Alienated-Endoderm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$63

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

29.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$299

Open exposure

$859

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-12 13:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

42% 33% $-1

Politics

39% 50% +$64

Tech

19% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes		+588	$500	82¢	$485	$-15	05-12 13:02
Will Moldova win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No		+381	$370	98¢	$374	+$4	05-11 23:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	1	$655	0	656	-656	Yes	$-1	05-08 13:29
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$545	0	550	-550	Yes	$-4	05-08 13:29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$500	588	0	+588	open	—	05-12 13:02
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	1	$400	465	0	+465	Yes	+$65	05-08 13:35
Will Moldova win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$370	381	0	+381	open	—	05-11 23:48
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$110	147	0	+147	open	—	05-11 23:57
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	1	$100	110	0	+110	Yes	+$10	05-09 12:47
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?	1	$7	20	0	+20	No	$-7	05-09 12:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 13:02:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	588	85¢	$500	0x04c0b1…
05-11 23:57:39	Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	147	75¢	$110	0x7df4d1…
05-11 23:48:49	Will Moldova win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0xc03949…
05-11 23:47:14	Will Moldova win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0xa83f0b…
05-09 12:47:13	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x39daa4…
05-09 12:46:16	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xf54780…
05-08 13:35:08	Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	BUY	465	86¢	$400	0x82d96c…
05-08 13:29:38	Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	550	99¢	$545	0x4c38b8…
05-08 13:29:20	Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	656	100¢	$655	0x911a20…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9	5	$689	41	05-12 23:20
Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318	3	$709	20	05-11 07:25
Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38	3	$558	13	05-08 09:40