	8	6	+2	Down	+$0	09-12 09:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 14:35 UTC	3	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	03-22 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	10-24 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$3	64	0	+64	Up	-$3	09-12 09:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 17:57:39	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	T1	BUY	54	45¢	$24	0xfaed85…
11-07 11:19:13	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Invictus Gaming	BUY	95	20¢	$19	0x35739b…
10-29 16:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x69b4a1…
10-29 16:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xf21a54…
10-28 14:29:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x6d7689…
10-28 14:28:28	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x54815f…
10-28 14:27:59	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x6540b1…
10-24 07:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6440cb…
10-24 07:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1634ae…
10-24 07:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xba5623…
10-24 05:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4685f8…
10-24 05:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xee8bf6…
10-24 05:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x74976e…
10-24 05:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfaa93f…
10-11 08:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa2ba73…
10-11 08:52:45	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xcea403…
10-11 08:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x47717e…
10-11 08:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x178bc6…
10-11 08:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe03b38…
10-11 08:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x9f4826…
10-11 08:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9cdd53…
10-11 08:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xce4ac1…
10-11 08:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9cf6e5…
10-11 08:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x4fed26…
10-11 08:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa1d995…
10-11 08:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa719b3…
10-11 08:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x99cc68…
10-03 07:36:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xfa4e3a…
09-13 08:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc70d01…
09-13 08:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x0d5bf4…
09-13 08:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x9e1e58…
09-13 08:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb8fff0…
09-13 08:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x6163da…
09-13 08:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x70c941…
09-13 07:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0x7dc142…
09-13 07:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x118f57…
09-13 07:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x0c1036…
09-13 07:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5d97ed…
09-13 07:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x958d00…
09-13 07:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	21	64¢	$14	0x39a70c…
09-13 07:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xa91555…
09-13 07:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdb57fc…
09-13 07:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	25	47¢	$12	0x18db85…
09-13 07:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xef28f5…
09-13 07:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	139	6¢	$8	0x1a22dc…
09-13 07:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1ccf4e…
09-13 07:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xdc59b2…
09-13 07:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9b79f9…
09-13 07:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x051e06…
09-13 07:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc3c5d7…
09-13 07:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x3b7ade…
09-13 07:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3306e4…
09-13 07:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	69¢	$7	0xf2b3fd…
09-13 07:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x47a43e…
09-13 07:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2826ef…
09-13 07:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0583a3…
09-13 07:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf8f703…
09-13 07:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xca61df…
09-13 07:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0xf4354a…
09-13 07:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5213b0…
09-13 07:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	25	25¢	$6	0x8694a2…
09-13 07:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x3441fb…
09-12 10:29:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc3b5ef…
09-12 10:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcbb2b8…
09-12 10:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xca1e1b…
09-12 10:02:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xce1686…
09-12 09:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x410ce3…
09-12 09:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xc82190…
09-12 09:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xdfd3af…
09-12 09:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb7e3e5…
09-12 09:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xfcd8b0…
09-12 09:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfcc990…
09-12 09:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x2c096d…
09-12 09:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x823eb9…
09-12 09:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x1e1ae5…
09-12 09:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x0bde66…
09-12 09:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x62ab39…
09-12 09:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb14d07…
09-12 09:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0xd08880…
09-12 09:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x96022c…
09-12 09:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc8863c…
09-12 09:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x6be0e3…
09-12 09:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0316a6…
09-12 09:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xad01b7…
09-12 09:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0xfd4423…
09-12 09:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0xbe45d9…
09-12 09:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2033ba…
09-12 09:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf20aaf…
09-12 09:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe3c2e2…
09-12 09:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1bfb38…
09-12 09:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x488392…
09-12 09:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1ce4c4…
09-12 09:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xbbabc9…
09-12 09:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	17	25¢	$4	0xe4b978…
09-12 09:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x480ed7…
09-12 08:59:15	dota2 daxakc nsclub 2026 09 12	NS Club	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfdaf91…
09-12 08:58:40	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Zero Tenacity	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x437bbf…
09-12 08:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0bd496…
09-12 08:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4ffe21…
09-12 08:48:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3ce9b3…