Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.10K
Unrealized P&L
-$54
Hit rate
48.8%
Resolved (90d)
1,298
Trades (90d)
3,590
3,730 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$17.0K
$17.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$488
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-02
last 10-21 09:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 82 days
Categories
Other
48% 93% -$334
Politics
39% 88% -$245
Sports
12% 93% -$64
Tech
1% 95% +$27
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 530 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No -240 -$150 55¢ $-133 +$17 09-04 06:19
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -66 -$38 90¢ $-59 -$20 09-21 01:00
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -142 -$18 41¢ $-58 -$40 09-07 01:22
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -71 -$30 52¢ $-37 -$7 09-23 08:23
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No -33 -$21 74¢ $-24 -$3 08-28 00:51
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +21 $21 100¢ $21 +$0 09-01 02:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +20 $19 97¢ $19 +$0 09-01 01:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +18 $17 99¢ $17 $0 09-01 01:46
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -1,165 -$1 1¢ $-17 -$16 09-15 02:44
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? No -16 -$14 99¢ $-16 -$2 09-15 03:27
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +16 $16 100¢ $16 $0 09-01 02:50
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes -13 -$7 82¢ $-11 -$4 08-28 03:33
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 09-01 01:50
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 +$0 09-01 01:35
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -435 -$2 2¢ $-7 -$4 09-21 01:00
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No -18 -$2 34¢ $-6 -$4 09-15 02:44
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +10 $5 52¢ $5 +$0 10-16 06:27
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes -34 -$7 15¢ $-5 +$2 10-05 02:24
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +10 $5 50¢ $5 $0 10-16 06:27
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -153 -$1 2¢ $-3 -$3 09-15 03:27
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -435 -$1 0¢ $-2 -$1 09-29 05:22
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -142 -$9 1¢ $-2 +$7 09-07 01:22
Will Jakob Glesnes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes -5 $0 27¢ $-1 -$1 09-29 05:23
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? Yes -199 -$1 1¢ $-1 +$0 10-05 02:24
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? No -29 -$16 4¢ $-1 +$14 10-05 02:18
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -63 -$1 2¢ $-1 -$1 09-29 05:22
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -8 -$1 14¢ $-1 -$1 09-15 03:27
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -435 $0 0¢ $-1 -$1 09-21 01:00
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? Yes -55 -$15 2¢ $-1 +$14 09-07 01:22
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -79 -$1 1¢ $-1 $0 09-29 05:22