Realized P&L
-$545
Unrealized P&L
-$111
Hit rate
51.3%
Resolved
1,384
Trades
3,730
lifetime
Volume
$17.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$614
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-02
last 10-21 09:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 84 days
Categories
Other
48% 93% -$334
Politics
39% 89% -$175
Sports
12% 93% -$64
Tech
1% 95% +$27
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 530 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No -240 -$150 64¢ $-155 -$5 09-04 06:19
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -142 -$18 58¢ $-83 -$65 09-07 01:22
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -66 -$38 92¢ $-60 -$22 09-21 01:00
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -71 -$30 64¢ $-45 -$15 09-23 08:23
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No -33 -$21 94¢ $-31 -$10 08-28 00:51
Will Union Berlin be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 $0 09-01 02:37
Will SC Paderborn be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 $0 09-01 02:37
Will Hamburger SV be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 $0 09-01 02:37
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +21 $21 100¢ $21 +$0 09-01 02:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$0 09-01 01:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +18 $17 99¢ $17 +$0 09-01 01:46
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? No -16 -$14 99¢ $-16 -$2 09-15 03:27
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +16 $16 100¢ $16 $0 09-01 02:50
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes -13 -$7 84¢ $-11 -$4 08-28 03:33
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 09-01 01:50
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 +$0 09-01 01:35
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +10 $5 64¢ $6 +$1 10-16 06:27
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No -18 -$2 32¢ $-6 -$3 09-15 02:44
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes -12 -$4 42¢ $-5 -$1 10-05 02:24
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes -34 -$7 13¢ $-4 +$3 10-05 02:24
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -1,165 -$1 0¢ $-4 -$3 09-15 02:44
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -153 -$1 2¢ $-4 -$3 09-15 03:27
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +10 $5 35¢ $4 -$2 10-16 06:27
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -435 -$2 0¢ $-2 +$0 09-21 01:00
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -435 -$1 0¢ $-2 $0 09-29 05:22
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -63 -$1 2¢ $-1 -$1 09-29 05:22
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -8 -$1 14¢ $-1 -$1 09-15 03:27
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -142 -$9 1¢ $-1 +$7 09-07 01:22
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? No -29 -$16 3¢ $-1 +$15 10-05 02:18
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -79 -$1 1¢ $-1 $0 09-29 05:22